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  2. The LSR does not mention Bourne damage? Also, just b/c it is called a gustnado, does not make it not a tornado. The official definition is if a gustnado is attached to the cloud base, it is a tornado. And gustnadoes do not typically stay coherent for very long, esp. if it is not flat terrain, yet you have an interminent damage in a 50 mi swath from RI to the CC Canal. So it was all gustnadoes then? Given the high shear/low CAPE environment, brief tornadic spin-ups are not a stretch at all, and this event warrants a closer, in situ look IMHO.
  3. This is not even close to 12/9/05. GHG had 70+. This is a seabreeze compared to that.
  4. The GFS spins up a gulf hurricane in the long range every time a butterfly farts
  5. Yesterday
  6. Uhhh….this is damn close to Nov 1, 2014. A little negative tilt and this thread will blow up. .
  7. We are talking basically mesoscale stuff here. Sting jets are tricky. Location and timing are everything! Recall how localized the real crazy winds were on Dec 9, 2005? Had to be on the S Coast and Cape. PVD and GHG were not nearly as bad!
  8. 18z EURO looked a bit interesting at the end of its run. Least for the mountains. That’s where my commentary ends.
  9. As the wind turned off, so did my power. Seems to be localized to 100 customers in my area. Just as it happened, my wife showed me some weird pictures people are posting from VT to ME asking what the bright squiggly light in the sky was. Someone suggested a solid rocket booster…? Curious if anyone here saw or heard anything.
  10. frd

    Winter 2025-26

    Eric Fisher @ericfisher Looking like a front-loaded winter that will get off to a fast (cold) start
  11. 18z is always a spoof….watch as 0z ramps it up again. F**k 18z garbage.
  12. Looks good to me as well based on my memory...
  13. __ Table of forecasts for November 2025 __ FORECASTER _____________ DCA _NYC _BOS __ORD _ATL _IAH ___DEN _PHX _SEA hudsonvalley21 ___________ +1.4 _+1.6 _+1.3 ___+0.1 _+1.8 _+1.2 ___ +2.2 _+1.5 _ -0.3 BKViking __________________ +1.3 _+1.1 _ +1.0 ___+1.0 _+1.4 _+1.8 ___ +2.1 _+1.9 _+0.5 so_whats_happening _____+1.1 _ +1.4 _+1.9 ___+1.4 _ +1.1 _+2.1 ___ +2.4 _+2.4 _+0.8 Tom _______________________ +1.1 _+0.8 _+0.7 ___+1.1 _+1.4 _+1.7 ___ +1.9 _ +2.1 _+0.3 wxallannj __________________+1.0 _+1.0 _+1.0 ___ +2.8_+2.5 _+2.9 ___ +3.1 _+2.6 _+1.0 RJay ______________________ +1.0 _+1.0 _+1.0 ___ +0.8_+2.5 _+2.5 ___ +3.8 _+3.5 _+1.7 Scotty Lightning __________ +1.0 _+1.0 _+1.0 ___ +0.5 _+1.5 _+1.5 ___ +0.5 _+1.0 __0.0 ___ consensus ____________ +1.0 _+0.8 _+0.7 ___+0.5 _+1.4 _+1.8 ___ +2.1 _+2.4 _+0.8 yoda ______________________ +1.0 _+0.8 _+0.6 ___+0.4 _+1.3 _+1.9 ___ +2.2 _+2.4 _+0.7 DonSutherland1 __________ +0.8 _+0.8 _+0.7 ___+0.1 _+2.0 _+2.2 ___ +3.0 _+2.5 _+0.9 ___ Normal __________________ 0.0 __0.0 __0.0 ____ 0.0 __ 0.0 __0.0 ____ 0.0 __0.0 __0.0 RodneyS __________________ -0.4 _+0.1 _+0.3 ___ +1.5 _-0.5 _+1.9 ___ +3.3 _+1.0 _+1.5 Roger Smith _______________-1.4 _ -1.4 _ -1.7 ___ -2.3 _ -2.5 _+0.9 ___ +1.5 _+3.5 _+0.8 Ephesians2 _______________ -1.5 _ -1.0 _ -1.5 ___ -2.5 _ -0.5 _ +1.5 ___ +2.0 _+4.0 _+3.0 wxdude64 ________________ -2.2 _-3.0 _-2.7 ___ -3.3 _ -1.5 _ -0.4 ___ +0.5 _+0.8 _+2.1 -------------- Persistence (Oct 2025) ___ -0.5 _+0.6 _+1.6 ___+4.1 _+1.3 _+4.2 ___+2.4 _+0.9 _-0.5 --------------- Highest and lowest forecasts are color coded; Normal is colder than all forecasts for DEN and PHX.
  14. Did no one tell you people to count sheep? Geez
  15. This is a young tree in my neighborhood. I am wondering if it is an elm of some type, but I don't think it is. The leaves are small
  16. The last few runs of the GFS show a hurricane threat to Western Florida mid November.
  17. Get that to go neutral/negative and kaboom
  18. Oh man. Looks like it was a UPS flight. https://www.wdrb.com/news/plane-crash-reported-near-louisvilles-airport-as-huge-plume-of-smoke-rises/article_9fe53459-c8a1-441a-b576-7954f1bfedcd.html https://www.wlky.com/article/plane-crash-explosion-louisville-airport/69255042
  19. Plane crash at Louisville international airport. Live feed is nuts.
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