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  2. You just said yesterday it’s done…or were you just playing along with Scott?
  3. It will be nearly or completely vanquished by Thursday morning. dews in the low-mid 50's overnight tomorrow:
  4. Not a zero percent chance for something to pop
  5. "1884: John Park Finley issued the first experimental tornado prediction. Finley studied the atmospheric parameters that were present during previous tornadoes. Many of these same criteria are still used by operational forecasters today. But the use of tornado forecasts would be banned just a few years later and remain forbidden until 1952." Why were forecasts banned? Do you know?
  6. The 6Z GFS suite is looking really stupid in being on its own including all of the main short term models in showing a snow threat in portions of C and E NC on Thu (3/12). Why is the GFS showing this?? GFS (Kuchera): GEFS mean (10:1): GEFS mean is almost all from the clueless members 4 and 14 with a small assist by 2 and 7 while the other 26 members essentially have nothing outside of the mtns:
  7. you know it's over when the conversation is about how fast the leftover snowpack and piles will melt
  8. I can walk on this and there's plenty left right now.. some knew
  9. Hard to knock a winter that started in late November and will finish with over 90" inches of snow, but having winter completely disappear after early to mid February along with the 3 complete melt offs in early December, Christmas, and early January take me from what would have been a A/A+ to an A-.
  10. Track the Mets season. Let's go Mets! Let's go Mets! We'll miss the Polar Bear though....
  11. I agree, it will go faster today...yesterday the dews slowed it, which was my original point.
  12. Just patchy at this point, and some coverage remaining across shielded areas. not sure it counts as 'snow cover'. I'll call the streak at 43 days
  13. My allergies just suddenly popped up today. I am miserable right now.
  14. Tw’s were still in the mid 40s. It’s softening up and getting more primed though. Today will be a more efficient melter up here…warmer, higher dews, and less cirrus taint. Put a stick on top of your pack and see how far it sinks through today.
  15. "we" meaning in this area here Aside, the post was about 'warm being defeated' ... some were using snow as the observational proxy in that, which was dumb and proves a filtration bias in the first place because it was warm yesterday. Frankly, I care less about the snow stuff anyway. We did lose a substantial amount though. It looks like half..
  16. I'm going to absolutely LOSE IT if RIC gets more snow while we suck ass
  17. I had 23-25" depth at peak, now I have 13-15"...so have lost 10" off of peak depth....nothing to argue there; I took the measurements...it's ground truth. 30-50% loss in total, yes....about dead-on.
  18. You could give people a bowl of oranges and ask them what color they are and half of them would tell you blue or purple. Joe public isn’t too bright.
  19. Yesterday alone? False...not where I am....I didn't lose 7".
  20. . Interesting. I’m shocked at the axis of heavier stuff tho. Absolutely shocked.
  21. Looks like a possible torch last week of the month based on the maps above? Even Canada is routed of cold air
  22. I believe this does change the probabilities which designates the categories. For example, it looks like it will be more difficult now to get a high risk day which I think is a great idea because really if a high risk is issued...you want that to be held for days where widespread significant severe is going to happen. This may hopefully reduce more of the high risk "busts" we have seen. I am with you...I am definitely not bashing this either, just trying to understand it more. But with what you said I think makes sense and if that is the case and purpose I can understand it a bit better. I'm sure there is some literature on this, I've only read the little bit on the SPC site.
  23. I suspect this is a PR method though, developed out of a complex human equation containing lots and lots of complete dip-shit oblivion reasons. That is a large spectrum of Darwinisms that range from the higher thinking capacity of the mouth breathers, over to just general irresponsible apathy. Those hashing are not tapping our shoulders. They're trying to save those non-suspecting lives and this method may "solve" that equation above - or attempts to.
  24. Melting was less than I expected yesterday bc of the lew dews....no filtration, just a yardstick into the snow....still over a foot.
  25. Yeah, I passed by the Catskills on the way to (Saturday) and from (yesterday) Vermont. I didn't find much snow on the ground level. The snow was still there in Vermont, especially the further north I went (the furthest I went was Weston).
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