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  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, CC is limiting the utility of traditional indexes....we need a RONI for the IOD.
  3. LakePaste25
    “La Nino” pattern with the strong southern stream (relative to seasonal normals) that curves northward due to the se ridge. Could be due to the lingering warm pool that @bluewave refers to
  4. Damage In Tolland
    And we even get a Stein out of it all week!!
  5. Damage In Tolland
    Dew is 71 LFG!!
  6. forkyfork
    every wx discussion gets ruined by snow people. unwanted plague rats
  7. PhiEaglesfan712
    Yeah, 1976 was the year when the highest temp was hit in April, during the Easter heatwave, for many spots in New England, and as far south as Philly. Things turned cold very early that season, with October 1976-January 1977 being the coldest October-January on record. (The spring that followed was one of the warmest on record, despite a snow event on May 9-10.)
  8. tamarack
    April 28, 2009 hit 89, tops for that year. In 28 years, we've had two months tying on 3 occasions and in 2010 the warmest (88°) was reached 5 times - May, July(2), August and September, hence the fractions below: APR: 1 MAY: 3.2 JUN: 10 JUL: 9.4 AUG: 3.7 SEP: 0.7 Hottest here of 93 occurred on July 3 and September 9, 2002. Low of 44, now approaching 80, but clouds have dimmed the sun. We've gone from 5% leaf-out on Friday to 50% now and climbing; might be the quickest leaf-out I've seen.
  9. weatherwiz
    One underrated aspect that is going to suck about the RRFS replacing the various meso models is it runs MUCH slower
  10. SnowGoose69
    The NAM begging for its retirement on 8/31 to be moved up with its forecast for TSTMs across the NE tomorrow afternoon
  11. Voyager
    I'm finding out my thyroid is affecting the way my body handles both cold and hot extremes now. This heat is a little rough. 70s to low 80s are perfect.
  12. Stormchaserchuck1
    PNA just not budging with this El Nino May could be the 4th consecutive month with -pna Not really much of a consistency rolled forward, historically.
  13. NepaJames8602
    Agreed, not sure how anyone "sane" can say that's enjoyable.. but.... To each their own lol.
  14. GaWx
    1. Per that table, 2023 had a record high IOD for the months of Aug and Sep. 2. Keep in mind that IOD levels have had a notable longtime rise though. So, that biases more recent years toward a higher +IOD. Even the warm neutral (as opposed to El Niño) 2019 had a very strong +IOD in autumn/2nd strongest only to 1997! And as I already said, the very weak El Niño of 2018 still was able to have a strong +IOD.
  15. Itstrainingtime
    It's 88 degrees at 10:30 in the morning. Sorry to my hot weather friends but this is ridiculous. (to me) Forecast high is now 98...
  16. weatherwiz
    yup...north today, south tomorrow. damn. NAM came back down to Earth too with the mlvl lapse rates...had a feeling it was a bit too aggressive with the steeper lapse rates. DCAPE not bad though...probably see some scattered wind damage reports tomorrow along that swath you mentioned
  17. CoastalWx
    86/73. Dews maybe a bit high on the Davis but it’s muggy.
  18. CoastalWx
    Tomorrow is a South Coast day. Probably like a BDR-PVD-PYM on south.
  19. CoastalWx
    Man this is great stuff. Look how excited everyone is.
  20. weatherwiz
    Not too mention the BL flow becoming a bit more westerly...which may be related more to a faster FROPA. Looks like better convergence towards the south coast
  21. LakePaste25
    hopefully this pre nino summer is a bust and we set multiple heat records throughout the summer. I love hot and humid summers
  22. NepaJames8602
    Already looking forward to this weekends cool down, when you can actually go outside and not melt. Hopefully we get some good rains!
  23. dendrite
    83.0° The usual S-SW downslope spots are torching. North of the whites and NE of ORH hills
  24. Typhoon Tip
    I thought the other day the models were too liberal with theta-e advection/pooling N/E of NYC just because the the antecedence has been a bit of a dry anomaly. Not sure if that'll be the case ...buuut, right turning clusters Pacman gobbling CAPE toward the source seems like an option in this synopsis, either way.
  25. pawatch
    I had one storm go to the south and the to the north, Trout Run area. It split….
  26. weatherwiz
    3km is a shutout tomorrow and the HRRR has development from eastern PA moving across NJ, southern CT, and southern RI lol. 3km probably ran using Breslow's algorithm
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