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can't ignore it. he's holding strong

New video by Dr. Cowan .

I don't understand how anyone who owns a home wants severe, damaging weather in their backyard. Leaving the personal injuries/death traumas aside, good luck dealing with your insurance company in getting your house repaired in a timely fashion competently by contractors willing to accept typical insurance rates. And life in a hotel for weeks on end, let alone months, is a disaster on its own. No, gimme winter weather and boredom for the other 8-9 months.

October Euro seasonal gives me 46.3" of snowfall from November-April...same, exact total as 1997-1998.

12Z UKMET is strongest run yet with a H (65 knots/983 mb) hitting Biloxi followed by a move N into MS: NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 21.6N 93.7W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 07.10.2026 24 21.6N 93.7W 1005 29 0000UTC 08.10.2026 36 22.0N 93.2W 1003 28 1200UTC 08.10.2026 48 22.6N 92.4W 1000 35 0000UTC 09.10.2026 60 22.7N 90.9W 999 31 1200UTC 09.10.2026 72 24.6N 89.6W 995 41 0000UTC 10.10.2026 84 26.4N 89.2W 992 45 1200UTC 10.10.2026 96 29.2N 88.7W 983 65 0000UTC 11.10.2026 108 32.3N 90.0W 994 26 1200UTC 11.10.2026 120 33.4N 90.4W 1003 27 0000UTC 12.10.2026 132 CEASED TRACKING

lol….well a good portion of the area has had copious rain the last 5-6 months…and especially recently.

Upcoming stretch looks about as perfect as can be for Fall. We'll definitely get some chilly nights with HPs rolling through but temperatures will rebound nicely during the day. There certainly could be some unseasonably warm days mixed in if we aren't wedged but a very Fall like pattern...mild days with cool-to-chilly overnights.

Been Steined here, looks to continue

Not at all.

Ahh here it is…

The only interesting weather on the coastal plane of Mass is winter weather....unless you want to count hurricanes, which have been absent since 1991.

it's a work and school day here so let it rip...just keep the weekend dry please

the waiting is the hardest part

Would not be surprising once the cane develops in the Gulf of America to see it trend East. Models notoriously are too far west down there with landfall and shift East right until it hits. If so, that would offer a much better chance of a curve out south and Stein . Farther west and it would come north

All the torch and stein calls have…not worked out…

I thought somebody Late last week said we were going to heat up after Columbus Day….

The new GFS has future Isaias positioned just above the Yucatan Saturday at 6z whereas yesterday's 12z run had a hurricane landfall over Louisiana. The slower progression mean that it makes landfall as barely a tropical storm. Very much in line with what Andy Hazleton said: this is a rare case where you actually want this to spend more time over the warm waters of the Gulf to minimize impacts, as shear will tear it apart. Whereas a faster, or more NE tracking storm would limit time in a hostile environment and therefore is more likely to peak as a hurricane.

looks like it pulls up that tropical storm from the gulf and morphs into another nor easter

Gfs and icon wet Sunday night and Monday

Whatever forms in the gulf may impact the eastern half of the sub. Zzzzz over the western sub though.

Totally agree. We all try to broadbrush a monthly or seasonal forecasts..Super Nino's,,NAO,PDO ect..saying it will be warm and cold. But it's the daily,actual weather that counts. Back in the 60's and 70's there was a three day forecast. You lived not knowing what was going to happen next week.Maybe that's better. Take life day by day. Hard to do in the world of social media.

good luck bro

Agreed, lots of leaves. I remember one year I stuffed an old pair of jeans with leaves and had the jeans protruding from a bigger pile of leaves next to our walkway. On Halloween night I swapped out those jeans with myself, upper body buried under the leaves. As I was laying there little kids were trick or treating so I just remained still as to not scare them. Then two teenage girls I knew from the neighborhood came up the walkway. I laid still as they walked past to the front door, trying not to laugh as one said to the other "It looks so real!" Then as they walked past me after getting their loot I kicked my leg over onto the walkway and I rose up through the pile of leaves that I was under. They were screaming as they ran away down the street... Low of 38 this morning, 56/34 currently, we'll see about some frost, perhaps a quick freeze, tomorrow morning.

Prior models had high pressure over the region shunting any remnants south. The trend has been the opposite lately. AI models also have a solid trough passage in the days after. Could be a signal for a widespread freeze through a good part of the region.