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  2. Things a junk model…so bad now. It’ll flap right up to go time.
  3. Today
  4. Ok . So brings some of the precip back in then?
  5. yup looks like most of SNE gets a good drink
  6. I am amazed at the variation in model rainfall outputs for this storm. By Monday at noon the range is 0.1" to 2.0". Further they each have the storm doing something different and run to run consistency is horrible. I hope this is not a preview of how the models will be this winter. Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk
  7. Euro flapping around more than a fish out of water
  8. This storm is a pain in the ass! Hopefully the coastals we get this winter don’t have as many moving pieces
  9. 00z Euro brought the storm back for NYC and NJ at least. We're still SOL.
  10. Still a ton of disagreement on the 0z models about the timing and intensity of this storm, despite the start of it being 1-2 days away. If this was winter this place would be going insane right now.
  11. It’s fatiguing to stand in after a while. I’ve done it on mountain summits, but on the shore for Gloria, Bob and several Nor’Easters including Jan 2005 blizzard in Boston. There’s nothing like standing on the beach with high sustained winds.
  12. For a Nina pattern the Gulf of Mexico has been dormant,other than TS Barry hitting the Bay of Campeche in late June there has been notta,that hasnt happened since 1991,You'd think we'd have an active S/Jet this winter,severe/cold,who knows
  13. There's an inverted troff south of bermuda that is causing all the difference on model runs. The gfs and American models show it slowly moving north and dispersing it while the main coastal moves up into NC/VA. Non-American models are showing it quickly moving northwest and forming into a second low pressure somewhere well east of NC which shreds the other low closer to the Carolina coast One of the smaller features I've ever seen cause chaos in a forecast. Edit: 00z GFS initialization looks further west with that feature. It might be caving in.
  14. I’m not even following this convo lol. Either way, it’s been cold. I had a heart ablation this week and for some reason the cold really makes me feel the heart pounding. Not pleasant
  15. Meh, doesn’t drop south enough I’m sure we can do better for our required .1 inches of October snow (as the average always occurs)
  16. It certainly doesn't look like the big wound up powerful nor'easter we saw on the maps yesterday though a few of the models still drench us and kick up the winds. My gut feeling is the dry air works down from the north and that the low center at some point makes a righthand turn before the heavier rainfall is able to win out. I'm sure we'll get some rainfall and some wind gusts but to me at this point it looks manageable. WX/PT
  17. I suggest you read the actual legislation, prior to what will soon become common knowledge. SOE declarations are an avenue for misappropriation of funds, and this has only emboldened those in power to declare them more frequently. While they absolutely do open the doors for federal funding, they simultaneously allow for interstate funding to be reallocated. It's not what you may believe it is. It occurs across party lines.
  18. 18z GFS is dangerously close to launching the Digital Snow Thread at 384…
  19. Seems to be setting up a regional model vs global model battle. Good to see multiple CAMs in the 00Z suite give much of us at least 0.5" out of this event.
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