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Yeah I don’t see Jan 2022 here. This will send a death band way NW even if it doesn’t last as long.

Wind will be a limiting factor on ratios. Otherwise, the soundings looks really good. Pretty deep dgz right in the 700-500 range.

This may have Feb 2013 type tree damage on south shore. Heavy wet snow as it pounds and then temp falls with those winds. Gfs Bufkit is insane. Has 75-80krs at top of boundary layer.

the funny thing no one knows really how big or serious this storm is or even talking about it that much. Compared to Jan 25-26th, there was so much hype and news coverage. Obviously it was a much bigger storm overall that was visibly trackable across the US while this hasn't even developed yet. Not to mention it affected NM to ME. Just seeing the difference is pretty incredible but it makes sense.

9.6” final. SE flow at 850mb hurt a little, but not nearly as much as BTV and the Euro thought.

I mean, sure…but a 980 low off ocmd is better than most miller B situations. This thing matures extremely quickly. Should be good enough to not give us a complete screw job here

See that's the problem. I do have a truck but drifting can shut roads. The NJ shore isn't the Tug where they blast through snow like nothing and roads are always fine. Why do we always have to travel? We use to get storms in our area lol

True but at least we’re not getting shut out (hopefully).

We're just not north enough for them to fully develop unless you're east and NE.

I do agree that areas right along the bay may go higher but just thinking bwi will come in slightly below. Places like naptown, chessie beach are in a good spot, locally.

Hear me out though…if you did…you’d be a hero to us all. Just messing. Good luck down there. Should get crushed.

Wow, that sucks to hear. Sorry. I thought quebec province was the high theft area not NB Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

Heading down to mattapoisett now….should be there in time to play catch up on 12z gfs reviews. Would live to read “crosses the cape”.

RAP GW That thing is tucked and just crawls E/NE QPF and its not even done

If you like hiking and the outdoors then you'll love this area. The mountains are great and it's fall beauty is top notch. If you love interesting weather - besides wind - then you moved to the wrong place. You're in a little better spot than me; Winchester is usually the dividing line of total crap to it's south and getting better to it's north.

Agreed. I do think there’s going to be a big winner on the west side with the norlun. They’re notorious for big totals where they park, and not going to see much more of an intense storm associated with one than this one.

Miller b is the worst man

This is going to usher in a traffic apocalypse in New Haven. They did such a shit job with the January storm that there are still plenty of streets partially blocked and down to basically one lane of traffic for both directions. Also, it looks like they've depleted their mountain of salt by I-91. Going to be a fun commute to the office Monday.

I wish but that ain’t happening lol .

Dude you should be careful. where you understand the crazy bust boom potential of this storm and know to take your forecast with a grain of salt, your coworkers could be looking to you as the "wiz weather geek" that always "gets it right".. and for all we know some poor schmuck decided to move forward with a party or some big plans based on the fact that "2-4 is nothing" then Sunday night comes and he is stranded in his car on route 50 under a blizzard warning!

9.6” final up here. Nearly double of what the BTV forecast was and right on par with the GFS and NAM. Euro struggled until late. On top what was already a big snowpack the depth was over 27” last night. For perspective those piles in the foreground are nearly 6’. Over 130” on the season now.

I think this would have to trend a couple ticks east to be more like Jan 2022…it’s always possible but it seems unlikely this close in given the way all the guidance looks.

Notoriously the overzealous RAP haha. One of the worst pieces of guidance of course. What do the 9z srefs show?

I wish I felt as confident here. Just got some January 2022 PTSD

Rap is the last standing bomb for most at this point. This is thru Monday 12z with more to come.