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Surprising, the wind has basically stopped here. Could be good for storms later. Holding on to some instability .

65.5 and breezy, made it to 78.8

Independence cell is now tornado warned.

you went thru an interesting hour. I love that... Breeze boundary got close here and I watched as it attempted but lost against his SW breeze we got up here. Rare win ... But that boundary yo-yoed you

Perfect temps and a bonus rain shower moving thru rn. Approved.

The biggest threat at the moment seems to be very large hail. Low level shear needs to increase to get more tornadoes.

Not terrible, temps still around 60 on the beaches and JFK 17mph. Looks like dodged a bullet today.

Just poured for two hours. 0.63” on the day now.

High of 84 with upper 50s DP. Not bad but would rather have 70/48 this time of year.

Brief downpour…more coming. 67.7/58

We haven't had a single +PDO month yet this decade, in the 2020s. Maybe it will happen with El Nino but I don't know that it will deviate very far from weak.

wishing for 1-2" 2 weeks out... something more applicable to Phoenix AZ

I think over 500+ years of data there would be no "la nina snap back" in the mean. Something is causing it for the last 100 years though. It would be interesting to know what it is. I don't think it's heat release or anything like that. People describe the transition that has happened, but that doesn't necessarily mean it's because of the first part.

More signs of spring here - peepers, loads of wood frogs, pulled off tick #1. It chose to attach right over my sternum so easily detected. Dumped a medium white ash, 11" diam., 50+ feet, for the May mank. That's undoubtedly where the horrible little arthropod was hiding. Temp got near 70 with enough TD to bring some sweat from cutting/splitting.

Got to 84F here (83.7) Congrats!! car thermo hit 90F driving near KFIT

Fucked

Was over 80 again but srly gales now and 77.

Only 2 weeks away

Natural Gas is at the lowest price since 2024, and NG/Crude Oil and NG/Gasoline spread is near record lows. That's a warm sign (or +NAO favored) for next winter.

87/57

That's a pretty impressive hail core on this cell.

Glued to every model cycle from here on out, we can reel this fantasy range rainstorm in

Battle of PA in the first round, Montreal/Tampa, Dallas/Minnesota too. It's going to be a fun playoffs.

Made it up to 84 currently 74

2015 and 2023 didn't really have that swing. We got borderline cold neutrals/weak la ninas out of those. The 1972-73, 1986-88, 1997-98, and 2009-10 events had the big swing going immediately from strong el nino -> strong la nina. The other way, it doesn't go strong la nina -> strong el nino right away. It seems at least one year is needed in between to make the transition. The closest is 1955-56 strong la nina -> 1957-58 strong el nino and 2007-08 strong la nina -> 2009-10 strong el nino (and that one of course was a quick transition back to strong la nina in 2010-11).