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18z ai with a Christmas miracle

True, but its really no different than the other crowd during periods of cold. We will start to see random posts about warmth elsewhere on the planet.

It's really not that important- but if you want to call it a clipper, that's fine.(not sure what a 'regular system' is exactly). It is a NS wave moving along an Arctic boundary, with some interesting mid/upper level dynamics at play. Not all 'clippers' behave the same way.

We’ll see how this plays out but the warnings in the southern counties feels “aggressive”. 6-10” with “localized higher amounts”? Just doesnt feel like there is that kind of moisture to work with, despite the ratios

Agree 100% on the Wednesday clipper being a classic example the difference the hills make. Although until that system DTW & White Lake were neck and neck.

Similar here. 3" of frozen crust. At least it's still white.

@Chris78 Just got to Deep Creek…when we drove past Wisp, guns were blazing all over the mountain.

I like 2-4" from this. Advisory is right on the money. Agree about the ratios. Some localized spots will definitely see 4"+

We were spoiled with all the bombs we got not too long ago. Back to reality. I’ll take the 4”

I want this to happen with my soul, but damn, you don’t get much more hopium than an operational run at hour 316 on the 18z GFS. Lol

That’s a 5 day mean so there’s a really cold airmass in there once you subtract the 60° on Christmas out.

Yeah even of its that

Well two houses up in your neighborhood unless you’re shut ins you should have some kind of relationship and have checked in

I’ve never met them. I heard they have family they’re staying with. But here’s a

Its december

18z euro brought the lighter QPF a bit north but trimmed back slightly south coast and Cape. Mostly just noise though.

You took them in right?

Wouldn’t this be nice for Christmas Day

Nice to miss 2 cycles of model runs to come back and see things are still on track. Still possible thing break either way but looks good for where I’m at.

Oh man if only the Christmas Miracle from the 18z GFS came true.

Sad times getting Frosty Boners over a few inches. I long for the Bombs like we used to get

Always hated hearing news of fires just prior to the holiday.

Sref

Told you. I drink beer and know things. Won’t be there later but damn what a view.

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