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  2. New York Harbor ... oyster restoration. Thought this might interest some here.
  3. A blustery, November like day today. Lake effect rain showers and wind chills around freezing. This is the first of many cold season systems that will rotating thru the Lakes. At face value its really just a blustery Fall day but its that first big step that winter is about to start. Looking like November may start with some widespread snowflakes.
  4. Does anyone know of a good oral surgeon? Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk
  5. A nice double rainbow this evening as another heavy shower tolls through. Snuck in just a few minutes before sunset.
  6. I don't think I've even seen one model forecast above 195kts
  7. My observation here is about 10 degrees per 1000 ft. . Sounds about right for here.
  8. Ended up with 1.5” of rain, 5” for the month. The river did rise this time…
  9. https://x.com/bam_weather/status/1981050021589000365?s=19
  10. https://x.com/bam_weather/status/1981050021589000365?s=19
  11. https://x.com/bam_weather/status/1981050021589000365?s=19
  12. With actual SSTA's looking like this, probably safe to say that's unlikely this winter.
  13. I was just saying neither me or the dog have had one in a while after getting a bunch in the beginning of summer. Hope it stays that way down here.
  14. I agree except we do get wild wind compared to most everyone not on a mountain.
  15. Yea, that’s more artfully what I was trying to get at. I don’t think the data is being interpreted well.
  16. I agree RE the slight shift west, but stronger La Niña and weaker indo-Pacific warm pool relative to what?
  17. Melissa already has more ACE than four named storms this season. Sure seems like it could get us above normal, which didn't seem likely last month.
  18. This time though. Something is different. This one has legs. It’s not a pipe dream . Strong gut feeling . Just a different setup and feel. Either shit or get off the pot. Those that want to join me… please do so now as the train will quickly pick up steam this weekend when it becomes obvious what’s coming .
  19. Today
  20. Yeah that's what I meant- the extended products continue the same advertised longwave pattern from the end of the ens runs the beginning of the month. And I agree- given we will be in Nov with that look, frost/freeze should be a thing outside of the UHI.
  21. 0.27” of rain last night. Definitely more than what I was expecting.
  22. Here's the 12z EPS for reference. Right now, follow the ensembles. The clustering/highest probabilities keep it well off the coast. This is a complex setup and there will be lots of moving parts. The chance of a New England impact is still very low, but I do believe worth keeping an eye on. We've already seen this tropical season major shifts in guidance in the 7-10 day range vs what actually happened.
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