All Activity

Sleety

Unless the euro looks similar…can’t truss it

21 this morning. Chilly

I think the next really interesting time period is from Jan 7-12. If we can keep that -NAO we might have a real shot then.

12z GFS was still a great run IMO. DC and points north still stay all frozen. Would really like that HP to trend stronger and slightly more south so snow is more of a possibility.

That's a primary problem. HP is weaker too and it really needs to be 1035+ to stand ground and make things work. 1030 or less will get pushed out of the way. Especially in the mids. 12z run wasn't what you want to see.

I don't want realism realism, I want fantasy!

Not smart enough to definitively tell but i believe the GFS went north a bit?

It’s there

Perhaps more realistic?

That could be what happens but it also could just settle out somewhere in the middle

Gfs is colder but precip is north .

It's actually not getting shunted as far south as 6z. HP in Canada is slightly more north than 6z.

I tend to be more gestalt. Why don’t you pay attention to the sensations in your body as you think about moving?

GFSGW

Meh. Still close

Of course, while the follow up event shifts south.

This will be a good test for the AIFS vs EPS as the AIFS is more on the suppression train than the EPS. The AIFS actually has slightly better skill. But we don’t have East Coast regional specific scores.

You would think a blizzard is coming. My job’s parking lot looks like a truck full of table salt tipped over.

So if the site ever crashes we'll know who to blame

A couple hours old....but GYX had updated their map since the ones posted earlier.

Not for this week

I think I've pressed the reload button on WxBELL about 75 times on the 12z GFS lol

We've seen this all season long just about.

Well, it's time to move...been here for 7 years.