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  2. Unrelated - but has anyone else been having serious issues loading the SPC Events Archive pages? Eventually they load - but stuff is missing - and sometimes it just throws an error on the left navigation area entirely.
  3. I read in one of the AFDs that places to the north of I 94 may get 18-36 inches of snow. I'm so jealous because I wanted my Uncle in La Crosse to have to shovel 2 feet of snow. Now he is only going to get maybe 8-14 inches with some sleet. Damn. I wanted him to get slammed with the 18-36 ha ha, then he has to dig snow. I was gonna call him up and brag about low 90s in south Texas while he breaks his back in deep snow with drifts on top of it.
  4. No don't be. Its ok, I'm just frustrated. If we weren't so locked in since Thanksgiving I wouldn't be so upset. It's just been so relentless, both our cold and their heat. I guess it didn't help that the two winters I spent out there with my mom were cool and somewhat wet. Both before and after my arrival and departure, the winters were warm and dry. Gives merit to when I say that wherever I am, there too, shall the cold be.
  5. We do seem to go on "runs" at times. 2008 and 2012 come to mind. Also I still can't believe that College Park in 2001 and La Plata in 2002 were less than 8 months apart.
  6. For mby? 4+ melting down to puddles, then the backside blasting thru making a frozen mess of everything for several days. Then spring happens next weekend. The Robins are not too pleased with back-2-back storms greeting their arrival.
  7. Yea for better or worse, if we go D2 MOD it's probably best to make a thread. We only average a mod risk once every couple of years.
  8. Other than Nov 28-29 big storms have avoided us completely here in Mid-Michigan. One the worst stretches of my life in that regard. Midland's climo history is not that great for Big Dogs fwiw. Harrison is marginally better but still kind in-between the target zones.
  9. Sometimes. Here is how a Nino 3.4 El Nino usually develops.. first over the dateline: Sometimes Stronger El Nino's will develop in the far east and spread west to Nino 3, but they typically don't jump to where the western ENSO regions have the same +std as the east.
  10. Snowing pretty good despite relatively mundane reflectivity. .
  11. i shared the stats not too long ago. this is our best season in terms of both snow and cold in several years.
  12. just not enough CAPE Monday but i bet there’s at least one NJ tornado
  13. @mappy - Do you still have you mod powers? If I bump this event to a standalone thread after the afternoon day 2 outlook tomorrow can you pin it? Or I guess @WxUSAF is a mod too right?
  14. Am I correct that most 18z models shifted the low se about 50 miles?
  15. The storm is getting going with moderate snow in SD, MN, ND. It seems like snow-virga is in Wisconsin and Michigan. This view gives the warnings that are most current, so not all the blizzard warnings show up.
  16. My brother-in-law’s out nearSturgeon Bay right now. He was saying that the grocery stores are sack run on even for those hardy folk up there
  17. Low of 48, high of 77. Humidity at 40% made for a very nice day.
  18. Honestly so much bust potential with this though. If the defo band fails to materialize, going to bust hard in many spots.
  19. Let's wait and see how things look tomorrow. Again - we have traditionally (at least since the past few years) kept things mostly contained within this thread. If there is no reduction in the threat level tomorrow afternoon or evening - perhaps we can do a shorter term obs thread/damage report thread. While the potential for a high end event is definitely there - you'd be crazy to assume we are guaranteed a high end event. There are too many failure methods with Mid-Atlantic severe. Would be silly to have a thread that ends up being for a 50-60mph line of gusty storms. We've seen many events look robust at day 2 to fizzle the day of - heck even some day 1 big dog potentials have fizzled.
  20. Vis under a mile now. Wind is shredding the dendrites and already causing minor drifting
  21. I missed you’re call for this event what is it?
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