All Activity

Glad to know I wasn’t just imagining it. I’m a little jealous though

i think DCA will get to 34-35 at the lowest. Up here we could see 32F.

so DCA is in the mid 50s at the moment (same here too - 55F). It's going to be close to see if we get to 32F. If the wind dies down, no chance. But a steady NW / NNW wind might do it. The river is pretty warm now though (nearly 70F in the Washington channel, so knock off a few degrees for the water by the airport) - so that will help to keep temps up obviously.

Been my early hedge, as well. This doesn't necessarily preclude a very warm winter throughout the east, though.

He did? Lol This must've been just after he came up! I mean yeah obviously ya had to see how he did, but...now nobody is gonna want him...oy. Was rooting for him (quite a story him making the majors after surviving the Parkland school shooting as a kid). It's too bad...Man are qe gonna have to start treating the Orioles like we did during the 14-staright losing seasons? Lol And yep, draft time indeed! Ravens have to be better this year...not sure where they go at 14. I'd imagine it's OL or pass rush?

Pull over until the plows can catch up with it

DCA reported ice pellets - I think we'll get the T.

DEN picked up 3.4" on Friday, putting them at 27.1" on the season. This means 2025-26 is officially no longer the least snowy winter for Denver in the airport era.

Cooler May? NAO was 2nd highest monthly all time in March 2026. 12 weeks x 75 years = 900 analogs. The following May in totality of analogs is surprisingly cold: CPC has it at least starting out this way May before a later-in-the-year Nino 3.4 El Nino is pretty Neutral historically, except in the PNW

Yup. 15-16 is a good example of a super that starts out east-based before going basin wide approaching winter.

^Right now it's developing from the west and the east, signaling basin-wide. Nino 1+2 doesn't correlate as highly as a lead in April, surprisingly. Here is Nino 1+2 vs Nino 4 for +8months Dec SSTA

I too had a quick round of graupel In West Chester albeit 45 seconds worth.

Heavy wet snow while driving under this cell on route 3/44 in Plymouth. Unexpected

Freeze warnings

42 with a few flakes flying

Absolutely, I saw that in the discussion today, pray for clouds and wind.

^”See the magenta in the middle of the map? That’s alert level 4 of 5 for bleaching in the #Galapagos. Common in El Niño (or in this case developing) where cool water upwelling slows/ stops and surface waters significantly warm. The sea surface temp anomaly is +3-4°C (~6°F). That’s why life suffers there every El Niño, esp. east based episodes Thanks @NOAACoral”

I got my April Trace in at 1:52pm this afternoon with a brief light burst of some gruapel/mangled snowflakes.

Yeah we got rain last two fronts, which is some encouragement. QPF came in under, not a surprise in drought - but at least it's raining. See if we can accomplish more this weekend into next week. Even poorly timed waves (see my severe rant) can bring rain. Seems like a decent bet. Then we'll see how long we can milk the southern jet stream next week. Could it be a drought breaker? Could it just add humidity before the SER gets on steroids? I don't believe the CFS or Euro weeklies. Check back in June!

I think there will be additional chances especially for your area around 4/28-5/3

Ok now we just need a good 2 day soaking rain and then some sun plz thx

Unfavorable SSTA for big season as it stands currently

We have managed a couple of decent rain showers. It won't dent the drought, but it will provide some temporary relief. As for relief, there might be some on the way as we begin May. Temps look to fall BN right as we end April and begin May. It won't be anything overly shocking I don't think - some frost likely I think. It will feel sharper than it really is due to the much AN temps we have seen(summer like) during the past couple of weeks. Hopefully, that heat has abated until its proper time. I don't see mid 80s on my phone any longer, and that is a relief. We don't want summer heat building during April. Even with La Nina fading, any residual effects from that dying Enso phase could still produce very hot and dry weather. Hopefully, Enso neutral and Nino conditions take hold sooner than later. That should bring more precip and moderation of temps.

Nino 4 is the loading pattern for a Nino 3.4 El Nino. CDAS is currently much higher than CPC. This event is developing basin-wide like 2015-2016 or further west than most Strong Nino's. If it keeps developing further west at its core, I don't think it will go Super, but perhaps Strong, or per RONI high-end Moderate.

We're not doing watches and warnings. Season's canceled. That's not commentary on the system. That's angry storm chaser venting. This weekend into early next week I would bet a stack of chips on poorly timed waves. Well, that's good for the storm anxious. Note it's a week out. I'm being a pessimist more than a scientist today.