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Up at UMass for dinner, sun is out

Extended looks primo with a range of 40-70ish on deck.

Imo the cold this winter(as well as some recent ones) was more a function of the EPO/WPO and the location of the TPV, which allowed for cross Polar flow and cold Arctic air to penetrate further south. The NAO was favorable at key times this winter, but overall fleeting. Just a matter of lucking into a storm chance at the right time, which is always a bit complicated for our region in a Nina. The AO state is always important for cold and snow chances at our latitude- Historically the number one indicator for above avg snow in DC. Some of this may be shifting however.

Snow has stopped here and the skies have brightened. The evergreens are lightly covered with snow as if in a painting by Bob Ross.

It will be very nice to kill off some of the skeeters that might have gotten going though. Late spring frost and freezes play a vital role in making sure disease carrying insects don’t get too bad in the summer up here in the Midwest/north. Sure some crops may suffer but overall late spring frosts/freezes serve a purpose and are a net + for the local ecosystem. Insects/diseases are no laughing matter in the southern states, all creeping north with time…. As person who spends a great deal of time in forest preserves, I am personally very thankful for this frost/freeze.

That back edge is racing east quick. Hopefully you break out into some sun. Cleared out here the last hour and its beautiful out.

Beautiful out right now. Feels like October.

Large discrepancies between WB 18Z RDPS and 3K NAM for Tues am...

Interesting to note that we are still holding the "south-based +NAO" pattern with -AO, that started in 13/14, 14/15 and has continued... NAO was like +0.60/month this Winter, which was interesting because it was below average temps, with -AO dominating that.

What did you graft? I know you were trying plum before That’s a good initial sign, but there’s stored energy in the scions to initially push growth out the buds. You want to see an inch or two of growth before knowing for sure that the graft took.

Take snowcrete and persistent cold from late Nov into March and extreme cold after Snowcrete and 2.5-3.5 weeks of snow cover and the March 85 one afternoon snd snowing next afternoon and I rank this 3rd/4th since 2000

.10” in the bucket today. Getting my popcorn ready for a 2,000 word Drought Guy post

Nice last hurrah on this back edge. Big dendritic growth melting on contact. 34° Starting to see the disc of the sun on the western horizon and the wind is picking up.

Incredibly rare phenomenon here right now, quick burst of snow despite it being 47 degrees outside

Okay, yes...fair post. To me, it makes sense that the strongest of ENSO events, which are El Niño, reverse....but I can't say definitively that that trend will not cease with more data. We will just have to see. I wasn't trying to be dismissive, so sorry if it came across that way.

He’s gonna get crushed tomorrow

Nah they’ll be a coastal that stops at Wilmington, MA.

More snow than he sees all next season?

I agree.

Barely any rain today. Cold. Awful

Congrats S Wey tomorrow. 3-5!

Saved for April final tally and Jan-Apr totals Below will be forecasts for May. Just as a reminder to have forecasts done by May 1st 6z. Penalties will be every 6 hours after 6z of 1% off total at the end of the month of May.

Updates through 4/18 DCA NYC BOS ORD ATL IAH DEN PHX SEA +8.2 +5.6 +3.1 +6 +7.6 +4 +3 +5.5 +0.3 +6 +4.5 +2.5 +5 +6 +3.5 +2.5 +4.5 +.5 Most places in the east and plains should cool slightly from these values above over the next couple days and essentially remain steady to the end of the month. In bold are the values I would expect to see for these locations by the end of the month to give you an idea where we may stand. I will add normal and consensus at the end of the month and update the January-April totals to reflect it as well. I also will tally up the snowfall forecast we had this past season as we progress through mid May to make sure we don't get any surprise snows in the front range over the next month.