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You know what? I wouldn't even care if they got more...it would be a frickin' White Christmas!!

Muting as we thought…it’s the tenor this year so far. We take.

South trolling will hereby met with north trolling so watch it brother!!!

2 hours of flurries/lt snow but no accums. Was hoping to squeeze .2 to hit 7" for the month but the minor accum stuff ended up south of me by 20 miles. It was nice dendrites for a while so SnowTV looked pretty good for a bit

On both NAMs, at least at the height of the storm for areas snowing decently, omega (lift) values are in the robust -10 to -15 ubar/sec in the saturated DGZ, so we should see good supersaturation occur and decent dendrite growth for ratios above 10:1. It's why my guesstimate is for ~4" at my house vs. the 3.3" forecast by the NWS.

OMG

Actually it’s a 5 day anomaly so probably 34/20 right at the coast.

Plenty of time for a south trend

DT is all in has the 4" line roughly through Sellersville

Hoping to avoid to much of a delayed start with the rain as well as getting into that quasi stationary band that some mesos have showed. Should be a decent storm forum wide for most to get on the board

I think what we are not used to is having a more than decent cold air source. 500 maps can get wonky and sometimes not represent the surface w/ these. When that happens, it is really important to look at surface pressure. The mechanism(on that run) is in place to send the TPV south. It just got hung up. Still, that is a good run at this range. Cheers. Maybe I will come back for 0z.

Cross guidance improvement with a tick more kinked flow to our NE. Festive Sunday incoming…

Clipper energy transfer to the coast lift convergence northwest of the developing low then rapidly pull away to the east-northeast. Where the Convergence sets up before collapsing southeast and east will be the areas that get a quick 4-5”.

That is just a timing issue or that is a huge winter storm. As is, it is CAD city and Virginia gets hammered. The surface high slides a little bit too far ahead. If this were to get over the top, slider city. Very, very close. And just amazing given the torch that has been shown for days for Christmas. This is the GFS' second run w/ Christmas cold. Let's see if it can hold and get this inside of ten days.

Acting more like a Miller B type event. System driving E/ESE into mountains then a coastal transfer of sorts.

So not agree with Hammer?

Still a long way off but ... should the EPO surprise blossoms like that there's ain't gonna be no warm end of the month

18z GFS is a christmas miracle but south wins again lol (move this to digital snow thread if need be mods)

If there was no potential feedback over the PNW, all of it would have come out. Oh so close.

After the last few years you honestly think I’m excited for C-1”? That’s what I’m expecting unless it moves north.

Worst thread I've ever started lol

I left my dazzling total above, lol. Seriously, Blacksburg NWS reported 0.7 and I think Bluefield and Wytheville WAY down SW got an inch or so.

Now...does this qualify as a clipper, or is this just a regular "system" so to speak?

Give me this, and we ride at dawn...

lets hold off on victory laps until the storms post mortem on this yet to be named weekend clipper