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  2. Some legit gusts out there. Last month, I had my way too tall Leyland cypresses cut down and I think they had been acting as a wind buffer the past 15 years. The house is noisier today than I remember.
  3. A cold front passed through the area earlier this morning and our temperatures will slowly fall into the 40's and then the 30's this evening. A Wind Advisory is in effect for winds as high as 45mph so watch for some power outages in the normal spots. A chilly week ahead with some rain chances Tuesday night and again by Thursday night into next weekend. We do turn much milder by Friday with highs well into the 50's which is about 8 degrees above normal for later November.
  4. A cold front passed through the area earlier this morning and our temperatures will slowly fall into the 40's and then the 30's this evening. A Wind Advisory is in effect for winds as high as 45mph so watch for some power outages in the normal spots. A chilly week ahead with some rain chances Tuesday night and again by Thursday night into next weekend. We do turn much milder by Friday with highs well into the 50's which is about 8 degrees above normal for later November.
  5. I haven’t done any raking yet this year, but I just looked out front under my huge swamp maple, and I think I’ll get away with just my annual late, leveling the grass, snow-prep mowing.
  6. At least we’re not burning prime climo but I am very concerned given it being Nina and pacific heading to crap. All this blocking and +PNA we’ve had has still managed to produce a “heatwave” and northern storm track so losing blocking and pacific turning bad does not bode well
  7. They’re running for their lives up here. Lots of good ol’ boys up the hill shooting off their heavy artillery. I don’t even dare walk into the woods out back right now. There’s been a lot of wild turkeys around lately and I often see them stopping cars when they cross.
  8. The snow came down furiously in the late afternoon/evening. I have some videos from then and I recently rewatched them and remembered how heavy it was coming down.
  9. Most of us had a weaker 500 mb PNA this December than last year using different methods.
  10. Completely agree. I see the December, 1983 talk by some as being equally ridiculous….volcanic stratosphere from a VEI-5 tropical eruption the year before, +QBO, +PDO
  11. Raked the yard yesterday. Guessing you won’t be able to tell by this evening.
  12. My wife almost hit one last week, a small deer ran into the road in front of our car and just stopped and stared into the headlights. Close call but the little guy was alright.
  13. Yes. A PNA- is one of my baseline assumptions for December. The combination of EPO-/WPO-/AO- with a PNA- isn't all that bad based on the composite values and the majority of dates in the clusters for such a setup. There should be some intrusions of cold air into the East with perhaps some snowfall prospects. I could see December finishing with 2"-4" monthly snowfall in the NYC area (much more in the Great Lakes Region, especially Detroit to Toronto). For now, I don't think a blockbuster snowy month is in order. I don't think we'll see anything close to December 2010-type cold. I do believe that the EPO-/WPO- should thwart the possibility of a top 10 warmest December. Given the timeframe involved, changes are still possible.
  14. The ensembles are starting to show more of an Aleutian/Bering Sea ridge setting up in early December as opposed to an Alaskan ridge. If correct, that’s going to allow a lot more -PNA/RNA. I know Ray expected this to happen for December….
  15. But it FEELS like it’s the windiest and that’s what really matters
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