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Looks pretty much standard La Nina. Not surprising from Them.

No, I meant on latter December -NAO. I agree regarding emergence of Pacific trough pattern.

That’s the last thing I want. I’d rather roll the dice with strong lows than hearing about deamplifying trends all season long.

I think it will. Goes to your warm up near Christmas.

Not hard. Thats just a picture at this time horizon. Artwork. We see these model phantoms a lot, due to said background state.

I wouldn't hold your breath on that.

I meant later as the PAC ridge might relax mid month.

I am extremely confident se Canada will be cold more often than not and have been since like August. ...like 10/10 confidence.

Yes, agreed.

Cards are stacked against us. Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? Hell no

I'm not basing it on a 15 day model...and yes, I've locked it in as it pertains to the seasonal mean.

73.5"...probably low 80s IMBY now

"It only takes one storm....." in 3, 2, 1.......

All -NAO would do is grind these waves. That modeled pattern is perfect.

Yeah probably some good chasing opportunities.

People should just keep expectations neutral and view everything within the broader context of where we've been the last 8 years and what enso state we're in and go from there--instead of going up and down with the LR modeling and the inevitable chaos of tracking an actual threat.

It was, and I went over the lawn one last time...all set for the SWFEs.

Emotional hires never work out well, and I love Terry as much as anyone. But also, We Are!!!

More than just the AI.

We ought to run a casino, over when Austin FINALLY EVER has a normal high temp of 65, if ever! I am willing to bet we never have highs here in the 50s, until December 2026! This is a massive Nina, and Texas is going to be boiling HOT all winter. It's obvious we are above normal all the time, with occasional 1-2 day cooldowns to 10 degrees above normal. This is concerning, because what it all means is a category 5 drought leading into Summer 2026 then super high temps appropriate to late stage global warming. We have had many overnight lows warmer than our normal average high temperatures. It is difficult to comprehend that our normal high temperature is now 65 degrees, and that our normal low is only 47. That sounds like New England weather, compared to what we have been dealing with since mid February this year. We'll have a semi permanent high pressure over the American Southwest from today well into most of 2026 maybe even 2027. This will mean that the Eastern Seaboard will be far colder than normal this winter and why many of our snowfall forecasts for Washington DC will turn out to be ridiculously conservative. We had a cold front last night. Yep. high was 76. We are always well above normal temperature wise, and extremely below normal rain wise. This is the hallmark of a Nina in the south and southwest. Better look out Eastern US. You are gonna freeze this winter amidst numerous blizzards!

That was a wild month. 12/20 was the big norlun…14” here

Look at this. Get rid of all the unnecessary shit at the line, all the stupid shifts and focus on blocking, running, and passing, and the offense looks damned good. James Franklin can go straight to Hell for ruining this season. Straight to Hell.

Lay that base down

Definitely!

Everything is fine