All Activity

Lots and lots of very marginal systems on the guidance the last few days. Let’s get to Christmas with nothing

Color me shocked.

I would wager we see the GFS tone down a bit as we get closer. I also wouldn't be surprised if we saw some other guidance even trend towards the GFS, only for guidance to back down Sunday evening.

ready 2 b buried

Gfs tried the same scenario again on the 6th. Tblizz approved.

GEFS really juiced up

That’s a good take imo.

Unusable for this system....00z was almost a full whiff.

Well, hopefully Kevin, Will and Ray get in on it and this isn’t just a bear den CJ.

Compare it to 00z

GFS is the extreme outlier now. I think it caves quite a bit in the next couple runs and the euro ticks another hair NW. Then the consensus all ticks a little more NW toward go time. Ukie came north a bit, but it was near Bermuda.

12. UKIE kind of meh

Personally feel that'll be the trend in keeping with the season. How far, who knows. Still think we're all in the game, but odds do favor N & W like 80-90% of all snow chances around here.

WB 12Z GEFS is better for NW burbs. Some nice hits....

If you look at 925 to 850 where a decent chunk of the region is like minus one C so, it could get fairly wet, especially if lift is below 700.

Where can this data be accessed?

Agreed. That 1-2 degree difference could make a difference Initally with accumulation

No, as I’ve been saying for days, this wouldn’t work or really ever work this time of year. Need to be north or inland.

Might be underdone where it remains all snow....the all snow zone isn't like 33F snow unless you're in a solution where the coastal zones and SE zones are mostly snow...otherwise, its gonna be 29-32F...so accumulation should be pretty efficient even if its a little pasty.

Kraft/Epstein tiny weenie farewell here.

Not in the mid to later stages of the storm but n the beginning stages when temperatures are marginal elevation wont hurt.

Dumping snow since 9am .

Exactly

The pivotal positive snowfall change seems useful for this one at the moment

I wonder how often that snowfall gradient has actually taken place in the Merrimack Valley area...