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Agree

Now it’s going to spit out 6”.

Watch it show a region wide score just to spite you for that comment.

Look up Gilbert and Sullivan comic operettas, I think you'd like them. You can probably easily find recordings of any number of the operas they did...about a dozen from the 1870s to the 1890s. "Mikado" is generally recognized as their most popular and successful, both at the time it first came out and in the modern day. I've always liked G&S, grew up with recordings of them (my parents were big fans!) and was fortunate enough to see several performed live. What's interesting is that Sullivan (who did the music) was already widely recognized as a successful composer outside of the stuff he did with Gilbert, while Gilbert himself was a bit of a curmudgeon though had a biting wit, publishing various things in magazines and such at the time. The two of them collaborating together (great music, humorous and biting lyrics) were amazing; you cannot separate the music from the lyrics. Though they did not get along personally much of the time. And from what I understand, Queen Victoria at times was not overly fond of Gilbert's poking fun at various aspects of the government, etc. ("WE are not amused!!"). Sullivan was knighted while still alive, Gilbert was knighted posthumously. While I absolutely love "Mikado" and find it to be their most clever work, my favorite is actually "Yeoman of the Guard" which is their most serious operetta and actually a bit tragic in the end (though still with an edge of humor). Funny thing too about "Mikado." Some of the lyrics (such as the "Little List" song) can be modified to throw in local or current event references! They just facilitate themselves to that. I recall seeing it performed live one year in Ohio (not sure if it exists anymore, the Ohio Light Opera Company), they did several G&S performances each year. At the time, Reagan was President, and the person playing Ko-Ko, while singing "Little List" near the end threw in an aside of "...and Nancy, you know who!" That got quite the laugh from the audience!

18z GFS shows more snow in the first few days of March, a little like the 12z EURO

please dont post about it if it sucks..you are giving it too much attention. If it sucks- just dont post and we will know

per twitter 18z GFS got a bit of recon data; 18z ECMWF will get more than 18z GFS did due to a later data cutoff time. The rest will be put for 00z!

it’s just nearly always progressive with EC storms

It’s not worth over analyzing but I’d say it’s more likely than Pensacola recording 9 inches of snow last year.

Ah but wouldn't you rather a model tell you the truth? I mean honestly if it's right better to know now than later!

Why so?

Last night it was game over and late this afternoon it’s over a foot. This waffling CAB will continue and in this day and age we really don’t have an 80% or better likelihood until about 6 hours before onset. I too do enjoy looking at the massive numbers but it’s not a forecast and is an example of 30-40 outcomes each of which have a 3% chance of occurring. I think increased Ai input with analog basing will improve this random, patchy example giving . We pretty much all know what Can happen, how about what is Most Likely To Hsppen?

That is just for Sunday-Monday

if this is indeed real, the GEFS will be SE until the very end

Also the GFS brings it in later winds it up and at least several hours of snow would be while it's dark Sunday night

Looks like the OP was on the NW side of gefs.

We are giving it credit because it shows the most snow. I think if you polled the mets and serious forecasters here they would say that it's likely not correct but it is "interesting". Next step for the snow lovers is to see if other guidance starts to bend towards the westerly solution.

I'm pre-emptively hating the 18z Euro. Fuck ass model.

Best one yet but we need consistency and big moves tonight and tomorrow otherwise it's either a grazer or a whiff.

Other than the EURO/EUROAI I believe almost everything trended better at 12z and GFS continued that at 18z. It’s certainly trying

Model war continues. Gefs juiced up

this is pretty undeniably good. i like seeing the Pacific trough back up so that the ridge axis is closer to ID

I would be concerned that the frozen amount is overdone and in reality some of that is a mix or rain - to get 100 % snow down there any time of the year is rare