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Yah let's cut that in half I'll take it

Question for mets or anyone knowledgeable. Why does the NBM continue to show 12-18 inches area wide (even the ongoing 01z run)? What is this model “blending?” Serious question.

The initial s/w rips sp far NW which helps bring the warmer air aloft in despite the low so far south. A very tilted low for sure.

Meh it’s like 12 hours of snow before the sleet line makes it here, and at that time we are about to dry slot anyways. It’s like a SWFE as others have stated but we should have a lot more hours of snow before it possibly changes over.

00z Total QPF / Snow / Sleet NYC SREF: 1.3 / (8.4) NAM: 1.3 / (8.4)

That initial thump is going to have widespread 1" - 2" per hour rates. Do not travel type stuff.

Fucking A man. Dr. U was right. I might actually prefer to be in Chicago for this one. FUCK!

I was intrigued by the 500 trough at hr 84. No doubt it would invigorate the low a bit later in the morning.

It's much colder and has us snow at 12z. Sleet line is down just south of RIC

It would probably be fine but it barely starts in DC until like 6am. Storm is gonna start Monday at this rate. This was supposed to start tomorrow night at one point!

As an upstate resident, I’d love for that to verify. Lights stay on most likely!

I'm sure I'll get my share of hot dogs for saying this. Maximizing revenue, boosting the economy it's a new world.You either hype s*** up or lose your viewership two boredom in a scrolling world. Basically, in other words one for social media dumb dumbs another for the hard core w***** like us and Mets. Makes perfect business sense when you think about.

Only hr84, here is the 500mb and 850mb vort, coastal could still ramp up Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

I'd prefer it to stay in the sound

this is exhilarating, i feel like i’m at the horse track

My PM forecast and discussion for the DC area. Tried to highlight the uncertainty in this forecast.

3K NAM is also sleet.

I would go 6-10" max unless the models trend souther/colder.

What does the ole FV3 show? Saw a comment but mobile, can’t pull it up at the moment.

I’m going to pretend the FV3 is good. That is a much better thump.

Sleet to Mt Pocono

That seems to be nws is thinking.

its spits out 1.3 for central jersey north and 1.7 extreme coast south jersey

Id go with the Cras if it showed me getting hammered