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Do we think Saturday morning will be dry in New Paltz?

AI will eventually “fix” the human problem

Paris, like NYC, has multiple sites. I referenced one such site.

You have to be careful in extrapolating to the future because the relationship between temperature and mortality is highly non-linear. The curve for mortality is very flat in the middle and steep at the edges particularly on the hot side. The reason more people die due to cool weather is the average temperature in the US is below the optimum temperature for mortality of around 70F. The problem is that warm side mortality rises very steeply with temperature. The more we warm the more likely that increased hot weather deaths are going to outstrip cold weather benefits. Per the chart you posted, hot-weather deaths already tripled in the US in the past 20 years. Going forward probably better to assume the same percentage increase, i.e. another tripling in 20 years rather than a linear increase. Just a swag of course. Note that the US will differ from the London chart I posted. Same shape but we are more used to extreme hot and cold weather.

We never had heavy rain just a prolonged period of on and off light rain, occasionally moderate.

It's a rough time for sure. Not sure how/if it can be fixed.

My kind of weather. Let's do this

83F/DP 54F Partly Sunny Expected low 58F Can't bitch...especially the DPs.

Hopefully cold, rainy, and foggy for the 4th. I don’t want any 250th anni fireworks BS going on around me. Shut’em down

The official high for Paris was 105.6F.

It looks 90-95 July 1-4. Then 80’s and humid after . SNE

WPC increased 7 day totals

There's kind of a built in assumption in these posts that we don't have the technology to help with these issues. This isn't 1850...both from a global temps perspective or a tech one.

Does/will CC lead to more net harm or more net benefit? That depends on whom you ask as there are many different perspectives as well as biases. For example, AGW alarmists see only the bad effects and believe the worst case scenarios. OTOH, AGW deniers like Joe Bastardi don’t even acknowledge AGW! I don’t think it’s black and white. For example, I as a near coastal resident put more emphasis on past and progged sea rises as well as increased TC related rainfall/peak wind potential than many far from the coast since I see the direct effects close-up. The frequency of significant to major coastal flooding events nearby has increased greatly. This is both with tropical cyclones and without them including King tides on sunny days. Charleston, SC, is a great example of this. I see soooo many coastal flood advisories for there nowadays, including a large # on sunny days! It wasn’t anything like that in the past. However, I also acknowledge that a portion of this there and at places like Louisiana and even Manhattan is caused by sinking land. As a near coastal resident, I also have been seeing up close higher avg SSTs and accompanying higher dewpoints/heat indices making summers worse.

I would hope that north/south/east and west all get a good soaking................... The extended NWS slows the front down because Sterling increased my POP on Sunday from 30% to 60%.

AI just add another layer. Now it is easier than ever to create flashy content, and this floods the market even more. FB and LinkedIn are *loaded* w/ this this crap now, and it is spreading.

new mesoscale discussion

Different time and can't compare to today. The problem is everyone doing it now, and thinks they can get rich or a make living. Pipe dreams as the piece of the pie is sliced so thin, there is little left for any individual. It just becomes race to the bottom w/ more ridiculous claims and hype, and ppl do not know what to believe, and thus start tuning it all out. How is that good for society as whole? One can't deny the detrimental impacts here. That's what I am pointing out. I know how it is and how it will not change.

As the planet's been warming food supplies have been going up. Way up. https://ourworldindata.org/data-insights/food-supplies-have-grown-even-faster-than-the-population-on-every-continent Try again. *Please* don't be so brainwashed by the scaremongers. Look at the data behind the claims. It simply does not support the claims of some growing apocalypse.

Couple a 'nader warnings up in Southern Wisco

Part of the means of having the resources to have AC is access to abundant inexpensive energy. In less-wealthy countries that means one thing - fossil fuels. Deaths from heat are often caused by excessive strain from physical activity. Activity that can be relieved by machines that are powered by fossil fuels. But that aside - let me reiterate that more people die of cold than from heat each year. You seem to be willfully ignoring that fact.

I'm sure AI will know to politely skip over all that and not "learn" from it We're going to end up with AIdiocracy

hmmm well it is Colorado, maybe was trying to put an order in for edibles

It looks like +9C is about to pop in the subsurface on TAO/Triton!