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Almost midnight and the air temperatures are 80 to 83 degrees on lower and central Delmarva. Summer is definitely here.

I could see a late morning upgrade to an ENH risk from I-66 north for a 30% wind. Timing is everything in these parts, if that front lags then it's going to come down to luck on who gets a decent storm. Seems like we flip to real summer after this frontal passage.

I noticed some discrepancies throughout the day with the forecast. The big question seems to be will the storms Initiate along a pre frontal boundary or along the lagging cold front. Watching initiation tomorrow is key. If the storms can get going out head of the cold front instead of the pre-frontal trough we could be looking at something big tomorrow.

IMO we are at least a year away (maybe longer) from any substantial PDO change

https://kaosfactory.github.io/wxblox/kaos.mp4

Saw lightning from the storm in upstate NY all the from downtown jersey city. Pretty cool tops must be pretty high

Too late... I already stole it. https://kaosfactory.github.io/desktopX1.html

I am so curious what the winds are in this thing right now. Conventional wisdom would say that Erick is bombing out and maybe some insane wind gusts are wrapping around the eyewall. However, I can't help but notice the trochoidal wobbles of the pinhole eye. This circulation isn't fully stacked on a tiny axis centered within the pinhole eye just yet. Rather the eye is wobbling around within a larger local circulation, most likely a EWRC. I trust the 125mph estimate for now

Pin hole eyes can really produce some high end winds relative to pressure. Also the cdo is rather small too.

The HRRR clobbers most of the area tomorrow, but the other CAMs are more scattered. It's consistent with SPC's concern that the cold front will be well to our west at peak heating, so the storms will have to form on the pre-frontal trough. That scenario can still work well here, but it justifies the hesitation (at least for now) to hold off on upgrading to ENH. Otherwise, I think it would be an ENH setup, and it still might be.

Someone claimed this They claimed they had the dream around June 14

Stormtracker background image...

Ravens are pretty stacked.. I don't think they have a weak part on this team. Maybe kicker. Defense looks great, maybe top 5. This also takes out the wild card of if Nate Wiggins is good or not.

Thinking about using this for intellistar emulator... Is that OK? Already using a stormtracker image. I would ultimately like them to be all images from our forum.

Training camp starts in a month. Can't come soon enough.

Sunset was on point tonight! Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk

Insane rate of intensification in the past hour. The EPac has delivered some ridiculous RI landfalls in recent years. While not quite Otis (and thankfully far away from major population centers), Erick is putting on one of the more remarkable RIs while approaching landfall in a long time

Putrid loss by the Orioles after being up 8-0. 12 unanswered runs? Pathetic. This team isn't to be taken seriously, and should be sellers.

I am surprised how well that line held together. It's still holding together moving into Pennsylvania. The HRRR kept showing much less of a bow for northeast Ohio.

Thought I had a bunch of ticks on my car yesterday after parking at Gambrill, but I think they're actually Weevils. I didn't know that was even a thing. This is gonna be one of those summers where the bugs are out and having a good ol' time.

Doesn't nitrogen get rid of it? I was told that by a landscaper.

Just noticed it in my yard today, have to get some nitrogen.

I tried talking my brother to get one, he refused, glad he did, he'd be pissed at me.

https://twitter.com/JackRuddenWX/status/1935453965287563439?t=9P-lzI_DxAwTKsOFYJdS_w&s=19

Front seems to be moving at a fast pace....could it go through earlier than forecasted? Does this mean the worst effects may be further east? WB OZ 3K NAM only has a broken line at best west of DC tomorrow evening (5-8pm)