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  2. Look like around 1.2” out of this last storm fell here. Nice soaker
  3. Yeah, your area has been getting trained for a couple hours with lots of 2-3 inch amounts on the RainDrop app. That app runs high so cut 25% but still a lot of rain. My hissyfit above worked too as I'm finally under some good stuff! 0.4 so far
  4. .40" from yesterday, was a gentle rain.
  5. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  6. The fact that 1999 was the driest summer, I will always believe that if Floyd never happened, we would have had a continuous, multi-year drought from about spring 1998 through fall 2002.
  7. Overcast 73F/DP 70F Critters are doing late season critter things...
  8. Now did I understand correctly that developing niño summers have more severe weather?
  9. The models have always been inaccurate. They always will be too. In order to have a perfect forecast you need two things: 1. A perfect simulation of every thermodynamic/kinematic process down to the air molecule and 2. Input data of every air molecule and its relevant properties. Now, obviously we will never hit that lofty goal. However, the same principles apply to figuring out why models have improved or stalled/declined in skill. Considering that, and this is a hard fact of reality not up for debate, here is list of soundings ended due to both budget cuts and personal loss at NOAA post doge. Below is quoted from a brookings article. Weather balloon launches were suspendedin Albany, New York, and Gray, Maine. Weather balloon launches were ended in Kotzebue, Alaska. Balloon launches were suspended in Omaha, Nebraska, and Rapid City, South Dakota. Balloon launches were cut from twice daily to once daily in Aberdeen, South Dakota; Grand Junction, Colorado; Green Bay, Wisconsin; Gaylord, Michigan; North Platte, Nebraska; and Riverton, Wyoming. Nearly half of all weather offices are currently missing 20% of their staff. The New York Times reports that some of the weather service’s departments will no longer have weather forecasters working overnight If you cut input data you cut model accuracy. To reiterate, this is not up for debate but the reality we live in. Ask yourself if those actions were done by the “other” political party what would your reaction be? It’s alright to admit that these cuts are a price you paid due to aligning with the admin on its other policies, but it’s not alright to deny the truth of the matter. Final point here. For the 2027 fiscal budget the admin wants to cut NOAA spending another 17-25%. Imagine that. Our forecasters are already overworked, our data collection crumbling, and our main flagship models falling behind peer nations; and the solution is to cut funding. Own up to your politics. Sources: https://www.brookings.edu/articles/how-politics-is-weakening-americas-weather-service/ https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/may/18/trump-cuts-ai-weather-prediction-forecasts https://silencingscience.org/actions/noaa-budget-cuts-proposed-for-fy2027/
  10. First 10 days this month were +4.5. Since then we've been a bit BN. That ramp has been pretty flat so far.
  11. Looks like my hissyfit had its intended purpose, appears to be dumping pretty hard back home. If we're gonna cut funding to meteorology then they might as well just go all the way and decommission the satellites too. Then we can go back to the old days of weather forecasting based on things like joint pain and caterpillar fur.
  12. +2 MTD here and today should pull it down a couple tenths. 3 of the 7 months this year were BN and the 7-month average is right at my norms (June 1998-on). Not much optimism for significant rain this weekend.
  13. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  14. HRRR has us getting a robust line of storms after sunset. Mostly dry until then for west of bay.
  15. Yes its too early to attribute warm season patterns to el nino, the coupling shows up better in the fall as the NH cools
  16. Whole thing looks meh with heavy rains E MA and ENY and little in the middle ..with very little storms anywhere tomorrow. More wx boredom
  17. Our last shot at any rain is 3 - 11 pm as the front approaches. After that, my 66% of normal August rainfall shrinks.
  18. We got the record easy. Then we will smoke it with a random December tornado day.
  19. Thanks Chuck! During July in Augusta County, I only received 62% of normal rainfall. During August, I have received 66% of normal thru 8-20.
  20. The drought has really eased for most people expect for @EastCoast NPZ. He sent me a pick of his back yard yesterday
  21. August 22 1910: Daylight is dimmed in Duluth due to smoke from Rocky Mountain forest fires. 1870: Downpours across southern Minnesota produce 5 inches at Sibley, and 3.49 at Ft. Snelling. Much of the wheat crop is damaged. For Saturday, August 22, 2026 1816 - The growing season for corn was cut short as damaging frosts were reported from North Carolina to interior New England. (David Ludlum) 1923 - The temperature at Anchorage, AK, reached 82 degrees, a record for August for the location which was later tied on the 2nd in 1978. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - A cold front lowered temperatures 20 to 40 degrees across the north central U.S., and produced severe thunderstorms in Ohio and Lower Michigan. An early morning thunderstorm near Sydney MI produced high winds which spun a car around 180 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Afternoon highs of 88 degrees at Astoria, OR, and 104 degrees at Medford, OR, were records for the date, and the number of daily record highs across the nation since the first of June topped the 2000 mark. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Evening thunderstorms in the central U.S. produced golf ball size hail at May City IA, and wind gusts to 66 mph at Balltown IA. Lightning struck a barn in Fayette County IA killing 750 hogs. Evening thunderstorms in Montana produced wind gusts to 70 mph at Havre. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1992 - Hurricane Andrew makes landfall in Southern Florida as a Category 5 storm with wind guests estimated in excess of 175 m.p.h. Estimated damages exceeded $20 billion, more than 60 people were killed and approximately 2 million people were evacuated from their homes. (University of Illinois WW2010) Observances: 22 Sat National Tooth Fairy Day 22 Sat World Plant Milk Day 22 Sat Be An Angel Day 22 Sat Folklore Day 22 Sat International Day Commemorating the Victims of Acts of Violence Based on Religion or Belief 22 Sat National Bao Day 22 Sat National Surgical Oncologist Day 22 Sat National Take Your Cat to the Vet Day 22 Sat Never Bean Better Day 22 Sat Rainbow Baby Day 22 Sat National Pecan Torte Day
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