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Got .25 in the showers yesterday. Another .15 overnight. Looks like some good showers to our west. We might get to an inch. Not a drought buster for sure but will give the farmers and my yard a little relief. Happy Easter SE friends!
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Weak front moving through, MAYBE we wind up with a quarter inch of rain. The next 3 weeks look DRY.
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Gorgeous cherry blossoms around NYC.
- 166 replies
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- april showers bring may..
- rain
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2026-2027 El Nino
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
JFM 2026 RONI -0.7 JFM 2026 ONI -0.2 -
RGEM and Euro are a little interesting Tuesday rt2-north into S NH.
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2026-2027 El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The April update is stronger than its forecast at the same time in 2023. My guess this is due to the initialization of the OHC and near to record current WWB. So it will be interesting to see if we continue these WWBs into the summer. Since we are still in the spring forecast barrier period. In any event, this would be a very significant development for the planet to have 2 events of +2.0 ONI or greater only 3 years apart. So the El Nino progress will have potentially much wider ramifications than just what happens next winter. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 49. Should get a nice little soaking this morning before we head out to an afternoon Easter gathering with the kids. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I really can't wait for backdoor cold front season to end. I went out for our coffee and breakfast sandwiches, and the dark, cloudy, murky, foggy, cold and damp look and feel made me instantly depressed. -
Beautiful morning w the breeze ahead of the front. Low was in the 50s but temps spiked during the 6am hour and now hitting 70.
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I'm hoping that UCLA wins the Women's National Championship. This program last won a National Championship in 1978, before the Women's Tournament existed. Plus, Lauren Betts and the seniors deserve to end their careers with a title.
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We pray the RGEM and CMC have a clue
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It’s okay Dendrite ….. performance issues can be dealt with. Stay fresh, as always ….
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ahhhh, sheet drizzle Sunday.
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Geno is like accordion man when he doesn’t get the jackpot.
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36.3° drizzle fo shizzle Happy Easter If you’re into that whole resurrection thing
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Same here on all 3- saw a big black snake slithering across the grass near the firepit. Looked like around 6 ft.
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damp and cloudy Easter egg hunt this morning..but at least temps and dews are creeping
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Spencer is a long time critic of the scientific consensus on climate change. Its not that hard to predict the impact of adding greenhouse gases to the atmosphere. We have warmed pretty much as expected, much faster than Spencer acknowledged or expected. The scientific consensus does not describe the warming we have experienced as slow or beneficial. Agree politics is important as is the action of powerful interest groups. Its the reason why most people don't have an accurate picture of what climate science is saying. Don't think Spencer has been helpful in that regard.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
ChescoWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Happy Easter to all who celebrate! Many lower elevation spots reached the lower 80's yesterday. While higher spots remained below 80 degrees, we did set a record high for my East Nantmeal station yesterday breaking the old record from 2011 by almost 5 degrees. However, the Chester County record from 1963 of 84 degrees at West Grove was not reached by any of the record stations across the County. With our backdoor cold front temperatures have fallen below forecasted levels to well down into the 40's across the area. We may struggle to get much above 60 degrees today. We turn much chillier tonight with well below normal temperatures through Wednesday. There is the potential of a hard freeze by Wednesday morning. Shower chances are around today but dry for much of the upcoming work week. -
E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Happy Easter to all who celebrate! Many lower elevation spots reached the lower 80's yesterday. While higher spots remained below 80 degrees, we did set a record high for my East Nantmeal station yesterday breaking the old record from 2011 by almost 5 degrees. However, the Chester County record from 1963 of 84 degrees at West Grove was not reached by any of the record stations across the County. With our backdoor cold front temperatures have fallen below forecasted levels to well down into the 40's across the area. We may struggle to get much above 60 degrees today. We turn much chillier tonight with well below normal temperatures through Wednesday. There is the potential of a hard freeze by Wednesday morning. Shower chances are around today but dry for much of the upcoming work week. -
-March ‘26’s NAO came in at +2.69, obliterating as expected the old March record of +1.85 from 1969. -This +2.69 is the new 2nd highest on record with only Nov ‘78’s +3.04 higher for any month since 1950. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/norm.nao.monthly.b5001.current.ascii.table @Stormchaserchuck1
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2026-2027 El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
For the first time in a long time, a high amp, strong MJO wave is projected to move into phases 7 and 8 come mid-month -
I think we need to give this new group time to gel--it's not like this is the same team as last year. I mean they practically cleaned house in coaching, and only like 8 players remain from last year's OD roster. It's hard to imagine that things stay the same the entire year and don't get better. I mean on paper, aside from the bullpen, this SHOULD be a better team. And with new coaching it SHOULD be a better team. SHOULD...lol I mean that would be insane to clean house, finally start spending more and build a better lineup with the productive veteran leadership we've been missing...and not get better. I mean those have been core issues we seem to have addressed. I think it's way to early to give up on the season...because there are a different set of variables at play, and 8 games is not enough time to see how things are gonna come together. It just sucks for the time being,get. I think if we can be around .500 at the end of April that would give things enough time to gel.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
LVLion77 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Winds turn around to the south between 6a-8a and we should see some steady rain then. Yeah, wicked back door front.
