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Doubt we would see sleet up here with this airmass but i wouldn't rule it out further south, I know what the tendencies are in these.

About the pingers. Hope ya don’t change. Sorry for pulling for ya, I’ll go back to lurking…

Why I think 10-14” is the max in swct. We’ll Be seeing the sleet line make ir’s way to the pike by tomorrow…

Pleasantly surprised by the overnight models. This thing looks, dare I say, locked in for the track? Westmoreland Co WSW has 12-17 inches in the notice and a glaze of ice possible.

Uh thanks?

So every model has central valley with. 25 to. 50 ice but still no updated advisory.

Following the snowstorm this weekend I would like to see the ridge axis out West back off a little to allow coastal development closer in instead of further offshore like the EPS and EPS-AIFS into next weekend. Many times we get a snow event at the start of a pattern and at the end. So it looks like the snow potential will continue into at least early February with the exact storm dates to be determined later. I am happy that the long advertised more active STJ pattern came to pass as there is only so much snow we can get exclusively from Northern Stream disturbances here.

Euro got better up here, CMC is fairly steady, but icon took a big step towards the GFS which makes me nervous. I'm fine with 6-8 inches and would be thrilled, less than that and it'll be pretty depressing, haha.

I hope you’re wrong for your sake and right for mine. Good luck regardless!

When's the last time Maine stole North Carolina's snowstorm? More sleet further north on the models this morning. 2 days to go for northern trends - sleet's to Mains lol?

I think you get 6-8

Euro OP not biting, I’m not sure about ENS

most majors have a 24-27 hr window of snow. If that's what you call quick, your wife must really love you.

https://imgur.com/a/GBKfZWP

Well I have us 8-12" which is a foot before flipping on high side lol.

Thinking Frederick is in a good spot for once. NWS says 3-7 7-11 2-4 Hoping for at last 12”. Have a 5 year old who has never seen a big one.

Yea. Our fed agencies are an absolute train wreck these days…I wonder why that is.

Amounts will mostly be uniform with this storm if you looked at any model. You can tell me it is terrible after the storm if I am wrong.

I cant post the NBM map but it has Agh county around 13ish inches.

That is what AI is for!

The NAM is not infallible when it comes to being the most aggressive with warm noses but agree that it could verify. I do wonder why in this instance it is the most aggressive - is it because it tracks the primary further north vs the other models? Does it show a stronger primary?

Hmmm euro has had near 1 qpf consistently before any flip for us. Easy foot with high fluff ratios

For my areas I'm thinking 12 to 18. What's nice with this system, if it comes to fruition is that it's apparently trying to spread the love in quite a large area. Love to see it

I think this is a good opener for GYX.

Agreed. I could be much more harsh than subtle undertones when it comes to NWS but I won't. How's that for subtle LOL