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  2. jaxjagman
    For a Nina pattern the Gulf of Mexico has been dormant,other than TS Barry hitting the Bay of Campeche in late June there has been notta,that hasnt happened since 1991,You'd think we'd have an active S/Jet this winter,severe/cold,who knows
  3. Amped
    There's an inverted troff south of bermuda that is causing all the difference on model runs. The gfs and American models show it slowly moving north and dispersing it while the main coastal moves up into NC/VA. Non-American models are showing it quickly moving northwest and forming into a second low pressure somewhere well east of NC which shreds the other low closer to the Carolina coast One of the smaller features I've ever seen cause chaos in a forecast. Edit: 00z GFS initialization looks further west with that feature. It might be caving in.
  4. WxWatcher007
    Get well soon
  5. alex
    I’m not even following this convo lol. Either way, it’s been cold. I had a heart ablation this week and for some reason the cold really makes me feel the heart pounding. Not pleasant
  6. SnowenOutThere
    Meh, doesn’t drop south enough I’m sure we can do better for our required .1 inches of October snow (as the average always occurs)
  7. Wxoutlooksblog
    It certainly doesn't look like the big wound up powerful nor'easter we saw on the maps yesterday though a few of the models still drench us and kick up the winds. My gut feeling is the dry air works down from the north and that the low center at some point makes a righthand turn before the heavier rainfall is able to win out. I'm sure we'll get some rainfall and some wind gusts but to me at this point it looks manageable. WX/PT
  8. Weather Will
    WB OZ ICON is a whiff.
  9. dseagull
    I suggest you read the actual legislation, prior to what will soon become common knowledge. SOE declarations are an avenue for misappropriation of funds, and this has only emboldened those in power to declare them more frequently. While they absolutely do open the doors for federal funding, they simultaneously allow for interstate funding to be reallocated. It's not what you may believe it is. It occurs across party lines.
  10. Today
  11. NorthArlington101
    18z GFS is dangerously close to launching the Digital Snow Thread at 384…
  12. wthrmn654
    Eps at 18z had some clusters to the left of placed center .
  13. high risk
    Seems to be setting up a regional model vs global model battle. Good to see multiple CAMs in the 00Z suite give much of us at least 0.5" out of this event.
  14. WxWatcher007
    Oh it’s a lot of fun lol
  15. wthrmn654
    Is the nam trying to merge Jerry into the system?! Or am I seeing things
  16. Jackstraw
    Yeah thats about what we got from this last system. Threaded the needle N and S big time. With no measurable precip until fantasy range on the models here's to hoping the precip rubber band bounces back with sub freezing temps and as snow! Buddah knows, after last winter, we are way overdue for a bomb storm this coming winter!
  17. Weather Will
    WB OZ 12K NAM and 3K
  18. powderfreak
    Been sustained 20mph with gusts to 35 here on the OBX shore. We see this at the summits but the vast majority of inland locations don’t see this… the ocean front sustained 20kts on the dunes is fun weather. Cant imagine what a true 40kts+ sustained feels like off the ocean. The sustained part is important… it’s not gusts.. the air is just always moving at that speed at all times.
  19. Stormlover74
    Nam cut back but focus is on south and western areas
  20. FPizz
    Definitely saw some "damage " on some plants here today. Pretty sure growing season ended for my garden. Don't care about cities, they have had fake temps for decade.
  21. JenkinsJinkies
    Wow, I literally called it before you posted these.
  22. Stormchaserchuck1
    Our most recent good Winters Classic 3-wave cold N. Hemispheric pattern (vs 1 warm-AO) setting up in the Fall.
  23. Picard
    There is a lot of crap on X about this storm on X - seems like a lot of wannabes trolling for more followers. NWS was bullish on their X post at 6 pm - they still have my area at 2-2.5" of rain. Not sure about that.
  24. Stormchaserchuck1
    360hr 12z EPS.. this is not what you want to see in the Pacific/Alaska, but these correlations are like 54-55% going into the Winter, If anything it I think it just cancels out the wall-to-wall blowout good Winters like 02-03, but doesn't do so much for the Winters in between.
  25. Weather Will
    WB 18Z RRFS just came out. Good test for the new model.
  26. Weather Will
    WB 0Z NBM...
  27. IrishRob17
    Thank you for proving my point. I’d say that’s a no, at least not with government attorneys and/or emergency services.
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