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From Ryan Maue x feed on the NYT article: "It's official: without climate change, the ongoing Eastern United States heat wave is "virtually impossible" Climate scientists performed an autopsy of this week's weather and determined that it could not have happened in the past 500-years w/o the burning of fossil fuels" Q. Can the they do an autopsy the hottest decade on record the 1930's and explain that one for us too? RM. Their study started in 1950, so anything that happened before would not be relevant. LOL!!
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Nice
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102/74/115 at DCA is just brutal.
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96.8/78.4/115 Greenspring Valley
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Jeff B started following Big Heat Week into July 4th Weekend
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“Hey it’s only 101 today when yesterday was 103, this is different and awesome”
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Ah, the obsessant crybaby, s*** man.F****** go get a life.Get off the social media.Enjoy your life quit being miserable. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I hope he keeps posting more. It has nothing to do with where you think it should be posted and everything to do with your head stuck up your pathetic a**. You get what i'm saying there social media Karens. -
No it’s hot as shit out, same as the other days
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Actually its more like 3-5° each day here. And again, who said its NOT hot as shit out? That is/was a given. Imagine a snowstorm calling for 8-10" and you get 4-6" and say "it still snowed". That would never fly here lol
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SLGT risk line moved southward on 2000 SPC OTLK into DC metro
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Briefly got to 99.6 = 100! Back down to 99. Brutal out there. HI 112
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coastal dewpoints can be brutal.
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Enhanced risk now for southern MI. Storms on the west side looking nasty. Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0233 PM CDT Fri Jul 03 2026 Valid 032000Z - 041200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEBRASKA INTO WESTERN IOWA AND SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN... ...SUMMARY... A swath of damaging to severe gusts is expected across southern Lower Michigan over the next few hours. Scattered damaging gusts are also likely over portions of the Mid Atlantic. Otherwise, scattered wind damage and large hail are still expected from parts of Nebraska into Iowa today. Isolated to scattered severe storms remain possible extending eastward from the northern/central Plains into the Midwest and Tennessee Valley. ...20Z Update... The main change made to this outlook was to upgrade southern Lower MI to a Category 3/Enhanced Risk, driven by 30 percent/CIG1 wind probabilities. A cold-pool-driven MCS, with some bowing tendencies and a history of producing numerous measured gusts in the 60-70 mph, is rapidly approaching southern Lower MI. KGRR inbound velocity data shows a rear-inflow jet exists with this MCS, and surface observations/latest mesoanalysis show a favorable environment in place for bow-echo persistence. Surface temperatures are exceeding 90 F in spots, amid 70-75 F surface dewpoints, yielding a gradient of 1500-3500 J/kg MLCAPE. Up to 30 kts of effective bulk shear coincides with this buoyancy gradient, with vectors oriented normal to the MCS leading-line orientation. Therefore, the expectation is for a damaging wind swath to occur over southern Lower MI with the passage of this MCS. At least scattered gusts will likely exceed 50 kts in intensity, and a few of these gusts may exceed 75 mph. 30 percent wind-driven probabilities were also added over portions of eastern PA into far southeastern NY and NJ, where surface temperatures are exceeding 100 F in spots ahead of a developing multicellular cluster. While vertical wind shear is modest, the well-mixed boundary layer is yielding low-level lapse rates well over 8 C/km on a widespread basis, with corresponding DCAPE approaching 1500 J/kg. As such, several of the stronger storm cores may produce wet downbursts capable of at least tree/wire damage on a scattered basis, and a few severe gusts are also possible.
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Montauk is 94. Hot sand
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
102F/DP 71F at 3:35pm -
693 FXUS61 KPHI 031900 AFDPHI Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 300 PM EDT Fri Jul 3 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Confidence has increased in potential flash flooding impacts across portions of the area on Sunday and Monday. Otherwise, the forecast remains in track. Concern has grown this afternoon that a threat for flash flooding could evolve Sunday into Monday, given a slow moving or stationary frontal boundary draped across the area, and tall, skinny CAPE profiles with deep moisture. In fact, model guidance is indicating PWATs potentially exceeding 2 inches, which is above the 90th percentile for this time of year and near the daily observed maximum. Given these factors, rainfall rates in storms could exceed 1 to 2 inches per hour. As of now, the WPC has placed a Slight Risk (2 of 4) for the I-95 corridor and points west both Sunday and Monday, with a Marginal Risk (1 of 4) for the remainder of the area. The front is expected to finally clear the area Tuesday, with high pressure at least briefly building back into the region. However, daily chances for isolated, primarily diurnally driven convection, could continue through the middle of next week.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
TheClimateChanger replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yes, not fun. One correction - it was July 5th, 1972, not July 3rd. Knew it was near the 4th, just mixed up the day. -
Just drove up to the Fredrick MD area. Car thermometer noticeably tracked the mesonet, with lower temps in the slightly higher elevations of MoCo, and then back up over 100 going down towards Frederick.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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JFK and LGA both hit 100. Wonder the last time both of those sites both hit 100 on back to back days
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My backyard also hit 101. 99 now
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
KMDT is at 102 -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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