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Well said. I think CC is playing a part in the absence of winter weather over the past several years, but it's not "the new norm"....it's just accentuating and protracting these oscillations. Just my take...I think it also played a role in the snow-blitz of 2015.

Beautiful color thos morning. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

yeah that was cool

this is the final PNS from BOX on Feb 13th

The ice this winter has been tough. Roads everyday this week just ice everywhere

You can't seriously be taking anything the GFS says at hr 233 as gospel can you? Last week Chicago went from a Blizzard at hour 141 to a rainstorm one run later.

I'll have to try to dig out my old notes wherever the hell they are lol. If I'm remembering correctly East Windsor had a hair more than Simsbury although maybe I'm of the information backwards. I know the Simsbury measurement is correct

Oh look... Giant ass hole right where it always seems to be.

Some of their maps are LOL

Met your precip quota for the rest of the winter last night.

Sea level rise is accelerating along the Gulf and Atlantic coasts. Here are Savannah and Cape May for instance. Data available at link below. https://psmsl.org/data/obtaining/stations/395.php Savannah Cape May

It’s just good to see that the deterministic models finally trying to show something out of this pattern. But yeah, I’m with Will, if we can sneak in something a week from now that would be a pretty awesome bonus.

yeah, it’s fairly mild until like Thursday night lol. He can enjoy jogging on the bare ground again.

.5" at the stake but there's large patches of grass visible. I'm positive the stake will be 0" before the end of the day.

34 in East Windsor? Every town surrounding it had reports of 22-25" including BDL. I didn't see anything like that looking through all the available data. that map includes every possible report i could find from cocorahs, COOP and the PNS which is what i go off of and i think is far more realistic and accurate than the NESIS map which has none of CT above 30" which is ridiculous.

MLK weekend itself looks like there is potential.

Solid look for overrunning still .. very cold in canada especially EPS

Now, it does actually appear that the MJO is looking to get active once again. Initiating in the west Pacific as per the possibility mentioned by the CPC. This is a pretty good look at a phase 6 then 7 firing off on the EPS. GEFS doesn't disagree either. We may have another attempt at a phase 8 pass on our hands beyond this. Perhaps a better chance this time with the warm pool a bit further east this time. To me, the key to pulling that off successfully is to see the strong subsidence push fully into 120E. Along with the propagation of convection into the western hemisphere. Which guidance is hinting at may actually happen towards the end of these runs lately. That's promising IMHO. That did not occur last time.

http://www.ocean.iap.ac.cn/pages/dataService/dataService.html?languageType=en&navAnchor=dataService

Naggy Bay strikes again. It loves to kill severe weather as well.

how’s it looking after MLK day…that was the real time that we were eyeing..as Will said, anything before would be a big bonus.

It could be the first snow gun mounted to the roof of a NYC police cruiser

Time to lock this one up, nothing to change here.

Well he's not wrong it is a pack melting 38-48 degrees the next 5-6 days for all of SNE .. already lost 75% of my solid 6" pack.. but if we can cash in on that epic look starting next Thursday who cares, it's a welcome melt off and clean up..

My guess is that we will need to be patient for our next widespread 4”+ snowfall. The long range guidance tries to shift the forcing east of the Dateline later this month. Not sure if the STJ will be able to increase enough for a coastal or it’s another Northern Stream clipper pattern like we had back in December.