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I think that, overall, this is the coldest morning this decade for the Carolinas and southern Virginia

Actually made it down to 3.0 on the dot!

It is a minor event. Probably not worth it.

What’s your feeling about Feb temp anomalies in the E US? BN, NN, or AN? The first week is cold. There’s no getting by that. So, BN will have a great headstart regardless of the duration and intensity of the expected subsequent warmup. About all indices point to a significant pattern change (warmer) during week 2 as of now. So, it’s seemingly inevitable. But how mild and for how long. NG market is worried it could be quite significant as it is now at a session low of an amazing -18%! I can’t even recall the last day it dropped so much.

People out walking on the bay in Duxbury this weekend. Big nope from me.

Youre not going to find many in this sub that prefer rain right now. Its winter and this is a sick bunch.

I need to add this. .

Looks like after this weekend we can safely say the real cold is done. Temps moderate and then we’ll be at the end of the month with climo rising.

Our one good snow event that winter. IMBY it was pure paste snow and the south shore mixed with rain if I remember right.

Eh the first one was an ice storm.

I don't know what the wind direction was last night, but of note are those warmer readings south of Fall Branch, in what would be the downslope off Chimney Top.

Bottomed out at 4.7

How come no one on this page ever talks about the 11 year cycle of severe winters like they do about summer 11 year cycles?

0 at my house in the warmest microclimate around Kingsport. It probably hasn't been this cold here since 2014 or 2015, when the camellias were defoliated.

Not necessarily, still too early to say imo.

That last picture is awesome! WNC is the best place. Thanks for hiking and sharing.

If there ever was a year that he would see his shadow, it would be this year!

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Make sure you remind the kid that they’re born in the snowiest time of year for our area! .

My friends and I were walking on the Susquehanna River back in 1977 when we were teenagers. We erected a makeshift monument out of tires and some type of flag in the middle of the river, that was visible to the people in Dalmatia and to anyone traveling rt .147. We got a little over halfway across the river and we encountered thin ice in swifter water and turned around and got off the river. Those were the days, I got to do it with no regard for safety.

Is this valued for a potential system? Thread?

That was the original line of thinking most had a few days ago before these new warmer trends, but now I’m not sure any region of the country ends up that cold relative to average compared to Dec and Jan. EPS is still pretty warm through the end of the run with a fairly strong -PNA signal, AI models are showing a similar pattern as well.

6z NAM and RGEM. Pretty good agreement on the short range models