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Looks like a flurry on radar lol.

40f next week going to feel like a heat wave Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

Heavy heavy snow. Holy shit

I HAVE SEEN ENOUGH. I AM DECLARING THIS WINTER OVER mid 50s in my parts next week..brief cold spell last week in February and all systems go for a much needed and much deserved warm March LFG!

A few

Only if there's a lot of easterly flow which isn't guaranteed.

I just hope we get precip at this point. It will almost definitely be a warmer winter than this year. But I dont care. Just give me moisture and I will take my chances. And hopefully an active southern stream from a Nino will provide that.

The American Storm @BigJoeBastardi · 9m wpo goes negative and look what happens 5-15 days after. Neither cold shot was seen a week to 2 weeks out ( hence record rises in NG). Be careful after the 20th

Looks like really warm last 2 weeks of February. Hopefully everything won't bud out too early and get killed by the inevitable cold in March.

Ah well..if having a glacial snow with almost 3 weeks of arctic air that barely got out of the teens--is the high point of a la niña winter, that is not bad at all. This has actually been a lot of fun! And It seems our misses weren't logbook misses but the thing I protest the most about ninas: the pesky NS, lol But it was plenty of cold, that's for sure! For next winter...I do hope we can take advantage of this niño and get it in a workable position. If we want a big dog soon, we can't afford to waste the second Niño of this decade...we only average 2-3 per decade to begin with! And yes I'm unabashedly HECS hunting too--niños are always our best shot at those!

How many drinks have you had this evening?!

Veronica Johnson laughs at your murmurs.

This period doesn't look quite as good as it did a few days ago, but guidance is hinting at a few chances for wintery weather. Still have a developing -WPO and a decent NA look with a modestly -NAO and tendency for lower heights in the 50-50 region. Yes the trough out west is not ideal, but also not a death knell given the other h5 features. Still looks like a somewhat colder regime is in the works based on the HL upper level flow.

The April 1841 snowstorm was a really big one from parts of the Mid-Atlantic region into New England. Philadelphia received at least 8”. NYC picked up a foot. Some parts of New England saw 20”.

My grandfather was born in Leavenworth.

Lolol a wonderful retort. You actually do sound fun at parties. You’re not wrong though, this does feel like we are grasping at straws here.

Same here, 37 the entire time from Mount Joy to my house. It’s amazing what thick clouds and sturdy winds can do for temperature consistency.

Where yall are, winter can last a long time since higher elevations help. We don't have that here. Mid March is typically the limit for us.

Looks like a bad porn video

Those two storms in Feb and March in the 2016-2017 winter, remind me of the same storm…they were quite similar in their amounts and I think of them as very much twins for some reason.

THIS lol. Man everyone is TRULY bored...

What we have is time- time for the models to converge on the perfect phase...time for the upper levels to align so that we somehow have a cold feed from the north into a pacific airmass.. and then the perfect track/ strong low pressure with heavy precip and dynamic cooling. All meteorologically possible!

Yes yes I am. A manic depressant who drinks whiskey all night with glacier non yellow sleet from my yard. I have dogs.

AIGFS has something brewing on Tuesday, February 24 around there. Cold enough also at least for that model run.