All Activity

Puke

Yeah it is still the best model. But as we’ve said so many times, it isn’t just the utterly dominant force relative to other guidance that it was in the 2000s/2010s. The gap has been closed some. The way you know deep down it’s still the best is that every single person here if they had to pick a model to be on an island showing the solution they want, they’d still pick the euro. Nobody is picking any other global model to be on an island in the medium range.

What a flip

Nah man not the snow but the scent from the palm trees in Billerica

All joking aside, the nearly constant cold, snowpack and overall tenor, I’m close to an A grade at my location as it stands.

I had birch seeds blow onto my fresh snow…need to cover that up.

Actually hit 72-78 throughout the region

That’s gotta be it, fully saturated column but no lift generating freezing fog… suddenly the model thinks there’s lift once it sees the terrain. Probably a gross oversimplification of what’s going on hah

Just saw on the memories in my Iphone, today in 2017 was a blizzard for many of us. Was in the 60s the day before, 2/8/17, with a winter storm watch for 8-12" of snow for the next day. I remember how many people in my inner circle couldn't believe it would snow the next day. Precip started out as rain around 40 degrees around 4 am, and then temps crashed and it was snowing by 5:30 or so. Very heavy snow all morning, 9-12" here in NYC, and a blizzard just to the east of us. Great storm, followed by deep cold.

Tuesday night a chance of freezing rain…yuck. It was a nice day today but never got above freezing. 26 degrees was the high.

March 2023 meet February 2026?

12z EURO

Refresh the refresher

You had a post disappear. It corrected "like" into a jewish slur. Pretty sure you didn't mean that.

Did you just call him a ground hog?

You're retired and we rely on you, you have to have 6 more weeks in you.

Yes..hope so. I’d like to pick up a couple more inches. Let’s pad the stats. Closing in on climo.

Average highs might be too warm but what is the mean 850 and wet bulb temp? Again why do you act like we need a cold regime to snow. We have needed that recently but historically we got so many snowstorms in marginal thermal regimes if we get a good storm track. Do you know how many Baltimore snows were 45 the day before and after it snowed. We need those to return. Because cold regimes are often dry! A big part of our snow climo was from snowstorms in marginal temp regimes not cold ones. One of the reasons we are stuck in the worst snow drought EVER is that for the last 10 years or only snows when it’s cold. We need to get snow when the pattern isn’t perfect or Baltimore is going to continue to average half of what it’s long term 140 year average actually is.

Huh?

Lol, loud.

All that meant was that it was going with the flow..which has been cold. I didn’t say it was right. I said it’s following the tenor. The model isn’t impressive. I didn’t hump it when it showed the blizzard the other day for next Sunday. It’s just another model. Period.

Time for an IP ban. (kidding! i noticed that IP drop down you have)

Yeah it isn't going to snow down there in this upcoming pattern lol. Barely any chance up in our area. If they get precip its gonna be rain. The cold airmass is long gone. Good for them tho.. we be droughting.

"Could be"....The typical way to make a forecast leaving yourself an out if it fails, which would never happen, of course, since MJO 20-30 day forecasts are always accurate. I suspect you've got to pay those people if you want a real forecast.

Anyway I’m just busting you in the dead zone. Let’s juice this system up more at 00z