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-baby steps -this model is terrible in this situation -this looks like _fill in favorite weenie storm

There is also some resemblance of the DMI this year in Oct being close to 1998,which was not a cold year,of course there are other teleconnection but this was a EQBO/-PDO

Euro looks solid with 2 to 3 inches for this area. A slight bump north from 0z. This is looking like a nice little event.

I think the one hope is the vort comes in a little stronger. Should get a better sample of it on the 00z runs. I don’t think it would be enough to help further north but it could be enough to get the pike region more firmly into a 2-4” type zone instead of C-1”. It would also help get the southern peeps in on a borderline warning event. Again, unlikely but we’ve seen some last second trends before and the stronger vort is probably the most likely way you’d get the small bump.

Euro is great for I-95. Crashing temps, snow at night, it's a weekend. Money.

Doubting we will be getting an inch here. Snow in the air though probably

Such a great start to the skating season. Folks already on the CT river Oxbow as of yesterday. Almost every pond in play out here. Only drawback is some were already frozen when the snow came on 12/2. I looked through the records and we're colder than 12/05 and 12/77 to date. Maybe 12/89 beats it. That might be it. Impressive.

I'm in SE Baltimore county. Not far from the bullseye.. glad I didn't buy the snowblower I was gonna get... I might have jinxed it lol

This should go into the common phrase book. We should also think about sun angle. .

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Honestly if that actually turns out to be the case Skynet should do better in subsequent similar setups.

I guess an inch would look festive.

That winter was the best I've experienced, though 83-84 in Fort Kent is close. After watching the Wash/NY follies in the snow, we had light snow that began to intensify about bedtime. Woke up to low teens, S+ and 15"+. finishing with 18. Friend and I slogged thru the powder for a couple hours without seeing anything (NJ's firearms deer season opener) and headed toward home. There was my dad standing over a nice little buck about 250 yards from the house. He then schooled me on field dressing the critter - my first snotty thought, fortunately not spoken, was "Why can't he gut his own deer." Eight years later when I finally dropped a deer, I was very thankful.

beautiful run for DC. Road trip lol?

Skynet prob not seeing John McClane’s caution flags and broadbrushing QPF too far north.

12z Euro - it has been steady for days....

Skynet hopefully is right. Solid advisory event for most of sne.

Meaning PF will be making snow angels in 2' of sn out on the picnic tables

Both 6z euro op and euro ai were decent at 6z. Euro needs to hold serve because seeing hires models outside of Reggie kind of meh makes me nervous.

the banding sets up basically perfectly for DC/Balt

Yeah, Lock this one up for me.

12z euro backed down a little from the 06z “zonked” run…no surprise. Still a decent event for far Se areas.

At last! Improvement across an entire suite 40 hours out...maybe this one has a better chance