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0.47. A far cry from what most models were showing. There were a ton of red flags with this, which, unsurprisingly, ended up panning out. We knew

The PDO continues to operate independently of El Nino. The more Niña-like pattern which resulted in record heat in the East caused the PDO to fall and the AMO to rise. This is a result of the strong mid-latitude ridges warming the ocean surface below. The Atlantic City, NJ with the airport on the edge of the Pine Barrens just tied its all-time highest temperature. Most other years above 100° were La Ninas like 2011 or weaker El Niños or more neutral years. Maximum 1-Day Mean Max Temperature for Atlantic City Area, NJ (ThreadEx) Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Last value also occurred in one or more previous years. Period of record: 1943-08-01 to 2026-07-06 1 106.0 2026-07-04 through 2026-07-04 - 106.0 1969-06-28 through 1969-06-28 2 105.0 2026-07-03 through 2026-07-03 - 105.0 2011-07-23 through 2011-07-23 - 105.0 2011-07-22 through 2011-07-22 3 104.0 1966-07-03 through 1966-07-03 4 103.0 2026-07-02 through 2026-07-02 - 103.0 2001-08-09 through 2001-08-09 5 102.0 2025-06-25 through 2025-06-25 - 102.0 2025-06-24 through 2025-06-24 - 102.0 2011-06-09 through 2011-06-09 - 102.0 2010-07-06 through 2010-07-06 - 102.0 1966-07-04 through 1966-07-04 - 102.0 1948-08-26 through 1948-08-26 6 101.0 2012-07-18 through 2012-07-18 - 101.0 2007-08-08 through 2007-08-08 - 101.0 1993-07-10 through 1993-07-10 7 100.0 2019-07-21 through 2019-07-21 - 100.0 2012-07-07 through 2012-07-07 - 100.0 2011-07-24 through 2011-07-24

0.64” overnight 1.31” last 3 days

The four-day interval between Central Park's high of 100° on July 2 and its high of 69° yesterday is the shortest on record between a high of 100° or above and a high in the 60s. The old record of 10 days was set from July 3-13, 1898 and tied during August 1-11, 1933. Records go back to 1869.

63F/ .29" so far.

It appears to be raining

2.5 inches total from the last 2 nights.

7.43" for this event, 7.56" for the month. Picked up another .01 in the last hour, maybe today it actually stops, it should.

For all the hype talk about the big ridging and heat for the CONUS coming up central and west, looking at the anomalies fcst, esp. at 850, it isn't nearly as impressive as you would think for a large 600 dm high center spread out over the country. Take a look at the 00z ECMWF at 162 hr 500/850 when the 600 dm center is most prominent (attached). Big heat is limited to the northern tier, and just MEH central and south. What is happening in this case, the ridge center and axis is so far N, you actually get very weak troughing and a rather moist tropical-type air mass over much of the southern half of the country (see 700 RH fcst attached). Pattern for us looks quite good for svr. "Over the top" ridge EML should be fed nicely into the NEUS.

Stein blaming the bust on lack of weather balloons.

0.25” overnight, better than nothing!

Missed close by a thunderstorm last night. I got about a half inch, but the Mesonet two miles away got 1.33

I think ill be able to physically watch the grass grow the next couple days

About 5" less then the HRRR was giving me.

Yah but the 00z ECMWF shows Weymouth still getting 4"!!! LOL.

Lawns are brown as the Merrimack in Haverhill.

You got 2” on the 4th?

Jesus probably pick up some today. Other than a couple of muggy days mixed in looks like perfect COC weather most of July

Goes back to what I always say in the summer. When advection and baroclinic processes are weak, only way to get heavy rains is closer to warm front and low track. There is where you have the forcing to combine with instability. Otherwise it’s a fail.

.14 for the month

Looks like a bit over 1" now at home. Nothing too heavy, just a nice soaking rainfall to help alleviate the dry conditions.

1.95 .over 4 now for July

A steining to remember so far. Hopefully filling in.

Picked up 0.62 overnight on some heavy downpours event total so far is 1.10"