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  2. It’s perfect out there…pure sun and 69-70 degrees. No clouds here. Hopefully you cleared out.
  3. Wow, what a beautiful day. The foliage this year is amazing in the Whites. If you any of you can get up there tomorrow, this is the day. Monday's fropa will take down many leaves but what a year this is.
  4. 1. The concept of RONI applies to all ENSO. 2. ONI is a good measure of the combo of GW and ENSO. RONI is a good measure of ENSO, alone. 3. NOAA officially currently has 1972-3 at +2.0.
  5. I'm sure Will remembers the exact date too . I was surprised he didn't chime in during the nor'easter???
  6. Any word on how long it will take Tropical Tidbits and Pivitol to update/reprogram their web sites and bring these new models online in the right positions and remove the old ones ? ?
  7. Today
  8. Industrious. Slacker you are not.
  9. Nino 1.2 really went for broke this past month. ECMWF September forecast and spread overlaid with verification.
  10. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  11. front hovering over MD/VA
  12. We can debate oni v roni all we want but you still have at least four different SST analyzes and climatologies and roni adjustments and scaling at the bom, cpc, ukmet, and ecmwf. So good luck!
  13. Last hour stay of execution from the govenor.
  14. We really giving the flu and other cold viruses credit for cold deaths lol.
  15. Well considering of all the people in the world that die from temperature extremes, cold causes outnumber warm by a ratio of 9-to-1, I must be doing the right thing for humanity.
  16. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  17. Temp has dropped all day, currently 55.4/54.6 with rain at 3 pm. Closing in on 2/3's inch since it started.
  18. This is a huge downgrade. The NBM has been awful!
  19. RONI vs ONI are not important to me this year because both are well above the threshold for super on the daily index, and will be for the 3 month index eventually. for records, I only care about absolute SSTs. similar to how we measure record heatwaves based on setting the absolute temperature of say, 105 degrees, not the “record anomaly.” We are currently above record SSTs in the 3.4 region.
  20. Just under an inch and still moderate rain...about time!
  21. wait, so this is the least appropriate type of enso event for using RONI? lol
  22. Unfortunately, the arrival of spring warmth is coming earlier while the date of the last freeze has held more steady over time.
  23. The Euro was fairly close this month. It had forecast a global mean average temperature of 1.67 C in September. The September average came in a +1.63 C.
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