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this, chilly weekend washout is not welcomed; was hoping to finish the body work and painting on my old cars before it gets too cold for the paint to cure properly

Even the EPS moves the heavier precip off shore for the most part except from Long Island into eastern New England where the most significant impact from this storm will verify most likely at the moment - but things trending more towards the GFS/Canadian solution west of Long Island this run at least

Euro ai ensemble mean is stalled south of BID for awhile.

Trash model

could be inside that pellet stove if you get it going ...

2.50" on the nose since Sunday.

2.5” of rain since midnight

I think the 1st one dropped 46" max over the Big island.

And 6z Euro. Maybe spoke too soon.

Would like to avoid turning on heat and pellet stove for as long as possible…. Where’s the torch?

Down to 28.8 last night. Gets just a tad lower every day lol

0Z Euro - what happened ?

54 looks to be my low

6z euro is nasty here. Looks like it was drunk at 00z.

Heroes

I don't think it's hyperbole to say that all time US records for rainfall could be broken, with the slow movement, size/strength, track and of course terrain enhancement

Let's wait and see what the 12Z data shows

Imagine doing that with 100lbs of equipment under the stressful conditions in which they completed that task...

I was never buying the GFS way OTS or the Euro hooking into NJ. And i was never really "excited" for this event. I've had enough rain and would have preferred to get a few things done outdoors this weekend. Lots of fairs, festivals, and fall events going on this weekend as well which sucks for those people trying to make a living. 30 mph winds isn't enough for me to sacrifice a weekend outdoors. I can understand those along the coast being a bit more enthusiastic if the stronger/closer solutions verify.

This will be my 3rd year doing it. I did the Freedom Tower stair climb in June. Had to climb over 2k steps and 104 floors. Took me over an hour but I did it .

Awesome.

The warmer minimums this month relative to the maximums have been driving the departures. NYC stands out at the coolest major urban station with the trees too close to the sensor giving an assist to the cooler minimums relative to the nearby urban sites. NJ and Eastern PA have been the warmest sites this month to date. New England has been the coolest this month which was further from the record ridge to our south. 9-1 to 9-22 minimum departures MPO.. +3.0° NBW…+4.4° PHL….+5.2° SMQ…+3.6° EWR….+2.6° NYC…..+0.8° LGA…..+1.4° JFK……+3.1° ISP……..+1.8° BDR…..+0.7° HPN…..+2.2°

This could be another great test for AI guidance. However, didn't we have some similar scenarios last winter (maybe not truly anomalous as this setup is given time of year) but where we saw AI guidance holding steady and then collapsed towards traditional guidance inside of like 48-60 hr?

Good for you man. Great cause.

.97" yesterday and .03 overnight. Event total 2.42". An above-average month; first since May and only the second this year.