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Total deluge especially ENE areas

If only this was in January .

12z AI ensembles a little east but good hit. Curious to see deep mind later.

WPC cut rainfall way back. Days 1 to 3 show a drastic reduction DC North and East, while the days 4/5 and 6/7 are whiffs.

very weak but still around at the end of next week

2 months worth of rain too lol. Still too early to lock anything.

days and days! might have to take a drive to the coast

im kind of interested in something forming in the Bahamas later this weekend.. CMC had hints and now the Euro... GEFS members and some AI members also had something forming the last few days..

Serious coastal flooding on that run.

Damn that was a good recovery

Poor GFS .. just completely alone and lost at sea

I would lock this Euro run

Euro ends up being a good hit

Good to see winter tracking for 26/27 has begun - i.e. whether or not the rain and wind misses us or goes OTS at Day 4.

Here she comes

Euro backing in a little later. Definitely a precarious setup.

IDK...Euro has that look of backing in. Maybe it ends up east of previous runs but that H5 look through 120-126 seems to scream getting tugged in

Sable Island has trees?

Getting some pea size hail this afternoon.

I'm thinking your area does well with tonight/tomorrow's system with winds out of the ENE. Usually, you're in a rain shadow but that setup with moist air pushing against the mountains might be nice for you.

Yep. Fun while it lasted! On a serious note this is the range when models lose the storm.

Yup and at this point strength is not necessarily important. In fact, if one is looking for prolonged impacts you'd probably not want this getting as deep as it can get because that would probably result in a quicker occlusion. But because of the potential anomalous track of this system, the angle in which this may bank in is going to be more of a player versus strength.

Euro is going to be east

Absolutely. A stronger low with a graze track does nothing for most of us. The hook west is key to expanding and extending impacts.

Care more about track vs strength though. AI a nice hit.