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  2. See 12z for MBY went about way would expect lol...ice. Scary part is the GFS AI corrected course until it cropped out on pivotal. Last frame matches CMC pretty close
  3. lol at the CMC. imagine getting 2' of snow in the fuckin teens. lol
  4. I know after I posted it I checked and I deleted the post when I saw the difference!
  5. Kinda crazy how similar this feels to almost exactly a year ago. Looks like the potential for more ice issues this time, but only 5 days away has me getting excited after yesterdays 45 degree rain!
  6. 12z Canadian ENS open the freezer post storm.
  7. The snow map or the 12z CMC is very similar to the 6z AIFS. We had better hope the ice map trends that way as well! If the AIFS holds at 12z, I would say that is a somewhat of a cave by the Canadian model. One more run, and that slp likely cuts w/ that trend.
  8. you can always just delete and repost, thats what i do. thank you everyone for the reports, ill be working on that map today and tonight, be done by tomorrow AM
  9. 12z Canadian is about as amped as I want at this range. Inside of 48 hrs? Sure.
  10. If that’s the case snow amounts would be 75-100% higher than what’s depicted.
  11. Absolutely, the 28-29th seems like a great coastal storm threat as well. There will be plenty of chances
  12. oh, and verbatim, I80 South 30hrs of snow. As shown, I'd sign, even knowing there in notably more for the winners. good trends for this 6hr episode of modelwatchology.
  13. Now keep UKie in our camp... Heavy Snow here now so enjoying this and building the base.
  14. It’s a huge jump north and scrapes SNE with advisory snows (with low end warning snows in the coastal areas) while burying DC. Not a bad place to be 6 days out. That being said, at this point knowing everything we know up to now, I’d rather be back in MD for this storm than up here. Not every big overrunning/Miller A storm shifts north enough. Many do, but some don’t.
  15. I ALREADY do not like how we are hanging on to the very southern edge of this next one......Missed it by 10 miles to the north on the last. Im already stepping towards the edge!
  16. Even with the AI GFS solution we still get a significant storm with just a partial phase. Sky’s the limit for this weekend.
  17. Yes. You're right. Hopefully, the moderators can move my misplaced posts to the correct thread.
  18. Earlier this month, Tomer Burg (PolarWx) on Twitter posited that DC - NYC could see something on the order of ~20" for the month of January and people laughed at him. He might be right.
  19. We don’t do folks for the garbage cmc do we ?
  20. for posterity (or at least until imgur deletes them) FRAM estimate:
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