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Can someone post the 0z eps? I didn’t see it in the thread. With comparison to 12z would be appreciated. Thanks! .

A nice chilly 12.0/-0.7 with clear skies at 7 am here. Wind W at 7 gusting to 13 mph making WC 1 to -3. Low was 11.9 degrees at 6:25 am. I see Canaan NWR is a crisp -1 this morning.

Agreed. This is the rare event where, with 2+” of QPF possible some areas could mix for over half the storm and still end up with a foot of frozen. This isn’t wasting half our 0.30” in mix like we’ve become accustomed to…

The surface high is intensifying over our heads on guidance. I’d call it Canadian but it’s over our head throughout. Filling in for Quebec.. Great news for our southern neighbors who love snow

Already working on it

I think the mesos will continue to be useful for some time.

18”, Southern side of Commack NY

27.5" thus far in Vernon Twsp. @ Canistear Reservoir

Latest blend. I think we got us a solid signal across guidance for a major winter storm lol

It certainly is concerning, especially for anyone who gets ZR, with near record cold behind it. Thankfully snow shouldn't be wet and sleet is not really a concern from a power outage standpoint. I do anticipate a good deal of confusion from the general public on this point because the thinking goes: sleet is ice an ice causes power outages?

Exactly 4" more than Methuen.

Bump

We'll both be flirting with 0 tonight.

Who will be the first to start warning everyone to be cautious and pointing out possible red flags? Odds favor Ralph but Heisy has been known to piss in the cheerios...Chuck is probably good to point out the pattern breaking down during the snow. That osfan dude can be pretty negative in the midst of a potential storm. Im going with Heisy as my best bet

NWB

I guess the next time the European shows a 4 foot snowstorm at hour 360 we should probably take it seriously

I hope people realize how rare/epic 4-6” of sleet would be

That was my low, 8 now.

Hey you said it…

My amateur gut is telling me a system that continues to strengthen as modeled always ends up bringing the warmth with it causing all but the border counties in NC to mix, historically speaking. The problem is, as modeled, most of the NC forum sees 12+ before we would switch to several inches of sleet should that happen. 2"qpf?!? Ugh. I know one of you in here quietly wished for this and now it appears we're going to deal with it. Bueller? Bueller? Historic and catostrophic are not significant enough words given the broad swipe of winter that is about to happen. (Throughout the TN valley and MA too!)

6z gefs

Well, Amwx is an inclusive, judgement free zone.

Clear. +7.7F

That euro suite is definitely intriguing…a lot more ridging in the northeast.