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Big amplified MJO wave push into phase 7 then 8 come early next month. This is in addition to the expected explosion of typhoons in the PAC. No doubt yet another huge WWB and subsequent DWKW is coming. +IOD expected to pop come mid-July. Increasing confidence that we are into a super El Niño by the time met fall starts (9/1)

Models have been really bad lately it seems.

Rank Newark (EWR) Central Park (NYC) LaGuardia (LGA) JFK 1 108°F – Jul 22, 2011 106°F – Jul 9, 1936 107°F – Jul 3, 1966 104°F – Jul 22, 2011 2 107°F – Jul 10, 1936 104°F – Aug 7, 1918 106°F – Jul 22, 2011 102°F – Jun 24–25, 2025 3 105°F – Jul 4, 1911 102°F – Sep 2, 1953 104°F – Jul 22, 2011* 101°F – Jul 18, 2012 4 104°F – Jul 21, 2019** 101°F – Jun 27, 1966 / Jun 29, 1934 103°F – Jul 10, 1936 100°F – Jul 2013 (multiple occurrences) 5 103°F – multiple dates (including Jun 24 & Jun 30, 2025/2021) 100°F – multiple dates (latest Jul 18, 2012) 102°F – several occurrences 99°F – multiple occurrences

Dumping. Up to 0.04”. Another hour or two and I’ll exceed daily average precip for late June!

Do it

Hopefully everyone is safe where it’s flooding. It was a total bust here in middle but looking at KY and other areas, I am glad it did bust here.

Over .5 of an inch with the convergence axis shifting over me this morning. Probably will pick up close to an inch.

I’m leading that charge like that shirtless Scot dude with the makeup and fur garment in Miami.

Still drunk?

First 90 degree day of the summer yesterday, but somehow was rewarded this morning with a low in the 40s.

Highest temp I've recorded at my station is 104° on July 22, 2011.... That day also had my warmest minimum at 84°.... We shall see .

EWR - NYC - LGA - JFK top 5 highs 2018 - 2025

Hoping for some bangers overnight Tuesday. Euro seems to keep it way north.

It was 10am.

2pm temps Wed-Sat at DCA from the 00z or 06z runs on 6/28: Operational Runs: Euro: 95/102/105/104 GFS: 99/101/103/102 ICON: 96/102/105/105 GDPS: 98/102/103/102 AI Runs EuroAI: 97/100/101/98 AIGFS: 96/99/101/96 Ensembles EPS: 97/103/104/99 GEFS: 99/101/99/97 EuroAI: 99/102/99/95 CMCE: 99/103/104/96

The rain is done the opposite of busted today, and we are flooding. Heavy rain and thunder going on out there now. I've not looked at the rain gauge this morning yet, but 1.5 inches had fallen when I checked at midnight last night and it's poured all night since then.

Looks like a hot work week and then a lot of scattered showers/storms and clouds for the holiday weekend

Some Breaks in the clouds

Got zilch.

.20” total so far.

Special marine warning ALEET! Strong Sprinkle alert!

Someone should start a contest.

0.066 at 4" per Goldsboro mesonet

I believe it was @Ian who coined the 90 by 11am (or was it 10am?) for DCA to breach 100 degrees?

Just a seabreeze possible. Don’t really see a back door potential.