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Another fluke Watch from the SPC that prompted dissipation of western cells as it was issued. Amazing

It was nice to get some outflow, but this sucks...

Fyp

That'll have to be the name for my new band.

Residents along the great lakes 8n upstate NY just getting hammered by all that training rain.

So usually I have seen SKYWARN spotters activated at the bottom of the watch itself. This time they put up a special statement. Is that a new way they are doing it? Also I have the Baltimore/Washington number. Is it the same one for Sterling?

tonights rains do not look promissing. Training t storms- what the hell is that ? it is sorely needed. Its essentially a rinse repeat of .5 in of quick hittig downpours if you are lucky to get the rain and the front is blown through with dmaging straightline winds downdrafts. I am so tired of this. If we do no get decent rains in the next wo weeks, we will be in drought emergency mode and rationing as the groundwater table is being sucked dry now with this extreme heat pattern too.

Hahaha Yinzer Alley go brrrrr

Yeah, you can see lawns are starting to brown up. I mowed yesterday for the first time in two weeks. If we don’t start getting consistent rain, it’ll probably be a few weeks before I mow again. 87F/DP 68F

Isn't that Mitch's burner account?

Black fly tornado is the stuff of nightmares, ha.

Got dumped on with .77" in less than half an hour earlier this afternoon. The same line went severe in Ohio.

Yes. That's true. With the warming climate, this year's mark will probably fall in the not too distant future.

Showers and thundershowers are likely thie evening and tonight as a cold front moves across the region. Some of the thunderstorms could be strong or severe, bringing strong winds, small hail, and heavy downpours. Cooler weather will return for at least the first half of the week. Temperatures will likely top out in the middle to upper 70s tomorrow through Wednesday. It will then become somewhat warmer to conclude the week. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.3°C for the week centered around June 3. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.95°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.98°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -24.88 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.712 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 78% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 74.3 (2.3° above normal). That would tie June 2026 the eighth warmest June on record with 1925, 1957, and 2021. Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.9° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

No, but it threw something into the air. Black flies?

Hopefully it makes it to LI

I can't believe the main line is till out in Erie and Ohio. I thought it would have been farther east by now. Was it supposed to be so late?

TOG near Sykesville PA Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 445 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026 PAC065-142100- /O.CON.KPBZ.TO.W.0014.000000T0000Z-260614T2100Z/ Jefferson PA- 445 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026 ...TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT FOR SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON PA COUNTY... At 445 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Reynoldsville, or 7 miles north of Punxsutawney, moving east at 30 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Law enforcement confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. Locations impacted include... Reynoldsville, Sykesville and Anita. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a well-built building away from windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris. && LAT...LON 4106 7902 4113 7880 4099 7880 4099 7898 TIME...MOT...LOC 2038Z 259DEG 25KT 4103 7899 TORNADO...OBSERVED MAX HAIL SIZE...<1.00 IN

Not a lot going on where that thing tracked.

80% pops for tonight… all respect but I just don’t see it. Looking like scattered showers at best. vegetation in lower bucks looks mid August. Really need the next front to bring some rain. Only at .4” this month.

Hrrrrrrrrrrr 3k NAM nothing looks impressive atm, timing is really bad

We got blessed with a third of an inch of rain here in Pine Knolls over the course of a half hour. 78.4/74.8 29.80in

I mean TDS height approaching 10 kft and Vrot of 25 kt would put you in the high end EF1/low end EF2 range. So I would think we would eventually hear something.

Per LWX, on the 12z KIAD sounding, PWAT was 1.05. On the 18z, it was 1.52

Wow