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Sugar grain snow? Doesn't look like dendrites.

I’m keeping expectations low, but definitely going to keep an eye on this one the next couple of days.

Nam finally shows snow for NYC lol

Solid he is. I thought it was funny also.

Listen guys.... No matter what happens with the Weather, if life has taught me one thing, its how greatful I am for what I have. Maybe we get our big Winter this year, or maybe we get our big Storm this year ( or maybe neither ). But, it will happen again. What I do want to say is Happy New Year to all you Weather geeks in here. I don't keep coming back here because I have to... I do because I'm just another weather geek just like the rest of you. Thanks guys... And here's to what we all hope is a great rest of the Winter season of 2026!

Ripping for a while here. Solid fresh 3”

Latest wpc for the Jan 4th event..

I guess that's our 1985 look. Now we just need the moisture.

I like it!!!

A quick coating of snow is not a snow squall. NYC folks don't really know what a whiteout or snow squall actually looks like.

New Year's Day's looking like a repeat of last year's, actually the past several New Year's Days. Overcast again, though mainly dry.

FWIW. From DT..

Lots of dry air working in. Hope the squall line stays together. Could be an inch with that and what's behind it.

Lol true. I was just carrying on with him. I couldn't help it, lol. I thought he may of intentionally used that word if you put it in Context. Depending whether or not the occurrence was desired or not. He's a good Poster. Great with Teleconnections.

Where are all the pretty pinks and purples?

Sunday, January 18, 2026 8:58AM EST Shallow layer of very cold air will continue to undercut the warm/moist environment overhead. As temperatures fall into the lower 20s as we go through the morning, showers and thunderstorms will begin to overspread the region owing to an approaching shortwave with decent elevated CAPE (MUCAPE 250-500+ J/kg). As this elevated convection overspreads the region torrential rain falling into the lower 20s surface temps will efficiently freeze on all untreated surfaces allowing for significant icing. Freezing showers and thunderstorms will continue into the afternoon. Precip will change over from freezing rain to sleet from NNW to SSE as the sub-freezing layer becomes deeper allowing for upwards of 2 to 4 inches of sleet on top of the significant ½” to 1” of ice accretion. The ice accretion itself will lead to widespread power outages. Temps will fall into the teens as we go through the afternoon and into the evening. There will be a lull in the precip by the mid evening hours as the first shortwave moves to the ENE. But the next one will be right on its heels. The second and more life-threatening shortwave will approach the region by the early morning hours of Monday. Precip will overspread the region from SW to NE between 4am and 8am starting off as snow briefly along and north of I-66 and Route 50 before changing over to sleet as we go through the morning hours. Once again, elevated instability will be plentiful owing to unusually warm and humid air over the SE US overrunning the very cold lower-levels of the atmosphere here w/ MUCAPE upwards of 500+ J/kg again. As we reach the early afternoon hours showers and thunderstorms will really start training over the same areas, generally the Greater DC and Baltimore metros. Surface temps will rise into the 19-23F range. But with very warm air just of the surface, precip will change over into freezing rain. This is when the truly historic destruction may occur with ice accretion rates in excess of ¼ to ½” per hour over the course of the afternoon into the evening. By nightfall, many areas may have received an additional 1.5” to 3” of ice accretion leading to universal power outages and tree damage with many structures also experiencing significant damage. Precip will exit the region by midnight with skies remaining overcast as we go towards dawn on Tuesday. This will be a historic and life-threatening event that will affect many aspects of life locally over the next several days or few weeks.

Running out of time though unfortunately

Whoa...check out this video clip from out near Erie. https://www.facebook.com/share/r/185dALhiJN/

Happy New Year to all of you weather weenie folk in here. Looks to start wintery in feeling and perhaps sight in some areas.

Also enough to put us into the top 10 Decembers of all time.

Seriously looking at this possibility we need the NS to slow down in relation to the southern shortwave as right now it is outrunning our southern piece by a solid 12-24 hours. While obviously this would be a major change its not altogether impossible if pieces start moving this way by tomorrow morning. Additionally, our southern shortwave moving further north (which is the trend considering our block failing to form) would help in this process. Another thing to note is a small piece of energy detached from our shortwave out west which seems to help move it push the precip north and constructively interact with the NS. Looking at the recent Euro run (top) vs old run (bottom) this is quite clear to see. Now that previous discussion was focused on salvaging this into a decent snowstorm. If instead we set our sights on a far more reasonable coating to 1inch storm we just need the Euro as it is to be right. Though, an interesting solution is the NAM. The NAM opts to have no NS interaction and instead brings a stronger southern vort north on its own. While this has the thermals shot (partially due to no cold push I assume) it manages to get a solid quarter inch of ice in the area. As for now all we can do is see which way the models evolve. Though, it wouldn't surprise me to see this creep north as @Terpeast mentioned with the blocking up north failing to materialize.

Friday. 11 am. DCA. WINTER IS COMING THIS WEEKEND

The first third of the month's certainly not good. TWC/Wunderground's wanting first full week of January to be repeats of Januaries 1998 and 2023 with a blowtorch.

A day late and a dollar short!?!

Man I went big for BWI this year trying to send them some good vibes. I hope late January produces for them.