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I kind of feel it was way colder then this

Forecast calling for a high of 86 here next Tuesday 3/10. I don't know what the record for that day is in Atl. but I imagine 86 would destroy it if true.

Spoiler alert it’s freezing drizzle to my eyes

I recently looked at the SREF on the SPC web site, like last week or something. There is a big thing that said the SREF will be discontinued later in 2026. After posting this on a different weather discussion forum, I've been informed that the NAM is going to be discontinued at some time. Here is a statement released in 2025. https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/pns25-41_RRFS_legacy_model_cessation.pdf other information from 2025 https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/pns25-73_Proposed_Termination_NAM_MOS.pdf I thought the NAM would keep going forever, as it has been known as the premiere mesoscale model for the USA. I was thinking that it feeds the 3-km NAM with boundary data and/or some other important data. Apparently not. I'm a little confused as to what convection-allowing model(s), other than the NAM, might disappear and appear in the PivotalWeather and other web sites. A little piece of me says, yeah when the GFS says of 500 J/kg of CAPE at the location of the next big severe weather outbreak, then you turn to a model that will actually calculate the CAPE. (Am I crazy?)

Low of 45, high of 54 and remained cloudy all day.

Well now it is the GFS, ICON, and UK

It appears by the end of this year, Rio de Janeiro will be made a TCAC for the South Atlantic Basin. https://x.com/frontierfcst/status/2028252178335310228 Now only if we could get a TCAC for the Mediterranean Sea, which clearly has shown that it has bona fide TCs, along w/ many subtropical cyclones. Geopolitical borders/areas are a construct of human society. The atmosphere does not care one bit about that. It does what it does regardless. This system is I think the strongest Mediterranean Sea TC on record - Ianos Sep 2020. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyclone_Ianos tcac.pdf

So basically I don’t know what form of precip the next round will be lol.

80?

Still a 1036mb high overhead: https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/sfcobs/latestsfc.html

Winter weather advisory for up to 1” of snow and ice out this way. Temp holding at 23 currently.

Sup with the hundredths values?

29F. I'm surprised Winter is holding on this strong, to be honest. And our last few temperature dips have coincided with precip, it's usually the other way around.

28.0/27.8

The hp is scooting off the coast. I’d be pretty surprised if the next round of precip even starts as snow: https://weather.rap.ucar.edu/surface/displaySfc.php?region=bwi&endDate=20230203&endTime=-1&duration=0

We have poster who has a home at 1800’ there. He hasn’t been posting much this winter.

Spring is coming!

0.8”! Guess we’ll see ptype on that stuff coming out of the south soon. Expecting a tiny bit of snow to start still IMO but probably glaze up sooner rather than later

gotcha, thats where i got it from, thank you verifying

Gradient is tightening and we are slowly losing the battle but around the immediate DC area we're still at -2 degrees.

Great shot. The past two days have been a bit too cold. Borderline obnoxious cold after the 40 degree sunshine on Saturday. Winter isn't over, it'll continue to be wintry at times, but the length of daylight increasing rapidly makes it seem like we will be more prone to mild interludes compared to the past few months. The temperature curve is starting to go up again, after a multi-stretch month of seemingly colder weather in the means. It's 0F outside right now. But you know these arctic cold shots are waning each week we move forward in the sun angle curve.

No I actually like Bigjoe tbh.

24.5" total. I was always saying Winter average here is close to 30", but it's probably 25" now.

Gonna copy DCA for MBY and go with 1" based on local spotters for Arlington see sig. Average winter pretty much

I don't remember saying anything, but according to my table I'm at 64.9 for the season in Bristol, RI https://newenglandsnowfallrecords.blogspot.com/