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Decent looking shear.

That's a lot of rain. I've only had seven and a half.

Same. I've had 5 and 1/2 inches since the beginning of July . More than most. My property is the driest I've seen it since the drought of 2020

Line looking very robust. About to move through my area. Will let ya know how it goes in about 90 minutes.

There's much more surface wildfire smoke about to come into the region

Are we actually gonna get rain tonight or are these lines in NY/PA gonna dry out before they gets to eastern New England?

anyway yous lot notice a possible closed circulation due to a monsoon trough? ASCAT lads detected it not 91L but notice it looks better than 91L

Another torrential downpour my only two rains in August same thing

An inch here is 30 days removed

I don't use that site

What are you sitting at for the day?

0.01" here. 1.37" since July 21st. The forecast for the next 10 days isn't promising. Fully expect to be pushing 60 days with less than 1.50". I suspect we may have a historically short fall foliage this year. For some reason my mind is linking late summer early fall droughts to increase in the probability of October hurricanes hitting the east coast. No idea why though. Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

Picked up another 1.1 inches of rain between 1:30 and 4:30.

I hugely agree here Don... with the rest of it as well, but the bolds in particular. We all echo this sentiment in our own ways... I begin penning the frustration myself several years ago; human's are unfortunately, despite their various acumen and conceits and lordship over this planet, still quite primitively enslaved to the 5 corporeal senses: sight, sound, smell, taste, and touch. Unless calamity is directly advertised to their personal being via one of these pathways ... urgency is faked. Stating the obvious, it drafts from biological evolution perfectly. These sense were evolved to make sense of the reality surrounding them. I've mused before, they are akin in many ways to the USB ports that connect the "biological CPU" to the cosmos (for lack of better end expression). Global warming does not appeal to these natural senses. It moves too seductively slowly. I've heard this compared to the "boiling a frog" syndrome. Well the fire that heats the pot has got to be our own superior adaptation, then - if we were not so mutable ( naturally) it may have already begun that registry. Since the adaptation is so effective at blinding us from a problem the solution is clear: To put it plainly and simply, humans have to suffer, first, before they move out the way. Pain, both physical and mental, needs to occur unceasing - else the moment it lets up, humans are quick to resume. People have to be in a state where not being a piece of shit is a clear salvation from pain. It's ironic that adaptation is so superior among the one species causing the problem. It uniquely feeds back on perpetuating the damage they cause. Fermi explanation? Not all species adapt as quickly - little does the lay person know, Earth has entered a mass extinction event. Climate change is both physically observed and calculable in that causation. Since the rapidity of the change is also mathematically and empirically proven to be objectively humanity's fault, we have become death, destroyers of worlds. Sorry, but Gita's poetry is unfortunately apropos. For the rest ... they'll die gasping through their lessening breaths that it's all a hoax, instrumentation bias perpetuating a conspiracy.

Tony, the retired NWS Met from Philly, said that a combo of September and October temps vs. just September had a high correlation to determining above/below temps for the D-F average in Philly. He used to post at Phillywx, then when it closed, joined the same folks on Discord I believe. If not Discord, one of the other platforms. I think Chubb would know. Anyway, for mby, it correlates similarly to Phl. Unfortunately, it's a painful, long 2 month wait and you're almost into November by the time you know. By then, winter forecasts are out and some, especially north and west of Philly, may have already experienced some winter wx. But it's a useful predictor nonetheless and likely extends further north and west from Philly.

Almost 0.8 inches of rain out here in the Lehigh Valley (PA) in last 90 minutes with the slow-moving front. Great for the grass and garden.

Because this isn't S2K. So keep it over there. You posted a bunch of S2k crap about a ridiculous low off of Florida earlier this week that had to be cleaned up. Patience is wearing thin...

