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1. The best hope for 2027-8 might be for it to be like 3 of these 8 analogs and not be La Niña for the NE: 1878-9: near to AN snow 1966-7: well AN snow 1992-3: BN to AN snow 2. Regarding the snow for the 5 that did become LN, not good: 1889-90: BN 1973-4: NN 1983-4: BN 1998-9: BN 2016-7: MBN

Flooded bitches!

Bob getting f’n deluged! Nice.

wasn't much of a lull. heavy showers keep regenerating south of the islands

It looks like the widespread rain advertised for next weekend is quickly disappearing. 5"+ turned into 1.5"

That's a compliment. Drake Jones!

Up to 2.17 inches so far here with more to come tonight

It's the gift that keeps on giving...enjoy. 61F/Light rain, sideways breezy mist. Nice day to take the kids to the park and fly a kite/feed the wildlife. It's something they will remember and cherish years from now…

3.08” so far in my PWS which has trees to the NE so the reading is definitely a bit low. Another big time rain event, so many this year.

This will be one of the driest Septs I've lived through, I'm at 14mm/.5" for the month with nothing forecast til Oct 1. Parts of lawns are tanning. This mostly clear stretch has been epic, Since last Mon and forecast delayed any rain til the 1st so 9 days or more of great wx!

Wow he is active. Surpised. Might use him sparingly in a few specific play designs, if at all.

Areas over central nj look to jackpot

Dunno about Zay playing with limited practice on a crappy field

Lowest hourly SLP at reporting land-based station I found was 29.37” (994.6 mb) at Toms River, NJ, at 9AM and 10AM. Next lowest Atlantic City 29.39” (995.3 mb) at 11AM.

Thanks. If that makes it to TS status and avoids getting to H status, I think that would tie an Atlantic Basin record for most named storms in a row from start of season not making it to H status.

And pouring again.

Early October frost risk

Nolo appears primed to reach major hurricane status at the 5pm ET update. Large eye has cleared out with a thick layer of robust convection insulating the core. The ceiling on this system just increased

this alone should be 1-3 inches area wide and the water will rush back onto the shores with the wind

It all depends how deep their well is…and if they are tapped into a good aquifer. My patents(mom) have had the house we grew up in for 53 years. Well is still fabulous. She had to have the pump and tank replaced a couple months ago…and the service was blown away by how clean and healthy the well is…it’s exceptionally deep too.

SLK mean temp 33.9F in December 2015, and 64F on Christmas Eve. Mean temp 2.6F in December 1989, and 18 days with a low temp of -10F or colder.

A measly .4" yesterday and today. Just enough to wreck a weekend.

just look at the radar - at 2:50 there is a large band of moderate to heavy precip heading towards the metro from the southeast over the Atlantic that will add at least a couple inches to the totals in Central NJ if it holds together