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I know, at least we have Thanksgiving 89 and another event to help. But almost 4 years without an6” event

Ya…80’s were the worst. This has a ways to go, so the ones ready to hang yourselves, get ready for more punishment.

37 with plain rain here. Nothing frozen at all, it’s been above freezing since yesterday.

He’s in a daze…we have to cut him a break lol. Guy’s punch drunk.

At one time I had family in the Fort Kent and Caribou areas. One of my uncles said in all the years he lived in Caribou there was only one school closing that he could recall and that was because the school bus doors were frozen and could not be open

There were a couple of ways I felt we’d head in early January. One was we’d gradually transition to something more +PNA and favorable for 2-3 weeks. The other was we’d lose the WPO/AO/NAO and it would go ugly for at least awhile if not most of the rest of the way. Some years in similar groupings of analogs did see that happen. Right now it looks like we’ll avoid that. The weeklies showing the same pattern for like 6 weeks into late January as recent as 5-7 days ago as we discussed somewhat was always unlikely as it feels as if the last 15 or so years we never hold any pattern in the winter for more than like 3 weeks anymore

Bought a Sony … Tokyo > Seoul!

It’ll miss CT too..give it another run or two.

if 850s are that cold...i would suspect....when the precip is heavy even down here we could see snow and sleet mix

All we can ask...

Dude, I went 4 years without a double digit event in ORH.....think about that for a second and take into account the climo and location.

Right...I am referring to the monthly mean...not implying wall-to-wall +2SD PNA for all of January...

Extreme dewpoint gradient from near 60° in WVA to below 0° here ahead of the storm on the Euro.

Nahh…this will do the same in time. We’ll get something to happen too. But we back to it.

Yeah, looks okay there, but like I said, large majority of the area, not great. Glad SW CT can score on another event

I am beyond happy with the amount of snow we have here in New City Rockland County as I expected an inch maybe 2 and this event is definitely doing much better than it was advertised -----Merry Christmas everyone THIS IS GREAT !

Blocking looks really strong. GFS might be closer than you think

Just under an inch in Allentown. Nice ground whitener. Now on to Friday!

Back in the stone age (50s-60s) NNJ schools would schedule a few "snow days" to avoid early summer classes. (No schools had AC then.) I think only 60-61 required the extended days, as we lost 6 days to snow. Fortunately, the Feb 3-4 bomb was Fri-Sat. If mid-week it would've closed 3 days instead of one. I'm sure that Fort Kent has been lawyered away from the 70s-80s when our 9.7 years there included only 1.5 days of closes, all in 1984. Based on the 12z runs, I'd bump Jeff's hood up. He's close to the Pike, so already in the 8-12 color.

I didn't say anything about 95-96, i said late 90s specifically 96-99

It's pretty good for CT, esp SW half....not good for E MA.

The 12z suite looks reasonably consistent w/ the exception of the 12z GFS which for whatever reason sometimes completely loses the NAO on random runs. The 12z AIGFS looks about right. So, we are just gonna sub out the 12z GFS and grab the sixth guy off the bench.

Even the 80s were better here. Once in a blue moon something happened.

way too early for that...still could miss with the S trends on several models

It was a treat! Even the cat was running around in it, skidding on the driveway, lol.