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  2. Avdave
    Two mornings in a row of 39 degrees. Got to 39.9* at 739am today. I am def liking this wx over last weeks.
  3. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

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    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  5. TSSN+
    Not excited about 38 degree rain storms? lol
  6. Mikeymac5306
    Clots are no joke man. I was diagnosed three years ago with a DVT in my calf, and a PE as I had multiple clots in my lungs. Spent three days in the hospital and wondered what if I never made it there? Scary situation. I will be on thinners for the rest of my life and even though I have full movement, my leg still has swelling. Hopefully Hurts can get off thinners and resume his football career, but it might be the end of it in Philly. Went to the Flyers game last night. They looked like they had a little more giddy up on the ice than the first 6 games.
  7. Damage In Tolland
    Living in an Oak forest and folks can understand why I want a full blowdown here. Take them all. Last year had zero acorns. This year the small acorn trees masted but all the acorns came down in the Nor’easter. None since thankfully
  8. SnoSki14
    Last November told the story of the coming winter. We'll see if this year November does the same.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right, I'm not saying it's the "golden ticket" for winter, but it certainly doesn't hurt...this also ties into what I am talking about in the northern Pacific later in the season. Not to mention that this particular block in unprecedentedly strong as modeled.
  10. bluewave
    These October Ural to Scandinavian blocks have become the new normal especially in October in the low Arctic sea ice era since 2007.
  11. MJO812
    Yep we have to see if it continues to dip during the season. Thats what altered alot of forecasts last winter. The long range 0z Euro AI eps also shows the PV taking a big hit.
  12. dendrite
    JB is resorting to AI now to try and explain atmospheric physics?
  13. dendrite
    Another heavy frost. Min 31.8° So much for upper 30s.
  14. bluewave
    These strong Scandinavian-Ural blocks have become fairly common post 2007 with the record low Arctic sea ice state. We also saw this late October into early November SPV weakening and bounce back pattern in 2021 and 2022. But as always it’s the Pacific which has the final say.
  15. CoastalWx
    Boy do they ever Just pointing with their branches and laughing as I clean up the yard into December. and I thought we were done with the acorn disaster last year. Just as bad this year.
  16. SouthCoastMA
    Checked out a bog harvest the other day in Carver, in preparation for the upcoming snow this winter. cc @40/70 Benchmark
  17. donsutherland1
    Next time I'm at the NYBG, I'll check where the peace rose bush is. If I recall correctly, it's at the north side of the rose garden. The rose I photographed was near the center.
  18. wokeupthisam
    Yeah kidding aside, a lot of variability across the region and even locally depending on dominant types of trees. Besides duller foliage and acorn cleanup, the oaks love to hang onto their leaves and laugh at my yard cleanups. As @CoastalWx said, they're tough trees
  19. Chris78
    Yeah. It's a really bad look. Looks amateurish. The last 2 weeks has changed my opinion on Daniels. The coaching quality is probably bottom 3rd of the league. But the teams effort in the second half most likely Saved DQ for the remainder of the season. And apparently there's really no one to take over if he were to get fired in season with have 2 rookie coordinators.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Absolutely...QBO is somewhat different, but solar cycle is night-and-day.
  21. LakePaste25
    I don’t think this winter ends up anything like 97-98 except that we see lots of coastal storms. 97-98 had a favorable December and became progressively worse. This one looks more like the classic torch December followed by more back loaded chances.
  22. rclab
    Good morning Don. Perhaps the beautiful photo you posted is not the original Chicago Peace rose, I thought of. My mom was a rose aficionado. I planted a peace rose for her in the mid 60’s. Jackson and Perkins still sells them now as they did over 60 years ago. Thank you again Don. The photo helped me remember and I do try to ‘preserve my memories’ as always …. .
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    That's another thing....the "default to El Nino climo" works both ways.....often they verify too cold because of that, but if they can also miss key developments independent of ENSO that lead to more wintry periods.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    That's what happened last year, and although it recovered in the short-term thereafter, it predisposed the seasons to additional disruptions during mid winter.
  25. bluewave
    Beyond 15 days the weeklies have been defaulting to El Niño climatology. The forecast from the start of October illustrates this point. Hopefully, they start releasing the new bias corrected versions of the weeklies to the public so we can see how much skill they have compared to uncorrected version. Notice how more of a spilt low pattern between the Aleutians and California developed than the default to October El Niño climatology. New October 19 to 26 forecast Old forecast defaulted to October El Niño climatology
  26. mitchnick
    It does show a quick recovery, but stay tuned because 10 days ago this warming wasn't even showing up on the Euro. In fact, it showed a strengthening PV.
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