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False and/or bad information by those that don't have it right

An Easter storm would be something

Maybe the NY Jets front office is in charge of snow measurement.

MSLP error (KM) vs. lead time for our Mid Atlantic-Northeast blizzard. Notice that at 144 to 168 hours in advance the GFS was indeed KING! But overall, this graph shows once again that the skill (utility) with the AI models is in the medium range (after FH84). However notice that with this event, the AIGFS got much worse than the AIFS and a lot of other guidance between forecast hours 90-125.

February 22-23, 2026 blizzard. This was based on reports NWS Mount Holly received.

We're up to 26 events of 0.1" to 3", totaling 23.5" (assumes 1.0" today). The other 5 events totaled 45.4".

After the early March threat there's a huge early spring warm up possible then maybe late March there's one more shot at something.

Just saw the EPS indiv members. Not even worth posting them. Only like 3-4 have decent storm.

Its coming

https://lm.facebook.com/l.php?u=http%3A%2F%2Fhudsonvalleypost.com%2F%3Fp%3D214834%26fbclid%3DIwdGRjcAQMIshleHRuA2FlbQIxMQBzcnRjBmFwcF9pZAwzNTA2ODU1MzE3MjgAAR7Il_61H5my_oEQS7YvvsGU-vsuxZp1qvtmP2FkC76jqXhxoOetdsrkKO5-LA_aem_3zcLTlWcQlpLjwkkZi3VVA&h=AT4h-yc4-PEiL7a5UKodvKr3qvBarf3SWmTntNCW8Su5TFa005dqujwR-0Zg1KTcYdU0FOcj5edCJKHWW-eX5ZqXkXos5qdsa0vg_kf7Ucmcxw2oW-o4QQjQnKga1SPMLthpIElKpQb5cnCwL3zSnF5R9ah__dXc

Sref increased precip for tomorrow

CMC gave it support so there's a chance

Signs of a record wet March and perhaps the whole Spring? 12z GFS: 12z Euro:

ChatGPT still makes a lot of mistakes. Give it two more years.

Euro AI holds back on the heat...just a general mild up. Hope its wrong but more likely than days of 70's ofc

1.4 today.....46.1 season to date Call it seasonal average reached....the winter already has an A in the bag with the extended cold , frequency of snow events, lack of cutters and days over 50F, one big event and snow otg much of the winter with deep snow otg for over a month! The only thing that would bring this to an A+ would be one more big storm 15 plus or another 25 inches of accumulating snow.

And with love too. Who said winter doesn't have a heart? And it's coming straight to us from Canada!

Although the operational Euro's 12z likeness to the GFS operational is quite impressive for 260+ hours. Wow... maybe so, huh. I mean, sometimes big signals come over the temporal horizon of the modeling earlier - the underlying supporting physical circumstances have a lot of prominence in the flow. It's the same reason "Sandy", and "1993" and probably a handful of other notables of lore were also remarkably early signals that stuck around the guidance. No reason why that can't happen with heat burst synoptics. maybe. We'll see. It sort of hearkens to a climo Omega Block - more typically found in latter March and April.

I guess it could qualify as a very early final warming since it’s happening in March, but I would defer to @40/70 Benchmark or @so_whats_happening to give a better opinion on that. They are very good with the stratospheric stuff

Looks like 2" will do it here.

touche

We love scooter the punching bag.

no GFS is ready to destroy us on March 13th