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When the models were showing a great pattern over the next 10 days and beyond a few days back, it was showing this system but it was way suppressed to the south because of the cold press. Now that the block is falling apart, the cold press isn't as much, allowing this system to come up north. Hopefully we still have enough cold air to snow if the precip comes up that far.
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Citrus crops don’t like the 18z GFS AI…
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New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
klw replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Hopefully that wolf eats less of its own poop than my labs do. -
IMO DC is a good spot to be in for this. Just far north such that mixing isn’t likely to be an issue, just far south such that they can get into that precip band.
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18z Euro gets some kind of snow back to I-81
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Frog Town replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Seems like that's been progged pretty well and is apparently part of the pattern change mid-January that everyone is banking on. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Stranger things have happened, ive seen it before. Jan 7th 2017 is a good example that was a suppressed whiff way off shore that came NW every run inside of 108hrs. But this needs a lot more work than even that storm, and that was a lot to ask. Worth watching thats about it, ensembles need to jump on board with not just NW ticks but some hits as well. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/jan-7-2017 GFS trend inside of 108 and it kept going -
12/31-1/1 Possible Snow Showers/Squalls to Start 2026
wxdude64 replied to bncho's topic in Mid Atlantic
Currently 34.8/21.4 at 7 pm after a 35.5 high. Not expecting much here, but getting the ground white is the goal, anything measurable is a win. -
Appreciate you. Thanks!
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
weathafella replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Not modeled and likely won’t happen. -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
dendrite replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Hopefully this guy -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
moneypitmike replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
moneypitmike replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
No.....I think I'm like .2. But even light qpf will have nice fluff taking place. - Yesterday
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New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Out celebrating…if you put Greta on that face..might have to bring the fangs lol. All good and funny. -
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Had a high of 51 after a low of 24 for the last day of 2025. My monthly stats: Highest temp: 77 Lowest temp: 18 Highest dew point: 65 Lowest Dew point: 3 Rainfall: 4.65" Snowfall: only flurries My end of year stats: Highest temp: 99 Lowest temp: 17 Highest dew point: 87 Lowest Dew point: 3 Rainfall: 53.6" Snowfall: 5"
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Euro is actually pretty good lol
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Where would we be without it?
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January 2026 Short/Medium Range Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Ah yes! I have found the jet charts! Sadly it does not look like it has been updated since early November Here is the link for someone if they can see something I didn't on the website for more recent info. https://www.atmos.albany.edu/facstaff/awinters/realtime/D1_Deterministic_NPJPD.php -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Sey-Mour Snow replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Here’s the GIF, ya it’s close .. it’s still 72-84 out .. would like to see ensembles at 00z jump onboard with some hits -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
DavisStraight replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Is that you in the blue? -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
brooklynwx99 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
i don't know how much we can really move this closer given the lead time, but it's getting a bit precarious -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
KTBFFH1905 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
And the boys are ROLLING over Dicky Pitino Jr. Happy New Year. Just poured an ice cold New Park IPA.
