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Those temps at onset on the AI are pretty mouthwatering. Around 10 degrees out this way.

Heights a hair higher out in front.baja sw in about the same position

when I was at UMD for grad school we'd have weekly department meetings and sometimes Louis Uccellini - or as I call him - Louis Uccellini - would show up. I gave a research update one time and he told me, and I quote, "good job"

How is this compared to the previous run or two?

It’s got that new new data. .

Look at the arctic high, this is going to be a big time CAD event.

AI took primary to WV smh...so much for being the rock solid model of consistency

00z ECMWF AI Ensemble ended up a bit farther north with snow precip max in NW AR.

Euro AI AIFS

UKIE looks about the same as previous runs on the 10:1 maps although there is now a much cleaner cut on the northern edge of the 6” snows.

Well that sucked real bad driving home from the Celtics. I expected mood flakes and got a full blown storm. About 3” on the driveway.

euro 00z ai aifs yotal QPF storm

Just caught up and took a moment for myself after that GFS run.. Ukie looks huge, as well. Let’s bring it home with the euro

riding the knifes edge man

Euro Skynet bringing the goods. We’re back to the reignition for a time Monday similar to guidance maybe 2 days ago? A lot of juice for sure it seems.

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AI Euro is actually showing a little north

No remarkable changes through 51

Was looking at the Kuchera ratio map on the gfs run. It had DC at around 14-1 and the ratios progressed up to 20-1 well west of town. Not sure how accurate that is but pretty phenomenal fluff if true.

The euro is running...

Does CoastalWx have a PT for the 00z ICON? Kuchera 34" ern MA! UKMET trying to show the same thing!

This storm takes on extra importance due to the prolonged cold after the event. Even though we want 1+ foot storms as often as possible, when it's going to be 46, 48, and 52 in the 3 days following, I am never super excited. This one is a potential dream!!

WB 0Z EURO AI

Nah, I'm a night owl anyway. I'll be up to see this Euro. I might need to double check my generator tomorrow. Got a bit of propane ready for my indoor safe propane heaters. I hope Euro runs earlier were wrong. Not because I want snow (I do), but I would rather have just rain than ice. It will be bad if it is. It will cause damage.

The latest run of the NAM does look a bit drier than previous runs across much of Oklahoma.