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  2. my understanding of the western water situation and the colorado river, is that it's a long slow release from heavy winter snowmelt or northing. At best, a heavy monsoon season might provide some local relief to immediate fire susceptibility but it won't do anything for the river/water scarcity issue and the lightning will certainly start new fires considering the degraded state of the forests out there thanks to the beetles and successive mega droughts
  3. MJO was rather diffuse for the most part in July 1991, but notice the only appreciable amplitude was in the MC on the 7th-8th (phase 4) and...19th-22nd (phase 7) https://www.bom.gov.au/clim_data/IDCKGEM000/rmm.74toRealtime.txt This July, we are also getting huge amplitude in phase 8, but doesn't seem to matter.
  4. The current -SOI streak has now surpassed the 72 day streak of 1997 and is now at 74 days. Only 1998’s 100 days has been longer as far back as daily records go at Long-Paddock: https://data.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/SeasonalClimateOutlook/SouthernOscillationIndex/SOIDataFiles/DailySOI1887-1989Base.txt
  5. 73 yesterday. Mid 50s this morning. Excellent break from the heat. Can’t beat sleeping with the windows open.
  6. Yea, all I need to see. This is what ultimately matters, so IMHO, you (collective) can shove all of the OLR, VP and MJO plots......we are having a cool ENSO July. Not what I want, but it is what it is.
  7. Beautiful morning out. On ffx county parkway where it overpasses 50 could finally see past the blue ridge way to the distant mountains. Otherwise, mid 60s and low humidity means I get to wear a jacket today to coach!
  8. Yes, Phoenixville had a 4 pm time of observation:
  9. Philadelphia has actually had 14 years with 0 90° days in August. The most recent such year was 2013. Some of the guidance suggests that 90° heat could return late in the first week of August and continue during at least part of the second week of the month.
  10. 1.04 inches since midnight. We’re back baby
  11. Chris, June-July 1991 also didn’t get the memo (Also, May of 1991 was very warm): In addition, June-July of 1877 wasn’t cool.
  12. Please refrain from using the heater in your vehicle in July. One must not use the heater in a vehicle until late September. Don't give in to temptation.
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  14. US National Weather Service State College PA Favorites ·steprnoSdo396f351052g6h810cug4346m98517t4a4310t48287lm7208lu · Next 3 days: Doesn't get much better for late July Humidity and rain risk ramp up for early next week 7/23/26|638am
  15. 57 for the low in Marysville. Should be a beautiful late July day.
  16. Wow there are some insane totals around Greensboro. We’re at around an inch here
  17. The CONUS didn’t get the memo that it’s supposed to be having a cooler super El Niño summer. We knew something was going to be different with the record heat that began to emerge back in May. What if anything this says about the rest of the event remains to be seen.
  18. Got lucky with some training showers last night and picked up 0.75 for a total of 2.10 for the event. Best rainfall since I moved here in March. Now I'm looking forward to gorgeous weather the next four days.
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