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.18 today at the house!

Summer season so early?

Still N winds here but enjoying the last of the decent weather before the nastiness arrives.

I thought the 6-10 and 10-14 day outlooks were showing above normal temps. Honestly, I'm worried about the entire warm season being a roller coaster, bouncing between the 60s and 80s all summer long.

FYP!!!

NE winds now from 82 to 68 and falling. 20 hours of chillier weather

Yellows overhead but no rain falling.

I got poured on. Overflowed my large rain barrel faster than I expected.

Picked up .16" of rain just now.

Round 2 inbound

81° here today, record high for date. Some showers to the west but with the dry pattern since 9/24 kinda doubt it? Of the last 19 months, 15 have had below normal precip here .

And still somehow got a 7 inch snow storm as well

The sun was out at 5pm and temperature was 74 so I ate supper I went back outside and temperatures was 62 now it's 58. What a unexpected change.

In 32 Moderate+ Nino's we've never had a Winter temp pattern with a warm SE and cold NE. 0/32. Credit to gawx for doing the research. The Cansips is not showing something reasonable.

I'm not too sure we go cold ENSO after this El Nino. We had 5/6 recent Nina years. History says 4/6+ reverses +1-4 years 2:1 (El Nino favored 2x over La Nina) We also had a Strong Nino in 23-24, history says +3-5 years after that, El Nino is also favored 2:1. +ENSO tendency for 27-28 and 28-29 may temper the Nina snap back.

Imo, cansips is prob a best case scenario. -EPO door to door and no deep GOA trough. I don't think the classic nino height pattern will be friendly like it has in the past. Oceans are warm and the pac jet is more problematic. We've needed amplified flow and the majority of our snows over the last 10+ years happened with a -EPO. "Regular" cold has been delivering near misses way too often and ninos aren't known for anomalous cold in the east. Waaaay too early to worry about details of course but personally I'm not that excited about a nino. The only thing that will make me optimistic over the summer (assuming a nino actually happens lol) is a legit +PDO forming. If a nino locks in and the npac sstas are all jacked up, I'll be pretty pessimistic

He sang after the blizzard. We just didn’t have tickets to the show.

I wouldn't be too sure. After the 1997-98 event, a double-year strong la nina followed.

For April- DCA: +2.3 NYC: +1.9 BOS: +1.2 ORD: +0.8 ATL: +2.2 IAH: +1.4 DEN: +2.4 PHX: +2.3 SEA + 0.6 SEA: +0.4

77 was the max here. Flowers popping, trees budding. Grass growing. it’s coming

Deluge here today.

Global SSTA are about as classic as it gets right now for later in the year Nino 3.4 El Nino ^Even the Atlantic matches lol