All Activity

SV snow maps are trash

Ambient 2902 is at 0.46" and counting, but it tends to run slightly high.

Good luck to all those north and west. The beat goes on here. Haven’t had a track worthy event in nearly 4 years here

AIFS mean (which obviously has some problems, so take as you will…) for Fri/Sat

The euro cave is beginning

Sorry I meant storm vista. The wx bell isn’t that different than the weathermodels. Some differences on the margins but SV was like a Taunton to Carver jackpot, lol

Advisory should be issued every winter event...since it seems 75% or more don't know how to drive in winter precipitation events.

The hope is the weaker PV and -QBO tips us more into -AO territory for late dec through Jan. That’s when we should get our chances.

If this is any sign of how models are going to interpret future winter storms, it's going to be a long winter with much bridge jumping.

Added 2” today. Being my November total to 23.2” A November to remember for sure.

Maybe more boundary layer temp dependent?

hey guys, hope you had a nice Thanksgiving! Think there’s anything going on with this storm down yonder at MMU? My family and I are awaiting news to see if we can make it town on Tuesday. .

Writings on the wall for this one . I’ve resigned myself to it . I am petrified to open this site tomorrow morning and the first post I’ll see is one from Ray discussing some type of rusty coat hanger after pulling an all nighter

Cool. Where?

Implicit subsidies are based on imperfect estimates. But they recognize that there are real costs. Those costs are substantial even if they are estimates. One need not agree on the exact figure ($7.1 trillion) to recognize that they are very large. A framework that assumes that such costs don't exist is wholly unrealistic. Also, the IMF's working papers are not scientific in nature. They are estimates for policy makers. Finally, I recognize that there have been subsidies for renewable energy e.g., as one witnessed with the Inflation Reduction Act. An "infant industry" argument can be made. Energy has been a highly subsidized field. One finds a range of tax deductions, credits, and subsidies i.e., a deduction for intangible drilling costs, depletion allowances, accelerated depreciation for oil and gas infrastructure, etc. Unlike some of the renewable technologies, the fossil fuel industry is anything but an infant industry.

Fixed…SA’s have the best acting skills.

Do you think anything going on at MMU with this to be interested in? Live look in: .

I also cannot believe the model differences at less than 48 hours out.

Yeah that’s a repeat of today verbatim

I was just going to post this response lol. NAO has been mostly positive since 2011 lol. Majority of times we've had a -nao it was bootleg and not really classic. Jan 2016 was a good west based one. We wasted a few others but if you look at the #s it looks like we wasted some good ones but they really weren't that good in reality. #s don't tell the whole story. A good -AO (which has also been lacking) pushes the northern jet south entirely so colder air is more entrenched over a much larger part of the conus. That works too even when the nao isn't friendly. Stale air is still cold in the mids and not running away like a scalded dog. There have been some pretty big stretches in the past with mostly +AO winters but the current one is def on the long side. Would make a huge difference to have a good 30-45 day -AO. If it was right now the current storms coming over the next week would be whiter than wetter but it's not breaking that way. Cold is running away pretty quick and it's not very deep to begin with. Dec 2013 had a big artic high that pushed way south before heading east. The cold highs over the next week or so are pretty shallow and on the move. That's dicey in January.

What’s up with the wx bell clown maps. Doesn’t look like the weathermodels one.

I gotta move , lol my sister in Rayville,Md (northern Baltimore county)always gets a little more snow then me here in eastern Baltimore county . My jealousy will get me to move up there lol.. of course with my luck if I move up there then southern parts will get more lol

Ouch, definitely a slight northwest trend lately that is gradually eating away at what little snow 95 might get. Latest Euro is basically just a few flakes for many of us.

You flip like a European soccer player

Dude its like 15 miles and only .5 warmer. That is within error not fin cutting thru RI then 150 miles off the Cape