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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
RitualOfTheTrout replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Couldn't have asked for a better day after the storm yesterday. Deep cold and on and off mood flakes / fresh coatings. Looks like another round of light snow today, probably a coating to an inch type deal. Weekend threat isn't dead, but odds are low for any impact here. NWS take on the situation: In one scenario, the upper low occludes earlier (Friday into Saturday), forcing surface cyclogenesis tighter to the coast. In this scenario, there may be ascent in the northwest quadrant of the low and the potential for frontogenetical banding (highest probability in western/central PA and northern WV). Using a quick probability of 0.15" QPF (approx 3" of snow at 20:1), this would produce ~60% chance of at least advisory snows. Though this scenario is around 25% likely overall. In the other scenario, the trough either does not produce a closed low or produces a closed low too late and off the Atlantic coast. This would produce cyclogenesis too far east, only resulting in a ~10% chance of advisory snows. This scenario is 75% likely overall. -
I'd be more worried about ice damming than structural issues, unless your house is framed with balsa wood. Based on the temperature forecast and the amount of snow on my roof, I am worried about ice damming.
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Hes a meteorologist in SNE. He didnt do that well with the last storm. Hes right about the pattern though. It's very favorable.
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Arctic Hounds Unleashed: Long Duration Late January Cold Snap
WxWatcher007 replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Dropped to 2.0° at WXW1. Coldest of the season so far. -
Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.
40/70 Benchmark replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
987mb mean I'm not worried at all about this missing....probably going to want the cushion later this week. It's the evolution of the life cycle that troubles me more than the track at this point. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
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Not sure if anyone has posted for Nashua, my measurement 20.4" give or take.....
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Winter 25/26 General Obs
Holston_River_Rambler replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Getting some Lake effect flurries off of Watts Bar this AM. Wondering if anyone else upwind is seeing anything. Looks like something similar off of Cherokee aimed at West Kingsport -
6F. Wind stayed up too long last night to bottom out. Maybe tonight.
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Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.
HoarfrostHubb replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
The end of my driveway was brutal because of the plow that came overnight. The snowblower took care of it. But off to school I go. -
Why do you say?
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Temp has really fallen right before sunrise. 7 when I got up this morning at 530 and has fallen to 3 currently. Nose hair freezing cold!
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Long way to go with this weekend, but need a good day of trends today. Last week at this time, we were concerned about suppression. It turned out that Toronto & New England did very well while the southern PA mixed. We still had our best storm in 5 years, but it could have been more with a little better track. -
Is that a PistenBully?
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8.5" final. Very powdery and easy to move. Best kind of storm. Really freshens up the landscape and looks to stick around for a while.
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Next window of interest feb 5-7
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I ain’t mad things haven’t trended well. It happens. It will snow when it wants to
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The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
strongwxnc replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
06GFS at 96 has the SLP in the GOM side of FL just west of Tampa. .You can see development back into the Carolinas but as it heads ENE is misses the phase. But super close. Then bombs out off ILM from HR 105-111. -
Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.
40/70 Benchmark replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
I'm not crazy about how far to the south it digs as presently depicted. -
The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
mstr4j replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
Cooked, toast, stick a fork in her - If you are triad or upstate, sc looking for snow....You Can Forget About it! This forum should change to coastal, NVa, SE maintains thread. Upstate and Triad we have the worst snow climo ever and it used to not be like this! -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Thanks @Yardstickgozinya ! -
It appears 7.8 will be my low this morning. Actually, a bit warmer than I had expected.