I try to remember to post these on the first but anyway here we go ... <<<< SEPTEMBER daily records, NYC >>>> Date ___ Hi max __ Hi min ___ Low max _ Low min ___ 1d rain __ 2d rain __ notes Sep 01 __ 97 1953 __ 76 1898^_____ 59 1869 __ 51 1869 _______ 7.13 2021 _ 7.13 2021 Sep 02 _102 1953 __ 79 1898 _____ 62 1869 __ 51 1886 _______ 2.12 1899 _ 7.23 2021 Sep 03 __ 99 1929 __ 78 1898 _____ 62 1935 __ 50 1885, 93 ___ 3.32 1969 _ 3.44 1974 (0.18+3.26) Sep 04 __ 97 1929 __ 78 1898 _____ 66 1984 __ 47 1872, 83 ___ 3.48 1913 _ 6.28 1969 Sep 05 __ 94 1985 __ 77 1898 _____ 62 1926 __ 51 1963 ________2.45 1878 _ 4.14 1913 Sep 06 __ 97 1881 __ 78 1985 ______ 56 1963 __ 48 1924 _______3.26 2008 _ 3.54 2008 __ 3.22 2011 (1d) Sep 07 __101 1881 __ 79 1881 _______ 63 1877,88 _46 1888 _____ 2.07 1998 _ 4.43 2011 (3.22 + 1.21) Sep 08 __ 97 2015 __ 76 2015 _______ 63 1918 __ 52 1871 ______ 4.86 1934 _ 5.48 1934 __ 3.77 2004 (1d) Sep 09 __ 94 1915 __ 77 1884 _______ 61 1880,83 _48 1883 _____0.86 1902 _ 4.86 1934** Sep 10 __ 97 1931,83 _77 1884 ______ 62 1883 __ 43 1883 ______ 1.80 2023 _ 1.82 2023 Sep 11 __ 99 1931,83 _ 78 1983 ______61 1876,1914 _43 1917 (62)__ 2.90 1954 _ 3.46 2023 _ (3.30 1954) Sep 12 __ 94 1961 __ 77 1895 _______ 62 1883 __ 46 1917 ________2.35 1960 _ 3.23 1882 Sep 13 __ 94 1952 __ 75 1890 _______ 59 1965 __ 46 1963 _______3.94 1944 _ 5.58 1944 __ 3.37 1889 2d Sep 14 __ 93 1931 __ 74 1947 _______ 60 1873 _____46 1911, 75 ___3.82 1944 _ 7.76 1944 _ 3.10 1945 (1d) Sep 15 __ 92 1927 __ 75 1931,2005 _ 57 1954 _____44 1873 ______4.16 1933 _ 7.00 1933 Sep 16 __ 93 1915 __ 73 1903,2005 _ 60 1872 _____47 1966 ______5.02 1999 _ 5.44 1999 __ 4.38 1933 (2d) Sep 17 __ 93 1991 __ 77 1991 ________ 57 1945 _____45 1986 ______3.37 1876 _ 4.14 1874 __ 3.28 1874 (1d) Sep 18 __ 91 1891 __ 72 1905, 72 ____ 60 1875 _____44 1990 ______3.92 1936 _ 6.23 1874 Sep 19 __ 94 1983 __ 74 1906 _______ 51 1875^____ 44 1929 ______4.30 1894 _ 5.16 1894 __ 3.95 1936 (2d) Sep 20 __ 93 1895, 1983_77 1906 _____59 1901 _____44 1993 ______2.32 1989 _ 4.21 1989 Sep 21 __ 95 1895 __ 77 1895 ________56 1871 _____40 1871 _______5.54 1966 _ 5.74 1938 __ 4.05 1938 (1d) Sep 22 __ 95 1895,1914_75 1895 ______55 1875,1904__41 1904 ______2.34 1882 _ 5.64 1966 __ 3.55 1882 (2d) Sep 23 __ 97 1895 __ 77 1970 _______57 1963 _____ 41 1947 ______ 8.28 1882__10.62 1882 __ 2.72 1919 (1d) Sep 24 __ 91 2017 __ 74 1970 _______ 52 1887 _____40 1963 ______ 2.26 1975 _ 8.30 1882 __ 4.56 1975 (2d) Sep 25 __ 90 1970 __ 71 1881,1970 __ 53 1879 _____40 1887 _______2.36 1940 _ 3.31 1975 __ 7.43" 4d total 23-26 1975 Sep 26 __ 91 1881, 1970_74 1895 _____ 54 2000 _____42 1940 ______ 2.34 2008 _ 2.87 1975 __ 2.35" 1991 (1.97+0.38) Sep 27 __ 90 1933 __ 75 1881 ______ 56 1893 _____41 1947, 57 ____ 3.13 1985 _ 3.58 1985 Sep 28 __ 88 1881 __ 72 1891 ______ 53 1984 _____41 1947 ________ 3.84 2004 _ 3.84 2004 Sep 29 __ 88 1945 __ 72 1959,2015 _ 53 1888 ____ 42 1888,1914,42 __5.48 2023 _ 5.84 2023^ _ Sep 30 __ 89 1986 __ 70 1959 ______ 52 1888 ____ 39 1912 (hi 60)__ 2.64 1983 _ 2.64 1983 __ 2.21 1920 (1d) -- - - - - - - - - - - - - -- For 2d rainfalls, which are always total of previous date and current date in table, ^symbol means all rain fell on that day only, and ** symbol means all rain fell the previous day with zero added on date in table. some other notes 1st high min shared 1898, 1980, 2010, 2015 2nd, 3rd 1953 min 77, 77. also 75 on 3rd, 1973. 2nd __ note also 3.00 2-3 for 1899 3rd 2d rain 1969 3.45" (0.11 + 3.32) .01" less than 1974 2d. 1st-7th hot in 1898: 93, 93, 93, 92, 90, 88, 88 (no records though, set or shared high min 1st-5th) 5th high min shared 1898, 1907, 1985, 2018 9th 0.82" is lowest daily precip record of the calendar year. 14th 2d rain 1971 4.34 (0.58 + 3.76) ... 3d 12th-14th 6.10" 19th min with record low max was 45 (one higher than daily low min) 20-21 1938 the 2d rainfall total occurred with stalled fronts associated with the "Long Island Express" hurricane, with rain on 19th added the three day total was 7.50" and a further 0.63" fell on 17th-18th. The heavier rainfall on 21st 1966 pushed the daily max of 4.05" out of the record column. The 1966 rainfall was not of tropical storm origins. The 2d total for 20-21 was 5.56" (only 0.02" added from 20th) which did not quite exceed the 2d total for 1938. 28-29 4.68 2004 (3.84+0.82) and 28-29 another heavy 2d rainfall was 3.04" in 1907 (0.91+2.13). 29 record rainfall before 2023 was 2.18" 1963

Line of storms is starting to look impressive. Hopefully it holds together and hits after i get home lol

Yeah im dating a young lady up there and I've spent a lot of time up there recently.

Probably close to an inch here in the swampy lowlands. The NAM 3k brings in more action around 8. HRRR not so much.

I keep posting about a bloody WCAR thread as a bloody quote from S2k. Someone keeps removing it

Maybe .02” here.

right around 12 inches.....only 0.87 over the last 30 days