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Be careful out there. Accidents everywhere, ice everywhere. I had to ditch my car and walk a few minutes to get to my house.

I mean if there's a deep anticyclone over Quebec you definitely want as much snowpack in the source region as possible the air that funnels south is cold.

Hey thanks CheeselandSkies! I followed you back…

i’m fine with leaning a certain way based on certain reasoning. you’ll be wrong at that range sometimes, it is what it is the storm also hasn’t verified, though

As for this upcoming event, if we can redevelop the coastal low soon enough and keep winds offshore, we have a shot on LI and the city especially northern. If winds go onshore we’re done.

Very warm surface to 900

We take what we can get here whenever it happens. There could be 20 feet of snow inland, won’t make any difference if the cutter and SWFE train starts.

GSP posted on X that day is the coldest Thanksgiving Day in 10 years. Cataloochee has been making snow nonstop for over 24 hours now. Conditions should be awesome up on the Mountain when they reopen tomorrow morning!

We’ll know in about 48 hours me thinks.

Warm? Soundings look great in my hood for at least half a foot

The euro is concerning.

Maybe but we just don’t know.

Justice Hill placed on IR. Maybe, just maybe, Keaton Mitchell will get his chance to shine, outside of a disjointed handful of plays per game.

Maybe I’m wrong and maybe I’m bailing too early on 12/2 but I’m not feeling a snowy outcome for I-95. It’s too early in the season, and the antecedent cold air is really not *that* cold. Most likely outcome is mainly rain maybe brief mixing along I-95 and a couple inches far NW. I do think its great we are tracking two threats early on. That alone is a promising sign for this winter. I just don’t think it’s a hit for us this time. Maybe 12/6 hits instead. Who knows at this point. Again, like I said, I’m willing to eat my shoe if I’m wrong.

The most important 14 days of the decade coming up for this subforum?

It’s hilarious. He can’t stand if south of him gets more. But accept 10 miles NW getting 2’ more.

Mid season form lol sometimes you guys create your own trends.

Already?? We still have 120+ hours to go

That’s not a thing. The Hudson valley of New York is not our source region. Southern Canada is where snow pack may make a difference, not Newburgh

18z GFS & 18z Euro say that most of CTP is still in the game for Tuesday.

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But if I got 18” and you 12” nukes would be sent. Makes sense.

A little surprised at how quickly the band sagged south today. It was not slower than modeled, and I may actually get several inches tonight. Seems like the jackpot zone will be SE Cuyahoga into southern Geauga. Bit of a bust up the northeastern shoreline (not that they were ever going to do great, but thought they’d get a little more earlier today)

nah we want a decent snowpack in our source region. let it destroy the interior i say.