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Euro with a sultan signal on the 00z run for later Thursday into Friday. Decent EPS signal too.

I don't. I try to call BS when I think they are wrong, as I did last year when they bailed on cool ENSO. I am confident they are too meager with it yet again.

I default to CPC...obviously if the data I am using is ultimately incorrect, then that changes things.

100 mph or bust

Get driving wiz. I'm sure they have McDonald's in Sioux falls.

It's been brutal out there. Corn sweat adds to it at least in Indiana. I have a friend who lives there. Been pretty much 80° dew points since last week.

.27” yesterday. First half of July was great, second half is less than an inch (pending Thursday).

The 0z Euro has the strongest offshore flow on Tuesday with 100° potential to JFK and Suffolk with compressional warming just north of the sea breeze front stalled near the beaches to Sunrise Highway.

With all the heat and high dewpoints, no mention of a heat advisory?

Euro AI with a cane into the Carolinas at 0z

Moderate risk on new Day 1

Wow.

The squirrels are dead to me.

I think it could be just noise but the GFS backed off the extreme heat a little at 00Z. NAM would suggest it's still on for Wednesday. WX/PT

Jacksonville (tied daily record), Hogtown, and Leesburg (new record for date) joined Tampa at 100 for yesterday’s high.

And 113 for peak heat index. Summers are getting unreasonable here.

lol. I’m not sure that anyone likes smoke

Tell that to the giant toads hopping around my front walk way! But all joking aside you know we’re gonna get some crazy storm within the next month or two, just not in the way we’ve come to expect it. Think of those cape/south coast spin ups just a couple years back but on a slightly larger and a little less spectacular scale.

Yeah, Iowa's going to cash in again for the 95th time this summer.

1983 was a brutally HHH summer even here.

Some fun pictures of clouds from today! Got a cool shelf cloud from the storms that moved into FFX county along with a little cap cloud on some convection and then finished with a nice sunset.

Models not real keen on the good MCS action from tonight and again tomorrow night making it much east of the Mississippi. Story of the year it seems.

Subsurface is approaching -6c right now.. if that's normally 65F water, right now it's 55F. That's raw, not adjusted for global warming and everything.. I do think that it really can't go much lower than this given how warm everything is, without it being some anomaly. And the subsurface does fluctuate more than the surface (Kelvin/Rossby waves) It's still July.. if Aug comes in <-0.5 ONI, it has a good chance of making it 5 straight months.. even Sept would have to carry only through January for an official Nina. Tropical tidbits currently has Nino 3.4 at -0.6c, but I know CPC is much warmer.. looks like they are -0.1 to -0.2

People that want to dim the sun should like the smoke, but yet all they do is complain about it. Frauds

Obsessed with him. You would think he posted here or something by the amount of times you bring him up. His x posts get like 3 likes and zero replies. He's pretty much irrelevant, except to you