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  2. Wow! Chilly up there. 56 here in the lowlands near the bay. You're not far behind Barns Corner NY this morning. 43 there.
  3. 39/38 on the MA/NY border. Winds went dead around 7 last night, good radiational cooling setup.
  4. It was dumb. There was a receiver open who could have easily gotten the 2
  5. 45 for a low, 46 currently
  6. Lots of 40s on the mesonet west of the bay! 52 for me right now.
  7. Today
  8. This short video isn't weather relatedI but found this narration to be absolute gold.
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  10. Lol, they are fake palm trees. I'm surprised nobody noticed his artificial turf. The lucky bastard also has a little putt putt, endless whirlpool, batting cages, and trophy wife just out of sight of the image and totally out of sight of my dreams.
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  12. Nice run of -SOI 14 Sep 2026 1012.86 1014.90 -25.91 -17.50 -20.30 13 Sep 2026 1013.56 1015.55 -25.61 -17.44 -20.04 12 Sep 2026 1012.91 1015.60 -29.77 -17.32 -19.89 11 Sep 2026 1012.86 1015.40 -28.88 -16.53 -19.86 10 Sep 2026 1012.90 1013.90 -19.73 -15.51 -19.92 9 Sep 2026 1013.04 1013.40 -15.92 -14.62 -20.08 8 Sep 2026 1012.32 1014.50 -26.74 -14.02 -20.17 7 Sep 2026 1013.24 1015.10 -24.84 -13.46 -20.04 6 Sep 2026 1014.43 1015.70 -21.33 -13.18 -19.91
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  14. ^Looks like it predicted the N. Pacific ridge too, which is rare in El Nino.
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  16. Upper 40s tonight. I think it will be cold enough in the Winter. Would be really surprised if we do a scenario like 97-98. Last 2 years we had early cold periods in September and they were both cooler Winters. Would have to be an unfavorable index pattern like +EPO if the Winter goes wrong, only mildly connected to ENSO.
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  18. after a brief moderate warmup this week we can safely say summer is not only over on the calendar but warm days in the 80's will be a distant memory.
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  20. ^How well did Jamstec’s May forecast for JJA verify in the CONUS? May ‘26 Jamstec forecast for summer ‘26: Actual for summer ‘26: Jamstec forecast excellent in E US; overall CONUS pattern excellent with warmest in SW US and coolest Midwest although it wasn’t quite warm enough in sone of the SW US:
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  23. Here’s my analysis of the new Jamstec forecast for winter: hint SE cold lovers will enjoy this as it is progging the coldest winter in the SE/Mid-South since 2014-5!
  24. So much whiskey that you probably fainted.
  25. It could be that I’ve gotten into some whiskey this evening, but I can faintly see my breath outside.
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