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  2. maley.chris78@gmail.com
    How come no one on this page ever talks about the 11 year cycle of severe winters like they do about summer 11 year cycles?
  3. IndTenn
    0 at my house in the warmest microclimate around Kingsport. It probably hasn't been this cold here since 2014 or 2015, when the camellias were defoliated.
  4. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
    Not necessarily, still too early to say imo.
  5. strongwxnc
    That last picture is awesome! WNC is the best place. Thanks for hiking and sharing.
  6. maley.chris78@gmail.com
    If there ever was a year that he would see his shadow, it would be this year!
  7. North and West
    .
  8. North and West
    Make sure you remind the kid that they’re born in the snowiest time of year for our area! .
  9. Ginx snewx
  10. mahantango#1
    My friends and I were walking on the Susquehanna River back in 1977 when we were teenagers. We erected a makeshift monument out of tires and some type of flag in the middle of the river, that was visible to the people in Dalmatia and to anyone traveling rt .147. We got a little over halfway across the river and we encountered thin ice in swifter water and turned around and got off the river. Those were the days, I got to do it with no regard for safety.
  11. SUNYGRAD
    Is this valued for a potential system? Thread?
  12. PositiveEPOEnjoyer
    That was the original line of thinking most had a few days ago before these new warmer trends, but now I’m not sure any region of the country ends up that cold relative to average compared to Dec and Jan. EPS are still pretty warm through the end of the run with a fairly strong -PNA signal, AI models are showing a similar pattern as well.
  13. Jake Wx
    6z NAM and RGEM. Pretty good agreement on the short range models
  14. Maggie Valley Steve
    6 this morning at the house.
  15. Jake Wx
    00z was way more juiced then 18z so we will see what 12z does
  16. EastonSN+
    It really seems to be the big wildcard here.
  17. MickeyTim6533
  18. mreaves
    Do you not use water? Even if you are on municipal water, it got pretty tight last year in a lot of places. I'm on the board of my village water system and we had to buy water for several months last year. Right now, even though we have good snow cover and there is a lot in the mountains, I would venture a guess that the actual amount of water in the snow pack isn't all that impressive.
  19. Cary67
    From LOT AFD: Also have to point out a growing signal for a southwest-flow synoptic scale cyclone somewhere east of the Rocky Mountains in the February 11-14 timeframe, with both the GEFS/EPS already favoring our area being on the warm side. Should a cyclone actually develop and we end up on the warm side, could easily envision forecast focus trending toward hydrology concerns considering the frost depth of just deeper than 13 inches at our office isn`t going to vanish anytime soon.
  20. jm1220
    Like having the snow cover but yes-the cold/dry is the worst. And even if we do get into the mid 30s during the day the density of the snow will make it take forever to melt.
  21. Buckethead
    -5 at the gate. That's only 500' of elevation difference. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk
  22. Met1985
    The coldest morning I've had in years here. Down to -1°.
  23. CAPE
    Latest Natty Blend looks like a general half inch across the region east of the western highlands. The forecast of less than an inch seems reasonable.
  24. Met1985
    A little inversion. Not as much as I thought it would be.
  25. CoastalWx
    I am more in the nrn part of Weymouth. I saw on here Pembroke with 3” and my folks had that in Marshfield. Not sure where the Pembroke report exactly is, but my parents are near the Pembroke line of Marshfield, just north of the rt3 and 139 interchange.
  26. GreyHat
    Wish as it would be nice to get rid of this ice. Some back roads still suck. I'll take the rain at that time frame but my long range is only looking like 40
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