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The sun is gonna be at a very symbolic 32 degrees altitude by the time our storm arrives.
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I'm so terrified of the Euro solution. I can't handle another sleet and freezing rain storm when an hour north of me gets a foot of snow.
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Anyone have the 18z euro snow mean? Thanks in advance
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Is the blue line the mod average for snow? What’s the green line? .
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Sure!
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow 1/23 - 1/31
CPcantmeasuresnow replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
Where do you live that this winter has been so horrible for you? -
This is epic sig material, right here.
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Upper level support is still pretty far back and there's potential stream interaction as it swings through. Not saying some huge dump is still inbound but verbatim, decent lift and dynamics are continuing beyond this hr144
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Fields27 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Didn't the models lose that storm for a suite or two before bringing it back? We have time. Nobody wants to be the jackpot 5 days out. But like you said, a N trend needs to happen soon. Sent from my SM-S938U using Tapatalk -
Mid Atlantic is gonna get totally demolished. We've only just begun.
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On the darker side, EuroAI ensembles looked to have lowered 12z qpf at DCA and BWI by .3" and York, PA by .2". Hopefully a blip.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
jbenedet replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Zzzzzz 1982-1983 was a record setting EL Nino. AN in the north; very warm winter. Meanwhile Boston running -5 in a moderate La Niña…. -
2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
snowbird1230 replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Hate looking ahead but shouldn't this produce major NWFS on the backside with such bitter air crashing in behind the storm? -
The 7H and 85H moisture track with a weak 85H low reflection still back into eastern TN. I’d say at least another 6-10 hrs looking at 3hr precip panels and progression. Precip still likely back into the Apps with that look.
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Could you do one for jackson tn? Im just west of you guys lol
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Hello?? Echo...echo....echo.... Welp, nobody in here yet. Thats a good sign.
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow 1/23 - 1/31
WeatherGeek2025 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
this will either move north or way south. It's definitely not going to just stay where it's at 6 days away. If you're in New York you're either getting clobbered or no snow at all! no middle -
I just want a long duration snow event with temps in the mid teens. Strong lift through the DGZ with 15:1 or better ratios. Is that too much to ask? Been awhile.
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8 foot snow drifts you say? This was 2016 out here. 40 inches. Insanity. Another one while it was still puking
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Sorry for the image dump! Let me know if I should take this down Definitely see the warmer scenarios/warmnose more in the ensemble than deterministic euro
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I said it looks like a part 2 for us up north in light of that northern stream trough.
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WU app now back up to 16.8" for the event in Kernersville. A bit comical to watch the wild swings from 8" all the way to 22". A lot is going to ride on tomorrow's model guidance. Many decisions to be made by logistics companies throughout the region. As many have noted, having no immediate warmup for nearly a week after the event is going to wreak havoc on transportation. Please make necessary plans for family now. It could be days before you might be able to reach them. The bread runs will be in full swing by tomorrow night.
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Close enough... 1.25-1.5"
