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  2. Jan 22 actually 16 to 1 tell me how that happened. I don't buy the wind stuff at all. We shall see
  3. there was a guy at nws years ago who clearly didn't like snow and would write things like, some rain could mix in and save the day.....
  4. The initial coastal precip as its starting to strengthen on basically all foreign models is very different vs the USA. No major bands rotate and almost all of them require the inverted Trof to hit. Just snizzle on most then hope and pray
  5. If they are talking about accumulations the only way that's gonna happen for anybody south of Stafford County Virginia as if we get incredible rates after dark. And the temperatures have to drop to at least 31° or 32° during those incredible rates. Other than that it's white rain and milk toast
  6. RGEM was kind of meh (relative to my new expectations )
  7. I actually dated the niece of a prominent LI met. He hates inclement weather, legitimately told me so. I lost respect for him at that dinner.
  8. Icon with an another bump west. 8-12” by the burbs 12-16” at the shore
  9. Haha, goes nuclear just east of OC, MD! OMG this might be happening.
  10. 2/20 18z ICN Total QPF 2/22-2/23-24
  11. This well close schools for days possibly
  12. Can you sum this up for RVA? Driving home from work lol
  13. normally he's right when the GFS is on it's own like that.
  14. I was ready to write it off as another OTS disappointment… even I’m not mentally ready for what might be coming. The NAM is probably overdone but it’s an incredible track and evolution.
  15. It really loves this narrow death band. Better for the coast and areas to our northeast.
  16. https://www.facebook.com/weatherhistory/posts/january-25th-2000an-unexpected-noreaster-hit-north-carolina-virginia-and-the-mid/1155550869911051/
  17. a lot of weather forecasters will have egg on the face did anyone mention the worst euro humper in dt who called the gfs bonkers prediction bs just yesterday..
  18. Likely for eastern zones. How close this tracks will determine how far west the wind and vis criteria are met.
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