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That pic was the last minute of sun. No thunder or lightning nearby. Wind, though. Here comes a wall of rain.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Damage In Tolland replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
87/77 This is how we dew it -
Storms seem to be getting stronger in NE Maryland as they move East.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
CoastalWx replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
We do the dew. Summer baby. -
Today's set up is almost identical to ydy. And the SPC outlook looks very similar as well. So multicellular clusters once again. We do have the storms nrn areas now, but the clouds should clear out nicely behind it all for plenty of aftn heating. And VIS currently clearly shows boundaries laid down S of the tstm area.
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SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 543 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 110 PM EDT SAT AUG 8 2026 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 543 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS DEC001-003-005-082200- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0543.260808T1710Z-260808T2200Z/ DE . DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX $$
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as the storms over southeast PA keep moving east - northeast they are starting to become severe and there are other fast pop ups developing further north towards Allentown
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The line of storms were disorganized over my area and it only rained for about 10 minutes. They looked strong just to my northwest and southwest. Once the line passed my area it has rapidly developed and there's a ton of thunder and lighting just to my south, extremely heavy rain too it appears. Not sure if any upstream redevelopment will happen or not today.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
SouthernNJ replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
An early line approaches from the west, some strong winds are possible due to the environment out ahead of it. -
Yesterday was a case of how hugging models can burn you for a fcst big time. This is where human fcst skill and intuition comes in. I stated the setup in a previous post and noted there were no reasons why there would not be sct-bkn coverage fro tstms Friday, and that was the case! Not tooting my own horn, just saying that models are far from perfect, and only *simulate* the atmosphere. They are not direct copies! And it shows that we are far from having fcsts automated. esp, for mesoscale phenomena.. Also, sometimes ppl will say, "well, this is the latest run (of the HRRR (for instance), so it has the latest data, so it *must* be more right than previous runs!" Obviously, that is flawed reasoning. Models can be wrong for all sorts of reasons in any given run, and sometimes egregiously so. And it is not always apparent why they do that. That's ok b/c they have limitations by default and again, the human fcst part comes in here and is still of very high value! Also, SPC had a SLGHT risk of svr tstms for the region. Why would one just ignore that? I would defer to SPC outlooks the vast majority of the time, as that's all they do, fcst convection! It was not highly conditional case (BOOM or BUST) w/ strong capping in place. Convective temps would be reached easily so decent tstm coverage was high prob. So putting in zero POPs for anywhere n the DMV yesterday has me scratching my head.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
RedSky replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Next week a taste of fall -
I see hopefully they get some today .
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Great Snow 1717 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
...some people enjoy making energy executives even more wealthy... -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Brewbeer replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
oppressive is never great -
12Z UKNEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 96 HOURSFORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 12.0N 53.2WLEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WINDVERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------1200UTC 12.08.2026 96 12.0N 53.2W 1012 260000UTC 13.08.2026 108 12.5N 56.2W 1010 281200UTC 13.08.2026 120 12.7N 60.3W 1010 290000UTC 14.08.2026 132 CEASED TRACKING
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What's up with that? I used to play a few of these back in the day. Golf seems to be booming here in Maine.
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Those storms in nrn MD now, the HRRR even through 13z did not depict them well and dissipated any cells quickly. What they may do is lie down an outflow boundary to the S for focus of potentially stronger storms later.
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SE TN needs some rain,most of that part has been more scattered rains,its basically the only part of TN thats in a drought right now
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Did you happen to also notice that the Colorado State model did a decent job zeroing in on northern NJ for the storms yesterday?
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Yes we do! I do not think others know how dry it has been up here for the past two summers. Northern Fred Co. would get the rain and the Southern part would not. That being said drove home in that line that just pushed through here. Wow the car was shaking in the wind. I was more on the southern end and got .34”. Still some light rain and thunder but the line shifted North and Downtown Frederick is getting slammed.
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In June, many people here were talking about how they had never seen lawns burn out so early. It looked terrible with all the brown grass during the severe drought. I understand your point about too much rain, but we want enough to keep things looking green. As a vegetable gardener, it's always frustrating to me when we don't get enough rain during the spring and summer. You can water all you want and that does keep the plants going, but it's not the same as rain water. I always notice in the spring that the plants in the vegetable garden have a big growth spurt after a good rainfall. That doesn't happen from just watering with the hose during dry periods. As I mentioned, I lost some of the first tomatoes to sunscald in early July due to the combination of extreme heat and extremely dry conditions. Thankfully things turned around over the last month with plenty of rainfall. The vegetable garden is doing great now. Obviously you and I will never agree on this subject, lol.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I picked up .09". Really, and uncannily, these suckers are riding almost the exact same track as yesterday. It's really the Rt. 30 corridor and south that's getting wamboozled right now. -
Watching from Mallorca and Pikesville may get clipped.
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#GlenBurnietoo should get it's daily flooding and storms later on. I'll hear the thunder and get .03 like always. Lol
