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Cloudy, temps in the lower 20's, snowcover. What an impressive deep winter day for any time of the winter. I've seen a lot of winters where we never get a day like this even during peak climo. Getting my backpack packed for my afternoon hike. Shoot me a DM if you'd like to join me. I'll provide the cannabis lol

PF gets a good snowstorm on Boxing Day too!

Only a few flakes here - too far north. Grandkids in SNJ had 4" of clingy beauty, their first snow of the season other than a flurry or two.

Need it over Alaska and the GOA Low over the Aleutians.

That brought quite the visual to my mind, that I cant mentally "unsee". @sauss06Love ya Jon

We gotta get rid of that GOA Low and slow down the Pac Jet. The sooner the better . I think, providing the MJO is in cold Phases we'd be alright then. As is , strong Blocking may do the trick.

4.3” Williamsburg, Brooklyn storm and season total

If we can get the clouds out tonight, might be one of those situations where lows beat last night’s. I feel like the models always warm up too quick as a cold spell is departing.

That brings up a fascinating ask; what winter is the closest to having most of its cold/snow in Nov and the first 3 weeks of Dec? There would still be wintery wx after the solstice due to the small database of winters we have.

4.5 inches glen rock nj

sandwiched b/w 2 cutters

Op Models swing wildly at 10 days. Think how many mega storms have been at 10 to 15 days this year yet we have had none. Absolutely useless for sensible weather.

Thats not a snow in VA sleet to rain.and GFS op? Gets so convoluted and unscientific at times in here

We all know you’re not posting as much because you’re prepping to win Mr Universe.

8.0" Huntington Station and season total. Thanks for compiling and making the map!

We need a reshuffle I won't argue that. Maybe we can finally get that Greenland block in early January. I'm still concerned that the Pacific may not play nice for the majority of the winter, similar to the past 5 or 6 winters.

Nevermind the future...the present is scary on many levels...

Models have really struggled this late fall/ early Winter. Carvers gap in the Tn Valley Sub brought up something that could be right. Feedback in The Pac NW. Watch the Cycle's and check out the Runs that keep the East colder. Look at the difference in the PAC NW. Also, Webb has some rather interesting Ideas as well. We , no doubt need to shake any semblance of a GOA Low as we all know but, it is possible to work around it until we do. Chill covered those. The MJO back in Ph 8 hopefully helps as well.

Since Thanksgiving I discussed 12/5 and then 12/21 showing up analog wise. Also stated no true and lengthy warm up until 12/27 at earliest. For sure we won’t stay in 20’s and 30’s every day but Christmas 60’s that were egregiously model indicated won’t happen although 40’s into 50’s might for 2-4 days

16.9° for the low. Currently 25.1° and cloudy. Driving around in the hills, it seems like 400’ was the magical number for more accumulation. At 300’, virtually identical to mby at 30’ ASL.

This current pattern isn't ideal so a reshuffle is a good thing. We've just had a nice cold period so obviously the pattern is going to relax some.

Snow shower/flurries quickly pushing into PA

THIS 100%

Bottom line: gotta kick that Aleutian Ridge