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I tend to agree with that. But hoping it speeds up a little. Although a snow day this early in the season isn’t ideal. #conflicted

Yeah that last inch or so on my driveway sublimated quickly. .

First event of the season! My take: Euro is an outlier, not buying verbatim and expect to see that tick NW over the next 24 hours. Seems like that’s been a pattern for that model over the past few seasons. NAM is doing its overamped NW thing but beware those midlevels for CNE and SNE. I have a feeling congrats dendrite with this one which is typically good for me too. Happy winter everyone!

Got 5 I'll call it to stay consistent with reports from around the area. Would have been a total bust if not for that late morning punch where we got half of that. Had nearly an 8-9 hour stretch with nothing in between. Both bookend periods were of higher quality powder than I expected. Lost an inch or so due to some melting, compaction and a small bit of drizzle around 3am. Got Pingers too for good measure lol. Not my best Nov snow but a top 5 in the last 15 years since I've been here. Sadly Nov '25 has tied my entire winter last year. Congrats to the final table up N and good luck to all over the next week. Me thinks a Dec warm up is not far away. Hopefully we are timing out for good holiday systems this year!

Isn’t it mostly Tuesday afternoon/evening. Doubt there will be any cancellations

Hopefully this storm will allow me to stay up to watch the whole Pats/Giants game…

It’s really nice.

You'll also be rooting for storms that hook in but stay just outside the benchmark. That's our sweet spot

I doubt anyone gets 10”+. It’s quick moving and you would need really intense rates.

Not trolling, just a novice observation and welcome any explanations. But I am so tired of seeing the comment about "snowpack being laid down will help us" every single year. Anyone want to elaborate on why snowpack across the mountains and 500 miles northwest will help our battle against a nearly decade long SER problem? Sure it may help with cold-er air chasing our moisture from the southern stream. But I honestly cannot recall a single event where snowpack was featured as the reason our temps were favorable enough to enable a winter storm. What's the thinking here? (And any case studies?)

I think you’ll really enjoy that area in the summer. I’ve actually never been to that town specifically, but anywhere along buzzards Bay there is nice.

Where the purple starts on the SE side is where the accumulation begins imo. Don't doubt someone could see 6" within that area though, further inland caveat of euro being correct

Was confused for a moment because I distinctly remember a December 5th storm which crushed LI, noteworthy for how quickly it melted away. But I see now that one was 2003.

Its not just 1 run. The eps has been schooling the gefs

In fairness to WNCSNOW, he is as excited as anybody when there is something to be excited about. He doesn't necessarily like to look for the positive when it requires a little searching, but he is quite often right because of that. I don't think he is trolling at all. He is just a realist. Realism can be painful around here though, lol. He is a little negative, but he is a good dude and a good poster to have on this board.

Not too shabby

Surely more to come this winter..

What a beautiful EPS run for December. Start low always can bump up

Unfortunately, that’s just one run. But what is persistent is the trough over Alaska. Ideally you would want to see a ridge over Alaska heading into the Arctic which will force the coldest air into CONUS. Mind you, colder than normal temps don’t always equal snow. December 2022 was colder than normal too, and was quite stormy across CONUS with significant snow storms. But for the northeast; it was mainly rain. The month can be cold overall, but when it counts (when there is precipitation nearby, it might be too warm down here for snow.) That being said, the long range looks to be stormy enough across CONUS so hopefully that can coincide with the colder temps and make some snow over here.

Yes--SE. I'll be calling for the shuffles in my new spot. They'll happen and I'll still wind up with 1/2 of slush and I'll call it a win.

I just think it's this cycle we are in. We will break out of it eventually. Just one of those things.

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 113 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025 NYZ067-010700- /O.NEW.KOKX.WS.A.0003.251202T0900Z-251203T0300Z/ Orange- 113 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 7 inches possible. * WHERE...Orange County. * WHEN...From late Monday night through Tuesday evening. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. &&

Might have put Putnam/Rockland in there but can always be added tomorrow

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 113 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025 NYZ067-010700- /O.NEW.KOKX.WS.A.0003.251202T0900Z-251203T0300Z/ Orange- 113 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 7 inches possible. * WHERE...Orange County. * WHEN...From late Monday night through Tuesday evening. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. &&

This is kind of where I like the nam when it starts getting into its range it can kind of show that stuff.