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I got 1.6" snow .95 freezing rain Sleet predominant or mixed 10 AM to 11 PM Saturday. Wind gusts low 20s at height of freezing rain.... Would be a catastrophe if that comes to pass. Actually terrified of the 100'+ oak trees around my house in this instance.

I’m glad this has trended north for us, I just think there are still a lot of caution flags.

I think a met posted recently that the Euro surface temps are "broken" and have been way too cold.

Dang, that is SUPER aggressive from Horst! Love to see it.

I shit you not, I don't think the Euro gets us above 32 for the rest of that run

I’m the same.

Snow cover does wonders. Brutal !

2014 iirc. I sat outside and listens to trees fall for hours. .

Central Va/RVA also could have real issues with freezing rain too no?

Yall going to get smoked.

Wonder what GSP is seeing that the models are not showing. They seem to think the Upstate is going to get smashed.

Accumulating two inches of freezing rain is considered an extreme and catastrophic weather event. While only half an inch is needed to "cripple" a region, two inches causes widespread, long-duration destruction to infrastructure and natural environments. The specific damages caused by this level of icing include: Catastrophic Power Grid Failure: Just 0.5 inches of ice can add 500 pounds of weight to a single span of power lines, which is 30 times their normal weight. At two inches, the weight is immense enough to snap not just lines, but heavy-duty utility poles and massive transmission towers. Power outages in these scenarios often last for weeks. Severe Tree Destruction: Two inches of ice can increase the weight of tree branches by up to 30 times. This leads to the failure of even healthy, large trees, which fall onto homes, vehicles, and roads, further damaging property and blocking emergency access. Structural Damage to Buildings: Roof Collapse: The sheer weight of two inches of ice—especially if it accumulates on top of existing snow—can exceed the load-bearing capacity of many residential and commercial roofs, leading to collapse. Ice Dams: Heavy icing causes ice dams that force water under shingles, leading to severe interior water damage, sagging gutters, and ruined insulation.

The cold front on Friday is really impressive. -19C at 850 is nuts for any front let alone one 36 hrs before a precip shield moves in. It could be quite bad.

I hope everyone has a generator, source of heat, plenty of snacks/supplies/water, and flashlights/blankets/candles.

Yeah, pushed the forecast out earlier than we normally do to highlight the potential here. Proper ice storms are rare in these parts and very little of this vegetation has been "tested" in the past 30+ years, so anything over 0.6-0.7 is going to start breaking stuff very quickly.

Our in house met… says he thinks temps on euro are 3-4 degrees too warm.. Also, talking about cold air getting trapped by mountains .

I remember walking 3 miles in that. It was like walking on sand.

Another thing after dealing with this shit show of a system the Euro is spitting out an extremely stable deep trough over the East the next 10 days.

I like to call VDay 2007 the "Scilia Gel" storm because that's what it felt like I was walking on.

A couple pages back PSU gave the explanation to me. The 50/50 moving out quickly because of not ideal blocking.

Don't be dissin' my .2!

Also, I think one thing that is getting looked over is the wind gusts. An ice storm + wind. I mean, we all know.

Not correct. It would be very destructive if it verified. Stay tuned because this isn’t settled yet

Don't know if it'll load the preview, but GIF of the 24H max through the run: