All Activity

I wonder if the “2nd thread rule” will apply this year?

It would be great to window that over the northeast US and limit it to known winter precip events. Yes it's an IMBY interest but not just as a weenie... in terms of weighted impact those are the highest value runs.

That will be the question going forward i guess, Do they stay separate? Or do we get a partial or full phase.

Sorry, the Arena Football League is defunct. However, the Phillies season begins on Thursday, March 26, 2026.

So... I'm still not in the GFS camp... But, I have noticed it settling back over the last few runs. In the end.. I think the middle ground will have us ( everyone 84 on north ) more wintry than rain. The question remains.... Will it stay predominantly snow or be more of a mix. TBH.. I'd be happy even if it is a mix over rain.

Yeah it really liked that 2nd s/w dropping out of Canada and phased it right in.

Nam causally takes the low like just east of Baltimore and is a total cool job lol.

dry or rain always lock it in, if it shows snow i never believe in unless it's 24 hours away!

Sorry, the data just does not bear this out. The steady progression of model fidelity and accuracy continues and will actually start another upward spike as AI-based models are integrated with physics-based models.

12Z NAM amped hard to believe this is correct if you are saying the GFS is too amped

More GFS like than Euro

NW/Illinois and Mich State/Maryland are going to be interesting games. Looks like OSU/Mich will be mostly done before its impactful

25.3

I don’t expect much at all there.

We do? Enlighten us...

Nam zoinked is always entertaining.

Good stuff today. Patrol opened the Front back up. Photo from a friend.

I think it ends up more progressive…

A track like this, this early in the season, was always tough for snow in the city (not something new). I remember the December 2003 storm was around the 5th. That was BARELY all snow even back then (that had actual blocking). A benchmark track this early needs a deep cold air mas in place or blocking to keep a cold high / ne wind in place.

Where is your farm? It must be in a nice "holler".

Def a marathon of snow today. Real good day to sit inside and watch some football.

Yesterday's PV forecast has it impotent thru early January again.

I think we have a pretty good idea

How about Taunton?

I need it north and so far it should be just right. 9" in my text is a nice increase from where this started.