All Activity

Just went down to the water, it's roughly low tide and very low on pilings but since it's ice covered not dramatic looking as blowout tides go. OTOH, stuff is happening and LWX verifying. I'm not sure when this occurred but the people's pier that is usually in my pics took a hit. Pier looks ok but dock at the end is kind of crumpled sideways.

The GEFS, GEPS, EPS, ICON-EPS, EPS, GFSAI, ECMWF-AIFS and EPS-AIFS are all very dry out through 10 days. That has been the theme of this winter apart from last weekend.

The guys a quack …period. Ask him how the Eurasian snow index is?

Yeah downsloping wind always exceeds temperature forecasts.

Way too much assuming this furnace / end to winter will happen

Visible sat from 2pm- you can see the extent of the snow cover in the Carolinas, Sside VA, and NEGA,

Yup.

Bring on spring I am ready. But if wishes were dishes..

Judah Cohen cancels winter - before May? Like where even am I?

Def rainstorm for all of us coming around vday. Weeks of below avg cold then rain from bomb cyclone (cnn) tracking through msp. How we roll.

Well hopefully we can get something this week. Because as far as I’m concerned, if we miss everything since the storm before MLK and go into the warmup with nothing, that’s a fail to the much talked about favorable pattern. Myself included in that.

I looked at the EPS/GEFS through Feb 7 and there isn't any real qpf. I also looked at those to the end of their model runs and still look bleak but didn't post as they show grey in the area, still not much for qpf.

I think both storms next week have the opportunity to surprise with some high ratios it does not take much to get a 4_-6" fluff bomb. Those were the bread and butter in the 1960s with usually 6-8 storms training in the winter Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

It's around 16F here, wind blown drifts 3-5 ft in places.

2023 just took too long to develop. By the time things turned cold, it was already May and June, and the snow season was over. We got our coldest June since 1985, and (tied with 3 other years) for 31st coldest June overall at PHL. To put into perspective how impressive that cold was, December 2025 was only the 48th coldest December, while January 2025 was the 46th coldest and January 2026 was the 59th coldest January in PHL.

Our chance at getting something major is likely when the cold relaxes. Pattern will be too suppressed until then. It doesn’t prevent us from getting a few inch clipper if we’re lucky. But we risk again when the cold relaxes that we go back to SWFE and cutter.

Nah glue factory remember

AI needs to learn this website https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=box

I was referring to your suburbs remark

The Euro / EPS kept torching us and it never happened. That definitely occurred. Maybe this time we end winter early but I’ll sell

Noted.

Here's the answer I got from AI when I plug in the -1.9F others reported: "Boston's January 2026 weather was 1.9°F below normal, with a monthly mean temperature of 29.4°F compared to the typical average of 29.9°F. The coldest temperatures occurred mid-to-late January, with lows dropping to -13°F on January 26 and -18°F on January 21. Despite the cold, snowfall was moderate, with 10 snowy days recorded, and total precipitation at 1.76 inches, which is 52% of the normal January rainfall. The month began with milder conditions, peaking at 53°F on January 15, but rapidly cooled as the month progressed." They show a mean of 29.4F and an average of 29.9F, a difference of -0.5, hardly -1.9. And Boston certainly didn't get to -13F and -18F during the month. If this is how AI is going to work, I'll never use it again.

If someone else has a better idea for weighting or calculated a winter metric let me know. Looking at the forecast for next week the 14 day period starting 1/24 and ending 2/6 has a great shot at hiting 6.89 which would be in the top 2.5% of all 14 day periods going back to 1890 Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

We didn’t really have that to an extent. This time we have an AK vortex with a conus chinook.