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Been wanting rain for weeks - got a bit Thursday at least. Was out at Staunton area all weekend - rained all day Saturday. Great! Except weather station back home shows exactly zero. What the? Then I see this: Nice to be in that hole of zero rain west of DC. (facepalm)

Man 85-90 this weekend and into part of next week

Yeah it’s more like RDU now up here.

Yours too, eh? I also have a neural net processor. Too bad it's set to read-only from the factory.

Yeah, models are really strong on a +EPO to -PNA to take us to mid-month. We haven't seen a Pacific pattern this strong actually in a long time. In the Summer wavelengths are shorter, and ENSO etc impact us less, but there is a big uptick in correlation for October, and we are seeing exactly that this October. I was impressed that -PDO has a -0.5 H5 correlation over Alaska.. because that is land and the index is sea.. based on 73 years of data. Both last October and this October have seen PDO's <-2 hit that land pattern very well.

Good to see the rains have returned again. Low clouds and stagnant air weren't quite enough for me. Light rain here.

I agree. But the similarities are there for a much better winter. Just looked at how October of 1995 ended up finishing in regards to precipitation and temperature ( And yes, I am aware we're just starting October on Wednesday ), but already, we have some similarities setting up for the start of this month with temperatures in the '80s starting this coming weekend into early next week. Here's a small write-up on October 1995 in Connecticut ( And I reiterate, I'm not saying we're going to have a record 2025-2026 season as far as snowfall goes here in Connecticut ), But I like the direction we're going in. In October 1995, Connecticut's precipitation totaled 9.35 inches, and while the average temperature for the month isn't specified, the data from the National Weather Service indicates temperatures were above normal, with daily highs often exceeding 70°F. Precipitation Connecticut's total precipitation for October 1995 was 9.35 inches. Temperature Monthly temperatures for October 1995 were warmer than average, with airport observations showing departures of +2°F or more. High temperatures of 80°F or higher were recorded on several days during the first half of the month. Temperatures mainly cooled into the 60s during the latter half of October.

relatively speaking yes especially compared to the last 2

Sometimes I wonder how we ever survived pre modern times to get to where we are today.

New blow up of convection right over the center

Winter was quite cold?

In Orlando it’s coming down moderately in a far outer band cell!

81/45 Perfection.

Sun hasn't popped out here either; 78 as well.

If I get a 40" winter this year, I'd be right at my normal average snow for the decade of the 2020s. You guys are so damn dramatic. If not, I'm only like 2.7" under since there was a 50"+ winter in 20-21. Feb 2021 was the 2nd snowiest month of my lifetime and I'm approaching 50.

I’ll be in NOLA Saturday to Wednesday. It’ll feel no different than here since we are in delayed summer hell. Except it might rain actually there.

The pattern going forward looks very similar to October 1963 which was remarkably warm, dry and sunny for almost the entire month. Another similar feature was a long-lived meandering hurricane off the southeast coast. I recall the month from a location near Toronto where we had absolutely no rain from the 1st to 30th and only avoided a total drought when it rained on the 31st. November 1963 was then very mild and unsettled, December was quite cold and snowy.

First 30s of the season on my point and click, 38 for Wed night.

IOD is forecast to be neutral be early December.

Moreso from the perspective that the house was 75-77 at bed time.

That’s unfortunate. Harbaugh going to blame bad injury luck for this failed season when it’s obvious the problems are much deeper.

Grey and overcast. 78 with cool breeze.

I get it...but I want fall to feel like...fall. I want to sit down on a dark, cool Sunday afternoon with a bowl of chili watching the NFL games. I want to sit in my backyard in the evening with a sweatshirt on by my campfire. And it's gotta be pretty chilly for me to be wearing a sweatshirt.

Yes, the people we call *Native Americans* and who used to be called *Indians* actually came from SE Asia, likely Indochina (Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia). The interesting thing about the Pacific and this colder denser water, it can hold more oxygen and nutrients and must be vital to fish and other sea life. So warming of the oceans disrupts the entire marine life cycle and eventually us also. We're disrupting the entire planetary life cycle which will lead to a global mass extinction. Humans won't go extinct but there will certainly be more famine, starvation, etc.

Madubuike done for the season.