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  2. There will be chances…that’s all you can ask for, and expect. I mean it’s December 3rd for F’s sake. Let’s get real…we live in SNE…not Calgary.
  3. It's a hiking trail in the woods. I'd need more snow to make raw dogging it up and over a mountain by compass and moonlight to be worth it Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  4. If we’ve got a 30.55 crusher tomorrow night at 8pm then we are in suppression trouble Otherwise let’s see how bad ass this cold boy really is
  5. We agree that he’s brilliant. His MJO work is groundbreaking. On this point, I think he’s extrapolated where the coefficient of determination is fairly low. His overall linkage isn’t wrong, but other factors can easily overwhelm ENSO, the AAM, etc. It will be interesting to see the final outcome.
  6. OH I'm a huge believer in non-Markovian memory in the systems of climate. The oceanic-atmospheric coupling is definitely got a memory where ( probably counter to a lot if intuition) the winter's positive(negative) meanders tend to foretell the summer's higher(lower) - this is more so on the positive side in present era, as the background state is a non-linear forcing that boosts the synergistic result in the direction. This is all immensely complex because it's not the Air, vs the Ocean in this sense, but the emergent property of the ocean-atmosphere quasi coupled state. If that emergent property lends to warmth, well? Sometimes the signal is buried in the noise, making all this an extra special kind of scary... Oh, like the whole world surging a whole degree C (2023) out of seemingly nowhere. hmm?
  7. If he said he wasn’t gonna do well..just take the opposite…so I’m sure he did fine.
  8. Great post. I can only imagine the posts before 2000. I get it though, if most of my experience was from close to 2000 onwards I would probably feel the same.
  9. We’re in the psychobabbe portion of tracking. Is it gonna snow or not?
  10. Like John said, probably the best run of any model for this potential event so far. An outlier for now.
  11. I got 11" last year and it was the best of the 3 since we bought property here. 2 previous were basically shutouts. Sounds awesome right? Lol
  12. Pope must have did well despite him thinking he has the climo of Long Island
  13. We did good last year and a lot of it was that we were expressing similar ideas but with different points of referencing. That caused confusion and some bad exchanges but that’s over now I feel
  14. I would say the 18z Euro ticked SE just a hair too. Apologies, I was still comparing the 6z and 12z.
  15. I didn't like the positioning of the high pressure system...
  16. Hey we all make mistakes. Besides, you're a way better poster than I was in my early years of high school (as some on this forum no doubt remember).
  17. I would encourage everyone to get into this side of reading storms as its way less frustrating than just tracking seemingly random movements on the surface as you can tell what a setups potential is more concretely.
  18. If the F.H. Furr CEO was a true weenie he'd revoke their sponsorship over that map.
  19. This place is infinitely better than any form of social media. I hope it never dies.
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