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https://x.com/nwsspc/status/2068416532716146766?s=46&t=nTdsbQZkQMPkUI3zGjAXJg marginal and slight risk out pretty large area with marginal and slight looks to be in mid Atlantic for Monday https://x.com/nwsspc/status/2068384926446104704?s=46&t=nTdsbQZkQMPkUI3zGjAXJg marginal and slight out as well majority of Great Plains and Midsouth and mid west Ohio valley parts of ozarks and tn valley also big outlook too for tomorrow .
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Late May/June 2026 Medium/Long Range
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to JenkinsJinkies's topic in Mid Atlantic
CPC going with some Summer heat leading up to July 4- 189 replies
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- we got burned
- rugpull central
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Just stating to dig into ENSO in depth now that we are beyond the spring barrier, and this isn't like 1997 per EMI....FWIW. Very similar to 2015. Stronger version of 2015. WWB looks to be hitting kind of a barrier in region 3 for now, so this looks to end to remain basin-wide...I am betting 1.2 has peaked for awhile....not saying much given how warm it is, I know. -
Cool temps with the winds at the nj airshow in west milford, nj. Had a bit of a scare as a single seater jet plane crashed in a lake after take off. Pilot made it out ok.
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Cute cell. Not much rain but peas.
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Sitting in Stumptown with a hazy double. Life is good.
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We hail
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It’s dying too unfortunately (though we expected no precip today so can’t be too sad I guess) -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
+1.4 on Tropical Tidbits -
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Extremely light, it only lasted a couple minutes . Just heard my first two rumbles of thunder of the day, something off to my northwest right now. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
TheDreamTraveler replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I swear all these storms just die when they get to harrisburg for the past 2 months -
Yep, had some heavy downpours from Salem down to East Lyme. Wasn't on my bingo card at all for today.
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The file was empty but named jacknicholson so I figured that gif had to be Randy’s intention
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Yeah, it really became noticeable yesterday and today.
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That’s cell in Boston’s producing thunder.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
high risk replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Monday has my attention. The parameter space won't be high end, but we should have modest instability, deep layer shear, and dynamics. Timing of day is good. And there are even suggestions of some low-level shear, potentially eventually leading to 5% TOR outlook.- 806 replies
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Surprised it didn’t die out before you. Nothing in the city. -
About a 25 minute shower here and loads of rainbows now im sure elsewhere as well.
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We've had a good amount of quite low humidity days too. There are other years where it doesnt rain alot but at least the days with dew points in the 40s, or 30s are done by now.
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Even better! Ya can never go wrong with Jack. Jack Nicholson. Jack Daniels. Jack-of-all-trades. Jackpot. Jackass.
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Beautiful day on the river
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Hard to beat a day like today in mid June… even got the free parking because we waited until after 5…
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Late May/June 2026 Medium/Long Range
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to JenkinsJinkies's topic in Mid Atlantic
Correlation between May-Sept SSTA and Nov-March NAO. Edit: I actually have it in reverse, I should have done lag instead of lead. Here's the +3-6 month correlation: This means that for a Winter -NAO you want cold water in that pool south of New Foundland- 189 replies
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- we got burned
- rugpull central
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Yardstickgozinya replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Get a second and third opinion, especially if it doesn't run in the family. After nearly 2 years of extreme pain discomfort and weight loss, I too was diagnosed with severe Crohn's disease in 2002 . I was scheduled to get part of my intestines removed, but I was so fearful of the surgery that I didn't follow through. Fast forward a few months later, and I actually started to improve. I decided to see another gastroentinologist and they diagnosed me with chronic gastroparesis and told me that was probably the best that I was ever going to get. Fast forward a few months later and I was fully recovered, and I haven't had any problems since. I've shared this experience with several people over the years. Apparently Gastroenterologists misdiagnose a lot.
