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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
RUNNAWAYICEBERG replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yea. Escapes east but close. Don’t hate it as long as euro ticks better. -
The second wave is also big on the GFS. The Canadian sees none of the first wave.
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Probably all know how this all ends. With us getting pretty much nothing over the next 2 weeks. Hopefully we cash in but I’m sure we will get just toyed with.
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Take a look at our NWS forecast for tomorrow.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
im liking the trough axis and see the 500 lp looking a little sharper/neg tilt. this delays the real deal a bit, but might be worth the wait moving forward (if this look continues to hold). gnight all. -
Storm total rainfall: 0.00”
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Looked worse to me
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
That storm blows. -
I think it was still a minor improvement H5 level
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That’s nothing changed from its previous runs
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The second system looks like it would be primarily an overrunning setup that minors out as it moves east.
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AI GFS not that interested with light amounts. Inch or less? That's a guess.
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We don’t get these h5 looks very much. It would shameful to waste another one
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It’s bad unusually bad this year
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Storm 2 looks a bit deeper and a touch further SW than 18z. Probably snows somewhere in the southeast/Deep South at the surface with that one too.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
If it's like 3-6" I really wouldn't care...prefer it TBH. -
Your best post ever
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This storm isnt going to stall like the gfs did at 12z. I just dont want this to be a Mid Atlantic storm .
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CMC still not even in the ballpark
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good juju
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Really liked the look at 500. Numerous runs have shown a very vigorous piece of energy. In reality it’s probably somewhere between the GFS and Euro, which would mean a pretty good chance at snow for someone on our forum, even if just light.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
You don't have to tell me that...just saying. -
Looks great at 500 but the precip shield is dried out because there is a double barrel low stealing the precip.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
paweather replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
0z GFS holds serve -
Call it storm 2/Cape.
