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I noticed that Box stealthily removed mention of it "becoming M Sunny", and now simply describes the day as "M Cloudy".
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The NAM guidance which is usually the most bearish —and correct—on setups like this continues to show sky clearing 18z. It’s not going to be everywhere but do think it materializes imby.
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This wedge can go now.
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1/4mi Visibility Rectal Plaque+
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Winds coming around SSE now Still only 47
- 114 replies
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- april showers bring may..
- rain
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(and 2 more)
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This was due to a combo of the extremeness of the pattern and GW with the extreme pattern superimposed on a warmer globe. In other words, had there been no GW the US still could have had their warmest March but with not as warm temps. The extremeness of the pattern is seen well by considering how cold much of Canada and Alaska was with some of those areas having their coldest March on record (they would have been even colder with no GW):
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Lol you work inside
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Cold RA with 0.1" IP mixed in, currently (10 AM) very light RA and low 30s.
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Yea, I mean.....I do think some of this is a byproduct of CC, but clearly many are embellishing the degree to which it factors in. We are also still in the declining phase of the solar cycle, which is not where you want to be for abundant NAO blocking, and it's going to be a long climb out of this Pac cold phase, so there are some additional lean times ahead. I'm not not convinced winter 2026-2027 will be one of them as of yet. Part of my rationale for looking at 1957 and 2002 is because they were in the descending phase of the solar cycle following an extended Pacific cold phase, during a +QBO/healthy El Nino.
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All these early 70°+ and 80°+ days makes the average days for this time of year feel much colder than they really are especially with onshore flow and clouds.
- 114 replies
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- april showers bring may..
- rain
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(and 2 more)
Tagged with:
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Happy Good Friday. Enjoy the dank, damp and cool it’s the only April ya got.
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Probably due to the lower local resolution when trying to show regional snowfall. It would be nice if they were able to develop a map with local zooming capability. These types of maps are nice for broad overviews but not necessarily great locally.
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I'll go with B as well; did eke out one decent snow which is a win in these parts.
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Had a little SHSN here before sunset too yesterday. Then just 32.1° and -RADZ the rest of the night.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
TheClimateChanger replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
- Today
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Yes the wedge is holding strong in the satellite. You can see it is starting to erode though.
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Yeah if it makes it into the 70s here today its probably going to be towards the end of the day and brief.
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We didn't have anything stick at my house. Rates weren't good. I didn't see much snow after dark, but I wasn't looking much.
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1000% you could, without question. In terms of winters moving forward, I absolutely think we're in for some better times and we will see majority of winters produce versus not producing. I think too the (decreasing) AMO is going to help big time in this regard as well and may even bring back those good ole fashion NAO blocks...like true blocks in which we benefit from. I would not be surprised though if we still had some dud winters mixed in through the remainder of the decade because who knows how long it will take the atmosphere to truly respond to the large-scale oceanic changes but we should be heading in the right direction.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
TheClimateChanger replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
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Good luck.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
TheClimateChanger replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
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Wetbulbs verified a lot cooler than that in the H7-85 layer. Add in some extra cooling with convective lift and I guess it was enough to overcome.
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I'll bet I could teach a class on that at this point even without ever having earned a met degree...theoretically speaking of course. Wholeheartedly agree on having commenced a Pacific phase shift....better times are ahead.
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11.6" here which is 2.6" AN
