All Activity

Warmth stayed S&W, no surprise. So much for the Scand block linking up with the SE ridge for a blowtorch over us as it transitioned to a -NAO. Got a quick warm shot the 18th & 19th, similar to late November instead. Looks like -5 departure from normal for the month.

Ray, it was just barely an official zonal wind reversal at 10 mb….but only barely (at ~0.5 m/s per Euro on 11/28/25) after the 11/24/25 initial dip barely failed:

They just replaced the cabins and did maintenance. I think a new storage facility too. .

Agree. Just speaking for CT, I do think there will be measurable snow. Low confidence, but I still think we're not at the final result on the models.

The Weeklies literally just had a run of above average for the month of January a few days ago

Beacons low elevation and proximity to the river make it a known snow hole in marginal events like this. Usually the Newburgh riverfront doesn't do too well either.

Rgem would be a nice thump before any mixing

Extrapolating the NAM is a FOOLS GAME. But it has a much better HP at 18Z compared to 12Z. Guess I will be the fool.

Unreal....preXmas storm last year JUST south of me....one year later JUST north of me. At least I have a dusting now.

I still think it’ll snow Friday nite. But understand the risks

Jan was the only snowfall that year. Had around 4-5". The late Feb storm busted and crushed AC and va beach

New Year’s Eve Eve

About 75 miles SW of 12z. One more shift like that and it’s gone for most, outside of maybe SW CT

Mmmm did you not see Larry's post?

Light steady snow with decent snow growth bordering on moderate. About a half an inch so far. 28° and the radar to the west looks pretty good. We should get into some moderate snow for a bit and hopefully snag a brief bit of heavy snow before everything moves off to the east.

Last chance will be that stuff coming down from near ART and Lake Ontario. Some guidance kind of blows it up for a good 3 hour burst….I’m remaining skeptical but if it happens then we could pick up a quick inch or two.

We’ve seen it since at least mid July

And it begins.....first flakes.

The reason I missed that is because I made the mistake of ignoring the lag just because it wasn't an official zonal wind reversal. My bad on that...

Yeah, the woodstove and furnace use to snow ratio has not been good.

Lol, I had low expectations, but Greenfield is not even going to get a coating out of this.

Can already tell on the icon that the block is pressing more this run even through 57 hours. Expect a south solution from 12z, which was the only guidance giving the area appreciable snow

i seem to remember one around thanksgiving that year; thought it would be a blockbuster winter, which we had not had in 5 years by then.....