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Agree, its not exactly rare to see these big swings at this point in the tracking, not a trend until minimum 2 similar runs but really 3. Until then not buying it. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk

How it works when you’re dealing with a phase of a monster SW and NS

Ray is already shook from a 1/2” less on a d6 prog

How the heck is there a YouTube Video of the freaking weather forecast from that specific day?? Awesome!

At least we should get plenty of that. We need the moisture as water levels are running low.

Thoughts and prayers SE folk

I’m in almost fully sold mode right now. Still want a full day of runs to 00z Thursday. If it holds through then, I’ll start making my forecast. This is shaping up to be a big dog my friend. Cheers to a whopping this weekend!

Anyone drinking this sh**? It felt more appropriate to drop this here...

Anyone got a freezing rain model map for the entire event?

That’s some cold water!!!

Our "high speed" can go up to 160 now! In some sections. We doin' it up baby!

We've also seen this play before. Most all of our biggest storms were "south" at this point in the model runs. Not a guarantee it will come north, but it's kind of like having, say, Tom Brady or Patrick Mahomes down 5 entering the 4th quarter.

I could make a lot of money from metfan with this

You were voted off quite quickly. "Ain't happening James" "staying south" "This blows" . Did nothing for ratings.

I get the range, but plenty of guidance doing that...same shit Jan 2022 pulled. I'm going to need deep easterly H85 inflow and/or perfect H7 deformation to avoid it.

Radar is lol

MU on the train, honk, honk!

Of course its a concern but right now the gfs is most suppressed and still a decent hit (not counting 12z of course)

Most anomalously warm months for the CONUS, per UAH lower tropospheric data [expressed as deviation from 1991-2020 mean] (1) March 2012: 2.24°C (2) December 2025: 2.10°C (3) February 2017: 2.06°C (4) April 1981: 1.97°C (5) October 2024: 1.89°C (6) November 1999: 1.87°C (7) November 2016: 1.84°C (8) December 2021: 1.81°C (9) May 2018: 1.75°C (10) March 2007: 1.57°C

27.2 high. Currently 16.4/-3.5 at 8:30 pm.

we all know this has happened before when we get within three days the models back off to go right back the next day. that high pressure if it is as strong as they say won't let that low pressure go north any at all, I don't believe.