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EPS looked better too. Gets 1-2” from about Ginxy up to BOS. Gonna need another bump NW for real snow though.

I mean we did hit single digit lows for a day or two in 2013-2014.

I went out to get lunch and I see the Euro just full sent it too. There was a time not so long ago though, that CMC, Euro, and GFS all liked this weekend. What has pushed the boundary so far south on today's 12z runs? Trend on the Euro:

Bet the streak. Dry and windy.

Euro’s had a consistent long range cold bias. I’d expect cold, but not tha extreme.

Don’t forgot the cold suppression possibly next week.

I just pulled up radar and no short term models are showing any of this snow right now. It checked reports and New Castle and Evans City are showing snow.

Yea, that is rough having an ice storm and losing power and then having extreme cold, plays havoc also with people working to reconnect everyone I would imagine. Your post doesnt make me feel alot better, not too far from southern KY.

Put down the pipe man

Never ! But yes looking like Some digital tracking is on! .

Yeah, man. I don't wan't any part of that...but the wx pattern is honking for over-running with that gradient. The thing that has concerned me for a bit is ice which is then followed by extreme cold. I saw that happen once in the Piedmont. @Met1985might be able to comment on that. Folks were dangerously (CO poisoning risk) bringing their grills into their homes. If we want winter storms, we need that gradient a bit further south still as it could gradually drift north. OTH, if models are just now getting a good handle on this...tornado alley could get ice and snow. Need to see a few more runs, BUT modeling has already kind of circled this timeframe as one to watch. If forced to forecast it now, I would say southern KY is gonna get hammered. I just don't know about the rest of the forum. But the cold has been very consistent on ensembles - very consistent for this time frame for the entire area.

I have to redownload Facebook…it was 2012

GFS has it a little later on the 28th and 29th.

what's navgem show for tomorrow and sunday?

Too much chaos! The models are on a roller coaster from run to run.................... My 30% on the EURO from yesterday drops to 10%.

Ahh gluttons for punishment we are

Both the Euro and GFS showing potential in the longer range is exciting. Nice to have a good chance from a distance that we don't need to reel in.

That’s one way to bring down the temperature in Minneapolis

Keep that ice away from Middle TN!

Someone call the mother ship and tell it to back off just a bit.

Some very interesting solutions on the Euro over the next couple weeks, starting with the end of next week.

Final snowfall totals across Toronto were around 16-21". YYZ lowballed as usual at 9". Closer to 12" near downtown.

Snowing lightly.

Yes. that is how to do it. @Daniel Boone, that is old school right there. "International Falls cold" was normally a precursor of good things here.