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39.7°

Overnight runs trended weaker and further east. Lets see what today brings.

56 here

3rd hit of the season for Hawaii!

If we go neutral next year then it’ll be off the table until 30-31.

50/41 with a decent breeze. Perfect sleeping weather.

East/Central Pacific has been a Tropical nerds dream this season. Mostly harmless but absolutely beautiful blow torch storms. Polo is another gorgeous Major. I hope we're getting as much research data as possible.

CWG mentions the possibility of another coastal storm in 2 weeks.

World Weather Attribution report on the Nepal landslide. Too early for definitive attribution; but, report covers the various climate-related modes of slope de-stabilization. Also shows that strong melting was present at and well above the zone that failed. In agreement with the melting discussion upthread. A strong earthquake in 2015 also may have pre-disposed the slope for failure. https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/rapid-warming-in-the-himalaya-exacerbates-geohazard-cascades-beyond-adaptation-limits/

I mentioned yesterday it's often overamped....I mean, it probably will have had the better idea when all is said and done, but it will also probably have capitulated to an extent relative to the more ominous runs.

I hope it rains a good deal, but I couldn't give a rat's a$$ about the "wind" and all of those fraud threats.....unless you live right at the shore. I know the people that sounded the alarms are going to inevitably cry foul based on perceived modeling failures, but the fact of that matter is that it's September and excitement is an exceedingly rare climatological phenomenon around these parts. This time of year, I'd be content to get my rocks off to drought relief and seeing the decadal precip hole fill as winter nears.

45f. 27f at friends eustis camp Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

6z GEFS shifting back west a bit

51 when I left the house, with a two-day rainfall total of .92”.

YES!

I've had some Fall work to start getting ready for Winter to do outside, shoring up the roof over the little barn, some fence repair to keep Goat and Donkey from raiding the neighbors (and they would lol) etc. Having to cram it in before another trip to Florida next month. I can attest it feels like fall out. I don't think I've ever mowed with a coat, gloves and winter hat on before. Maybe its just because it went from 87 to 50 in a day lol. Its a bit windy, that's not helping. And now we have cold "wet air" this morning. Its not really foggy or drizzle per se. Its just wet. Like a cold body shower lol. It's phreakin cold with the breeze I know that. Looks to stick around for another week, albeit a little warmer (70 maybe) and maybe some sun. I'll take every minute of that stuff. Top tier climo for the next week.

Steady rain allllll night long. I can still hear it on the roof. This area of rain just sat in the same spot since it developed last evening.

43/43, heat is on

52F/DP 45F at 6:10am...

Yes it is. It really shows up in winter where the snow/rain cutoff can be brutal, especially for me lol. I've seen in just kitchen sink and could literally drive 2 or 3 miles N and there's 4 or 5 inches. I have my own theory as to my the main E/W trail through history basically follows the I70/US40 corridor through the Great Lakes/OH Valley from the NE and East Atlantic. It being due to roughly that line being the average storm track line making more winter treks (although muddy) possible out of some of the larger Eastern cities. My own stupid theory but it kind of makes sense to me lol. Of course its also the southern end of the last glacial extension so theres that. I ramble, it's early lol .

0.77"

Maybe go chase it?

1.14” yesterday