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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
To add to the previous post, so far, this current subsurface evolution looks closest to 1997 -
Wonder when the WPC comes around ? ( of course this only goes to Sunday, however, most of the rainfall day 6 and 7 is SE of our region. )
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Long time coming actually. Comes down to ability to handle total computing power. NAM Nest was solid in some ways, but overall it still trails a lot of the guidance with verification. Super compute power can only take so much and we still have RRFS and HRRR, plus the GFS and its intended upgrades. Comes down to the big three: compute power, verification, and money.
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74f. Feels great with the breeze Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk
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Gusting to 30 at JFK now. Barrier islands stuck in the low 60s. What heat?
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Residents of Stephens City tending their cacti gardens look up in bewilderment as the newly-moved rain magnet is powered up IMBY for the Shenandoah Valley next weekend.
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We will see this temp oscillation once again this week and I think that continues thru end of June. July will be hot but August and June not Have seen a pattern pending with analogs so far of 1957,62,1990, 2003, 2011, 2015,16 and 2021
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The Great American Outdoors & Night Out day will be a little wet for some. As these observances suggest, "Get your arse out of the house"
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Fire still not contained. Breezy W wind today. They switch to a breezy ENE wind tomorrow before the rains set in sometime during the aftrn/eve. Hopefully any sparks that may blow eastward, and try to start any fires will be squashed by rain quickly. Other than that, 70's along the shore with 60's inland. Another nice May day. After this, it's back to cooler wx for a few days, but the rains will be much needed.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Looks like temps will peak pretty well into the 90s for most if not all of us. Mt holly point and click has me at 95 Tuesday and 96 Wednesday. That would have to be near record breaking no? -
Worked out in the yard all morning from about 8:00 to 12:30. Started out pretty cool but once the sun hit where I was working it got warm. As somewhat gusty breeze still made it feel very pleasant. Soil is VERY DRY!
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Gorgeous day. 77 here and sunny with a breeze.
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Weather or Not (Pun intended lol) I know the big talk and focus is over in Tornado Alley for the next couple of days, rightfully so. Since I know there are people not able to chase this week, like myself, I would figure it would be something to fun to chat about and discussed. So feel free to play along!! Hint: Definitely not in Kansas anymore!!! I also purposely left out the information from the sounding but assure enough this is not bad data or just one model suggesting this either. Date: 5/16/26
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It was a cool over night camping trip with my daughter’s troop; hit 42 at 5:00 am. Perfect now.
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Any met or anyone know the reasoning for the NAM decommission? It still seems more accurate than its successor and a far better tool for winter wx. I mean, it was only the NAM on Jan 25th this year which got close to accurate mixing line accounts. Just seems like a weird decision.
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Below is an analysis of when our daily climate records have occurred in the philly burbs of Chester County PA. Temperature, Precipitation and Snow daily records. Of note the decades of the 1930's through the 1950's accounted for 39% of our record high temperature records. The most daily record highs were recorded during the 1940's. The decades of the 1970's through 1990's recorded 40% of all of our daily record low temperatures across the county. With the 1980's recording the most daily record low temperatures. Precipitation wise the 2010's saw the most daily record precipitation records while the 1960's saw the greatest number of daily snow records.
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Went to the Os/Nats game last night. Beautiful night for baseball, but obviously a terrible night for guys trying to hit with RISP. Orioles are toast. It's actually one of the more pathetic showings of talent I've seen in awhile. They have a clutch factor of -100. Sad. Despite the outcome for myself, the atmosphere and the time at the game were incredible. Sat club behind home plate which was a phenomenal seat. The Nationals have a great ballpark. Next game will be at Camden Yards, so I'm looking forward to going and staking claim on a good seat with some Boogs and Stuggy's in my facehole
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Gonna be a tough week
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What warehouse is this that you speak of? I literally don't work in one lol
