Jump to content

All Activity

This stream auto-updates

  1. Past hour
  2. That's what I'm thinking, too... Mixing is needed and some backside dvm from elevated cv in that band might do it
  3. Send it this way! 47 isn't horrible but the clouds and 46 dew point means it's uncomfortable. Bring on the sun!
  4. Much brighter now, sun is about to break through, temp up to 48. I prefer it cool when doing the spring cleanup anyway so no complaints from me.
  5. I'm guessing I'm about an hour or two more away from it lifting up here then
  6. For sure. If not this weekend, then probably late next week a lot of folks are going to be doing their first mowing of the season.
  7. Even if we get some breaks of sun I don't think we are going to see any sufficient mixing. Forecast soundings (both NAM/GFS) are overly enthused with mixing potential. Obviously if we are able to break and mix (maybe happens locally) temperatures will jump quickly.
  8. Precisely, there is a delicate balance and that needs to be understood.
  9. At precisely 5:05pm yesterday, the temperature in Fairbanks, Alaska reached 33 degrees. This marked the first time the temp climbed above freezing since October 31st, 2025. 153 consecutive days below freezing. You needed to know this.
  10. I'm out from under it and can say it gets nice fast! Mostly sunny with a light breeze and 67
  11. 2.33" yesterday, and some nice elevated boomers. not bad
  12. I will go with a B. 11 inches of snow. Reached 0 degrees, which that had been a while. A nice snow in the teens. Pretty good winter.
  13. It’s wild how tall gras. A very warm, wet March makes everything explode.
  14. That's what I have always maintained...if we hit like 2035 and are still in that pattern, then I'll capitulate....but the tide already seems to be turning. Obviously the word is warming....I'm not disputing that, but I'm just referring to the ability to discern the degree to which these patterns/phenomena are a byproduct of CC versus how much they are attributable to natural variation. The atmosphere is still cyclical...it's just warmer, and some of said cycles are becoming augmented and somewhat increasingly stagnated.
  15. I’m basically filtered sun now. The low level fog is gone. Just need these t-showers to kick through and we’re good.
  16. Today
  17. That’s SW downslope off the Catskills. But yeah it will slowly improve SW to NE. But I think we’re skunked most of the day. Maybe SW flow off the Monads will work in our favor.
  18. Given that the greater Kyoto area has a population of 3.6 million people (with I'm sure a similar but upward-sloping curve), and is thus subject to UHI effect - I'd say yeah you could adjust that. Not saying UHI accounts for that - just saying that it can account for some portion of it. I'll reiterate what I have often before - IMO the only fully valid datasets with regards to MMGW are ones from truly remote areas. Sea ice, ocean temps, and fully-rural sensors - thumbs up. City-based or even suburban sensor data - not so much.
  19. These next 10-15 years will be critical in the CC aspect and exactly how much of an influence CC has had. So much has been talked about regarding the lack of Arctic ice cover, the abundance of active Atlantic hurricane seasons and increasing number of storms undergoing RI, the western/mid-western droughts and excessive heat waves...all of these are also a result of the PDO/AMO state we have been in. So the question is, did CC just further exacerbate the intensities? But what happens once we get the PDO/AMO to flip? If we're continuing to see these recent trends continue with a flipped ATL/PAC that could speak volumes. Even though we are barely into spring, it is definitely encouraging looking at some of the very early analogs for the upcoming winter. Would much rather be seeing looks similar to the 1957-1958, 1969-1969, 2002-2003 versus something along the like of a say 1997-1998 or 2015-2016. Obviously those were in the super category but the point is...the very early signs at least yield some encouragement TBH, if any of the early signs pointed to one of those years I'd probably just not even bother doing any digging for the upcoming winter lol
  20. It's lifting north at a good pace now. I'm just breaking into sun as I type this as confirmed by the satellite image.
  1. Load more activity
×
×
  • Create New...