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Rayno is great, was one of the first mets I followed as a kid. Good introduction to 500mb analysis

The Euro AI (Kuchera not available for this one):

EPS backed west a bit to with average precip amounts .

Thanks! That looks pretty sweet. Seeing the push of decent totals deep into NC is awesome. Other than a whiff, my biggest concern in SWVA is the depth of the trough backing off as leads shorten. Solid consensus of an insurance policy with that.

Same . Going to have to run the snowblower again

Euro Ai backed west far enough to include southeast Pa

Last week? This week just started. You seem to be in for hibernation this week.

We got caught up the last storm cause it was so cold coming into it. WAA events are notorious for us to under perform for ratios. @MN Transplantbasically had 10-1 for the snow push in the morning. Coastals are better but again, unless we are deformed to death I’m never assuming anything more than 12-1 at most.

WE WEENIE!!!

Tried to grab a pic of how it’s stacking. Not as good as Dave’s but same idea

Nice

WB 18Z AI snow prob..

Added 5” today for 16” total. 1,500ft was 10” + 6”… or like 10.5” and 5.5”. Either way 16” at all elevations.

Side note, when CTP revised it down to 12.5 for the event, they didn’t revise the month & year to date snow properly. Today with the 5 pm summary, the month to date & seasonal snow to date are now all correct.

18z Euro and Euro AI are big hits.

catwrestle.mpg

EPS-AI is about the same as 12z, which means it's a good signal

About the same here in Stowe. Also had 16” at both 1,500ft and 3,000ft snow plots on Mansfield. Very even snowfall distribution with no change in elevation.

eyeballing a little over 2” since 5 pm

I would LOVE 3-6 or 4-8 snow on snow in an arctic pattern with good ratios. But heck let’s get this to trend back to a blizzard, still possible.

18z Euro Op was a tad better than the 12z. Damn, 963mb low…tuck that into the coast and bombs away .

Stacking up quickly. BOS may be able to pull off a top-10 storm after all.