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See 12z for MBY went about way would expect lol...ice. Scary part is the GFS AI corrected course until it cropped out on pivotal. Last frame matches CMC pretty close
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lol at the CMC. imagine getting 2' of snow in the fuckin teens. lol
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Suppression season. -
I know after I posted it I checked and I deleted the post when I saw the difference!
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
CMC warnin level 80South. -
Kinda crazy how similar this feels to almost exactly a year ago. Looks like the potential for more ice issues this time, but only 5 days away has me getting excited after yesterdays 45 degree rain!
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12z Canadian ENS open the freezer post storm.
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Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
Damage In Tolland replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Wed night -
The snow map or the 12z CMC is very similar to the 6z AIFS. We had better hope the ice map trends that way as well! If the AIFS holds at 12z, I would say that is a somewhat of a cave by the Canadian model. One more run, and that slp likely cuts w/ that trend.
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Storm potential January 17th-18th
The 4 Seasons replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
you can always just delete and repost, thats what i do. thank you everyone for the reports, ill be working on that map today and tonight, be done by tomorrow AM -
12z Canadian is about as amped as I want at this range. Inside of 48 hrs? Sure.
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If that’s the case snow amounts would be 75-100% higher than what’s depicted.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Newman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Absolutely, the 28-29th seems like a great coastal storm threat as well. There will be plenty of chances -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
oh, and verbatim, I80 South 30hrs of snow. As shown, I'd sign, even knowing there in notably more for the winners. good trends for this 6hr episode of modelwatchology. -
Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
colonel717 replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Now keep UKie in our camp... Heavy Snow here now so enjoying this and building the base. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
weatherwiz replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
yup...iPhone weather app. He just told me. -
It’s a huge jump north and scrapes SNE with advisory snows (with low end warning snows in the coastal areas) while burying DC. Not a bad place to be 6 days out. That being said, at this point knowing everything we know up to now, I’d rather be back in MD for this storm than up here. Not every big overrunning/Miller A storm shifts north enough. Many do, but some don’t.
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I ALREADY do not like how we are hanging on to the very southern edge of this next one......Missed it by 10 miles to the north on the last. Im already stepping towards the edge!
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
LVblizzard replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Even with the AI GFS solution we still get a significant storm with just a partial phase. Sky’s the limit for this weekend. -
Storm potential January 17th-18th
donsutherland1 replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Yes. You're right. Hopefully, the moderators can move my misplaced posts to the correct thread. -
Earlier this month, Tomer Burg (PolarWx) on Twitter posited that DC - NYC could see something on the order of ~20" for the month of January and people laughed at him. He might be right.
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We don’t do folks for the garbage cmc do we ?
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January 2026 Short/Medium Range Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
for posterity (or at least until imgur deletes them) FRAM estimate:
