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Flurries IMBY as of now. Probably means John has an inch.

Vortex and I go way back. And don’t let him fool you, he gets pumped for a big one too. When I first started he was too cool to talk to me until one day I brought up the big December 94 subtropical storm and he was flabbergasted that I remembered that storm. That’s when he knew there was a new kid in town.

How would I know.

On par with the weenie rule about not wanting kickers!!

I thought you got 2”?

Looks GREAT! For Flemish Cap

Meanwhile we’re still in the drought up here. I’m sure April and May will put up 15” combined.

This has other complications besides that. A kicker is involved, and another trough are keeping it from coming together as it should…at least currently. So a meager event is probably what will come of it. Vortex95 has a great write up in the specific storm thread.

Not even ZR here. Just some showers and flakes. Down to 32.7°

Nada for sn. Just some zr Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

Idk. 4”? I’ll check later

This winter it def is. Fast PAC flow nonsense . Unrelenting

The big ones are sniffed out early- which weenie rule is that again?

Lot less up here in NC. Total was 1.91”. .

Geps all lit up at the end of its run last night too.

May take model vacation till early February.

READ THIS AFTER YOU WATCH THE VIDEO The new 0z Sunday operationally European model is quite impressive. For the first time it not only develops a CLOSED UPPER LOW but it now forms a closed in southwest ILL , drops into the deep Longwave Trough on the East Coast Wednesday night. From there the closed 500 UPPER LOW deepens and drops SE into the Carolinas by Thursday night. If this solution is correct it matches the GFS solution in developing a significant Coastal storm Nor'easter along the Delmarva Coast with rain initially along the coastal areas and heavy snow in the Piedmont and Appalachian Mountains of the Middle Atlantic and the Ohio Valley . If we were to Take verbatim the 0z sunday European model run, the surface LOW Pounds the hell out of western NC/ far southeast KY/ southwest VA the entire Shenandoah Valley/ Western MDd and most of WV On Thursday and Thursday evening the coastal LOW intensifies and rain changes the snow in I-95 and coastal areas Thursday night . Snow continues through Friday dawn in the eastern half of VA/ c central and eastern MD/ and the Delmarva and possibly Hampton roads. The European model has a break in the snow shield from Baltimore to NYC while Southeast New England sees some moderate accumulating snow. As I mentioned in the video the key to the January 15 event is the formation of the closed UPPER LOW -- this feature HAS to drop into the Carolinas in order for there to be a significant Middle Atlantic winter storm. If that UPPER LOW never forms or let's say the orms over PA that would be great for NY state and New England but it would be complete Miss for a new the southern Middle Atlantic.

improve how so ? Same as the Euro - little snow

EPS is hinting at it- Pretty good support for the op run at that range. Classic look at the surface for a big winter storm.

6.23 inch rain event total here in Dahlonega, GA. 6.18 of that came in a 24 hour period between fri 1:30pm and sat 1:30pm. Surprised no other obs in here for this event. Am in in the right section.

It wouldn't surprise me to watch this end of the week thing slowly disappear on the models over the next few days and start to focus on the 19th time frame. To me it has the look that they just don't know what to focus on yet

Looks like a safe bet. Hopefully it won't trend more north, that will even cut snow totals up there.

The vort from hell, that’ll give you 1”. Gotta love it.

It just fits the last several seasons of disappointment. I hope we see some changes today, but I’m with you. Torch it and give me 60F instead of a slowly sublimating leaf blower event.

Is that what your wife says?