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Yeah, wind and snow for a dome team like Houston...

Not buying latest run of HRRR verbatim, but would be a big time heartbreaker if it came true. 18-20” a mere 8-10 miles to my east. I could drive but if it’s “too impressive”, I don’t know that I’d risk it given limited & delayed snow treatment on roads in these parts.

This is due to a significant shift NW of the GEFS mean from 12Z to 18Z. More shifts later are most likely as of current thinking.

See what happens when the PNA goes positive low pressure on the coast correlation Notice how it's much higher than forecasted too.. 14 day had it at neutral.

Hopefully this pans out and it’s puking in Foxboro between 3 and 6pm.

We are very unique in the fact we are usually too far north, south, east or west. Lol!

Even if it snows there would be zero reason to cancel any plans. It takes a ton of snow to slow anything down in the city and that’s not on the table

If only the system got its act together 6 hours before it did, the area could be looking at 6-12, maybe more.

the AIGFS did not actually adjust NW from what I'm seeing. It was just a little stronger in the cyclonic envelope and by virtue of that slight increase ... expanded by a small margin around all quadrants. This may have given the allusion to a NW adjustment. I guess tho that's kind of quibbling ... I mean, if it ended up at 978 mb, it will have expanded it's impact radius that much more and I don't think it really matters sensibly - if you're in, you're in

has that ever worked lol?

For my sanity and everyone else's I hope this is not a GFS wild goose chase.

Ensemble Number 2 or 11 please

Boom big increase from 12z

GEFS is northwest of 12z and wetter: (DCA went from 1.2" mean to 2.3") There are also some members more amped than the op:

How much of this snow total can be cut due to evaporational cooling, warm air advection, and thunderstorms along the gulf coast?

If you're trying to break 1999's record high, yes.

Gefs also bumped NW

Gefs came northwest

I plan on traveling into Manhattan on Sunday. I'm not altering my plans until something other than GooFuS is on board.

Thumbs up in his green fluorescent DPW jacket.

That GFS run last night is likely the biggest, wildest run we will ever see for this area.

Actually more like a lower end warning event verbatim. It actually was not THAT different vs 12z in terms of dynamics leading in.

Good to distinguish for people.

Cursed