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  2. Who's shocked the 6z euro is great again.. not me .. think we can just toss all 6z and 18z euro guidance.. it's a joke
  3. I don't think there's any model showing 4" right now.
  4. It should be abundantly clear now that the plausible scenario of a warmup within a few days of December 20 has become the baseline scenario. The weakening WPO- regime coupled with unfavorable teleconnections will allow for most of the CONUS to see temperatures move above normal. The ongoing warmth will continue in the West, as well. It is also increasingly clear that the PNA will wind up predominantly negative this month. Most of Canada should remain cold beyond December 20, however eastern Canada, including Ontario and Quebec could begin to warm up several days later.
  5. Just how long and strong will this advertised warm up last? Will it get cut off at the pass or will we all enjoy warmer weather? Does this also mean there won't be any frozen precipitation events either?
  6. Hagerstown really can’t catch a break with this one…
  7. 06z euro north/more expansive and better for just about everyone. Gfs is still stressing me out.
  8. Looks like the back half of December is written off then.
  9. Good morning everyone! NAM 12K for the win? Think most of us would be pretty happy with that NAMing
  10. 6z GFS following suite, definitely ticked back. Scraper
  11. Wow! I woke up around 1 this morning and was shocked. The heaviest snow of the night was coming down hard. Somehow I picked up between 1/2-1inch of snow at that time. This morning it’s melted from underneath down to between 1/2-3/4 inch. It’s all on the grassy surfaces, rooftops, trees, and vehicles though. Not really that much, if any accumulation on my street. Really an overachiever here. I guess the rgem and RAP pretty much sniffed this one out. Seems like the rgem does really well with clippers, but like others had said, it’s been so long since we had one I forgot what a clipper looks like
  12. Wxrisk.com setSponrdo3961308alc9ga6i201l6cc4t853u29t37ml0a0g25hfcu876fa · MAJOR DEVELOPMENT WITH WEATHER MODELS.... starting DEC 17 !!!
  13. A few flakes here…maybe More snow last Saturday and Tuesday than this non event here.
  14. Seeing these setups before, I feel like the eastern solutions like the GFS and now kinda the latest Euro make the most sense but what do I know.
  15. Today
  16. Well you didn’t really expect December to end up like 15 degrees below normal for an entire month, did you? lol
  17. Extended about as bad as it gets, makes sense we see folks in the bargaining and denial stages still
  18. WHAT? __ trace of snow WHERE? __ on ground WHEN? __ later IMPACTS __ none, dog may sniff at it FUTURE __ bleak in Texas, get out while you still can
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