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Successful Snow Tubing day with my daughter and her friend. Temps were very nice!

GEPS otoh:

DT has some kind of weird love affair with that model. Every forecast he puts out essentially mirrors what it shows.

Spring fever is here not a cloud in the sky gorgeous out 51 on the dashboard

I’m not sure what that poster was talking about with a Rainer . I don’t think they’ll be 4” but I do think a 1-3” paste is looking pretty solid as of now

Touched 40 briefly here, first time in a while.

Has 4 inches for Mt Tolland, looks good for you.

I just finished March 4-6th, 2001. I'm never revisiting that one ever again. What a complete mess on the PNS across all CWAs. COOP stuff is all over the place. Its a 65 hour storm so different measuring techniques caused massive differences in totals. The PNS has totals that dont make sense and end at 7AM Tue or Tue night or Wed. All the climo sites are probably wrong. BDR too high? BDL definitely too low. ORH makes sense but Will says its too low bc they stopped measuring. SWCT low totals are suspicious. etc etc. A nightmare. But i feel decent about it and increased the ranges significantly and leaned aggressive. I will post on March 4th.

This is the Cal Ripken of snow cover. It’s gonna take a day off on its own terms.

DT regurgitates the Euro. Since it's not enthusiastic about this storm, neither is he. If the Euro hops onboard, he'll be the first to issue ALEETS.

I'm starting to think this glacier in my backyard could be an issue this summer. It's been through a beating of snow eating fog, rain, nuking sun angle and still holding strong.

@sauss06 and anyone else who's interested:

WPC has been slowly nudging upwards the impact chances for this one. Current view.

The gfs sucks and it’s been upgraded so it’s safe to assume it’s ensemble package running off a decade old core isn’t going to perform any better. Out of all ensembles they by far should get weighted less

Looks like mainly frozen for some

The GFS/GEFS were consistently too far south and east with the storm 3 weeks ago.

JMA

Even whiffs here after some rain. maybe a few wet flakes at end

Anyone have the weathernext? Would love to know how that’s been trending.

Thought I'd share this here from the NY thread, lol

Been out all day playing disc golf and just got back and did a quick check of the models and the GFS, UK, CMC, AIFS, AIGFS, Weathernext2, and ICON all showed a major to even historic snowstorm for pretty much the entire Philly-NJ-NYC area (and down to DC and up to Boston in most), but the Euro shows essentially nada. Do I have that right? So, who's in charge of fixing the Euro. C'mon, you guys are meteorologists, make it happen. :>)

Enjoy the rain that some called for . Will be rain for me as well or just glop.

I'm not sure if anyone posted this yet, but the MEI for January was -0.8

It’s about to be

Ralph made a good point in tbe other sub...what some guidance shows today is something we've haven't seen all winter: A wound up storm. Have we seen that--just in general--in the last 5-6 months? Suppressed, weak, and shunted has been a more predominant theme than what we see on the AIs. I mean stuff can always change...but I'm starting to believe the idea of winters having a "personality".