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Yea this evenings batch sucked big time. Maybe we squeeze another 1/2”
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Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
Torch Tiger replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Nice band going 495 ish -
FWIW. From a respected met Mike Masco..about the upcoming storm ANOTHER STORM SIGNAL NEXT WEEKEND? As one storm exits, another is already on the radar. And once again, the AI European model deserves some credit — it sniffed out our most recent storm well before any of the traditional, physics-based guidance. Now the AI-EURO is back, flashing a storm signal for a southern low tracking east across the country NEXT WEEKEND. What the model is showing: Phasing of the northern & southern jet streams over the TN Valley as a northern shortwave diving in and infusing southern energy. This creates a surface low tracking along the arctic boundary in place later this week. We consider this track a classic “Southern Slider” setup with plenty of cold air in place to the north with moisture binding against the gradient. What could go wrong? 1. Too much cold air → storm suppressed south (big snow for the Deep South) 2. No phasing → weak, disorganized system 3. The model is… full of it (and we crowned it too early) Why this could be legit: 1.MJO heading into Phase 8 — historically favorable for eastern U.S. storms 2.Guidance is very bullish on cold air, usually tied to strong thermal gradients 3. Blocking signals showing up on both the West Coast and western Atlantic
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Storm potential January 17th-18th
RU848789 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Calling it over at 8:45 pm, as the snow became light around 8:20 pm and looks like it'll be just flurries from here on with precip ending shortly, unless there's a surprise. Anyway, we got 2.4" of new snow for a total of 4.1" today and 5.8" over two days, which I'm ecstatic about. Another very pretty snow as it wasn't windy and the snow was wet enough to stick to the trees. Going to finish watching the football game and then go shovel. -
As snow ends now, we had around 0.7" earlier, and around 1.7" tonight. So that's a total of 2.4". With the 1.1" yesterday, that's 3.5" for the weekend. I wasn't expecting anything yesterday so I guess that makes up for today's bust. Around 13.5" for the season (1 inch shy of last winter's final total.)
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1 inch this evening total for the day here 1.75. Was expecting more this evening.
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Eyeballing an inch from this evenings batch so 2” on the day. 17.5” on the season. Currently light snow and 32
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For sure, hopefully we will have a clearer picture by tomorrow evening. We battle the warm nose w/ nearly every big system over here. Will reset and head to 0z.
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Storm potential January 17th-18th
RU848789 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
7.9" just today? -
Picked up 2" from this second round to go along with 1" this am so right at my 3" prediction . 2" yesterday so 5" for the two days. Remember late last week when it was looking like less than a half inch for sat and today's storm staying mostly south? At least for my area anyway.
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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion
SomeguyfromTakomaPark replied to snowfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
lol I hope you’re right but I won’t feel comfortable until about hour 72 or 48 after last years Feb debacle. -
Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
Diggiebot replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Meat and potatoes snow -
Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
CCHurricane replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
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Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
Diggiebot replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Looks like it’s aimed at Plymouth cape cod -
We went sledding at Blackwater Falls tonight - it was in the low teens with light pixie dust snow. Fun times and highly recommend for those visiting. Currently 13.9 with pixie dust flurries, fire going in the wood stove, and enjoying a martini.
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I do need to emphasize that I’m only talking about the algos that produce the WxBell EPS AI snow maps having a major issue. Regarding the qpf and other maps, I have no evidence to suggest these are off. So, I’m saying that it’s possible that it’s only the snow maps that have a major problem with regard to EPS AI.
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Storm potential January 17th-18th
donsutherland1 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
The 0.9" was the storm total through 7 pm. Some additional snow has fallen since then, so the final figure might wind up around 1.5"-2.0". -
Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026
WinstonSalemArlington replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
Probability of a foot or more of snow -
Storm potential January 17th-18th
CPcantmeasuresnow replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
2.9" for today, 4.8" yesterday. Pretty much over here. 7.7 inches for the weekend, 26.7 inches for the season. A great weekend -
January 25/26 Jimbo Back Surgery Storm
WinstonSalemArlington replied to Jimbo!'s topic in Southeastern States
Put it in the archives -
Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
Masswx replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Hopefully -
Storm potential January 17th-18th
dmillz25 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
11.6” on the season! -
Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
Damage In Tolland replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Just make sure he he’s warm enough. Maybe throw an extra blanket over him . -
1.5 Jersey City heights. Didn’t have time to measure this morning but around 1. So roughly 3.7 over the weekend.
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Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
HIPPYVALLEY replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Prolly good for 2 more tho’
