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7.2" since the clipper on the 10th. Snow depth at 2ft!

He must be at work so post a photo for @EastCoast NPZ

Well said. I believe that the soccer version of the Ball model calls for damp raw cold Saturdays for the first 7 weeks of the season, followed by precisely one top ten weather day, followed by 2 weeks of blazing Death Valley heat to end the season. Fall season is the nearly the opposite, but we have time for that.

Flurries 30 degrees

I'll gamble with a -PNA. We need some damn moisture!

30.1 my morning low. Heatwave …..

The WPO is forecast to be significantly negative for the last week of the month. The advertised orientation of the ridge can help offset the -PNA some, and the EPO is forecast to be only slightly positive before rising some the last few days of the month. AO and NAO look to be negative, but not severely. If all this verifies then the only 'unfavorable' index is the PNA, which is forecast to trend less negative from the 20th through the end of the month.

I’m pretty disappointed that no one commented on the 6z nam at 90 hours.

Snowing in Stephenson

For a day anyway! .

If you actually look at 500 mb anomalies you’ll see exactly what I’m talking about.

Dude, I actually look at models. I know what I’m talking about just like the storm on Monday.

as an all-season weather head, I just want wild weather to return

We have a 10% chance of 12+". Let's make it count!

And what a glorious, glorious thing it is.

Nobody does…he’s struggling. Been all messed up all season. Ya hate to see it.

That's beautiful may take a day trip to see

Great charts showing how much smaller the geographic footprint and magnitude of these Arctic arctic outbreaks have become relative to the areas of record warmth. https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/uspa/warm-cold/0 Climatologist49 ‪@climatologist49.bsky.social‬ Follow The Dec-Jan period was the 7th warmest for the Contiguous U.S. since 1940. 21.1% had the warmest Dec-Jan during that period. 0.0% had the coldest Dec-Jan; 0.0% had the 2nd coldest, 0.0% had the 3rd coldest, .... all the way thru the 13th coldest. 9:32 PM · Feb 4,

This winter is far from over. A ton of anomalously cold air in Canada and tendency for that air to intrude south periodically. It’s only less than mid February. I would be surprised if most places around the NYC metro that are sitting on between 25-30” of snow didn’t finish +40”.

Got down to 32 overnight

Don't buy your line of thought at all.

I do have to agree with @NEG NAO's maps of late February. I think there is a small window of opportunity for cold (and maybe a snowstorm) in the final week of February, but this will be like threading the needle. However, it is not going to last, as the MJO is heading towards phase 6 in the last days of February or the first days of March. That's the worst phase for cold and snow. Those hoping for a 3rd act 4/7/2003 snowstorm, I just don't see it in the cards this spring.

February isn’t a winter month anymore, it’s the new March. Last years snow was as fluky as March snow used to be