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Can't really depend on 70 degree days until mid May. Even then some years.

It could be worse. Consider the last four months in Phoenix: November: 3rd warmest; December: 1st warmest; January: 4th warmest; February: likely 1st warmest. Winter 2025-2026: 1st warmest by a large margin and potentially warmer than Phoenix's coolest spring on record.

My Climo is 61.

It has been fascinating to observe this trend emerge in the month of February, and I believe the extremes really do emphasize the fact that our weather patterns can be quite unpredictable during this time of year. Even the short-term forecasts appear to change slightly from one run to the next, so it is important to keep an open mind when considering the overall forecast. For myself, I always check several forecasts before making travel arrangements so that I can be prepared for changes, and thus far, this has prevented any travel or outings from being ruined by a forecast reversal. When traveling to the airport in unpredictable weather, using a reliable transportation service such as sallimoservice helps to alleviate this concern.

Euro out to 9. No changes.

Do you guys wanna get soft pretzels after this? We can get the cream cheese dip, I like the cream cheese dip.

2010, 16 years ago

We have to sacrifice someone when the GFS fails....your thread so....

They gave me a perc, so if probably be more disappointed otherwise. Big AI run coming up

when was the last time the GFS nailed a storm like its doing now?

I do think parts of S DE-S NJ can still get into the ccb but the gfs solution is a joke imo. Entertaining, but a joke

You showed up just in time... there's a lot going on this winter across the entire forum.

Hey @TheClimateChanger saw your post on the other thread....suspect you likely didn't want to "find" the updated 2025 Chester County climate summary. It is on the website but let me share with you both the climate summary and the chart you were seeking. Some interesting chilly climate stats that helped highlight our coldest year in 11 years - enjoy!

Graf the galoshes on the way out tomorrow

To each his own but I never understand why everyone is so anxious to close out winter in February.

we’ve entered the new pattern. it won’t always be pretty, but there will be plenty of opportunity.

Oh I know just pointing out how rare it is…also noting it because assuming we don’t get a gfs solution it shows how difficult it would be to win from the coastal here we need the low tracking up the bay basically.

Cheering on clouds today and a little ZR/IP over snow tomorrow? What kind of mental illness leads to that thought process?

Are you implying that science isn’t at the forefront of our current heads of Government? Who woulda thunk it Euro should be running soon. Godspeed, all

What in the hell is going on? I'll admit: I've checked out. That storm in January and the prolonged cold was more than sufficient and I've had other things going on to grab my already taxed attention span. I haven't paid really any attention.

Late February/early March 2015 comes to mind. Although, things turned warmer as the spring went on. May 2015 was near record warm. NYC Feb 2015: 23.9 -12.0 Mar 2015: 38.1 -4.7 Apr 2015: 54.3 +0.6 May 2015: 68.5 +5.3 I won't be surprised if one of the spring months was near record warm.

gfs trolling hard

Yes, it’s a crap model, it takes a few cycles for it to crap put bad initialization data. The profession would be easier if the gfs didn’t go out beyond 3 days. Or even existed at all.