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87/44 so far on the day for CON. It’s turning into Peter Sinks there with the lack of rain.

Bring on fall, hopefully no more swamp ass wx till next summer.

Some crazy beach erosion along the NJ coast...

84 with a 53 dew

SHE ROPED L Remnants of ERINAs of 18:00 UTC Aug 22, 2025: Location: 39.4°N 61.4°WMaximum Winds: 80 kt Gusts: N/AMinimum Central Pressure: 957 mbEnvironmental Pressure: N/ARadius of Circulation: N/ARadius of Maximum wind: 90 nm64 kt Wind Radii by Quadrant:

fwiw on Erin along he NJ coast per PHI PNS yesterday... I added this in, cause I didnt see it posted. If I erred, I apologize. Public Information Statement National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 703 PM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025 ...HIGHEST WIND REPORTS... Location Speed Time/Date Provider ...Delaware... ...Sussex County... Dewey Beach 46 MPH 1136 AM 08/21 WXFLOW Lewes NOS 43 MPH 1136 AM 08/21 NOS-NWLON Lewes 43 MPH 1142 AM 08/21 WXFLOW Rehoboth Beach 42 MPH 1134 AM 08/21 AWS Rehoboth Beach 42 MPH 1205 PM 08/21 DAVIS Indian River Bay Dewey Beach 41 MPH 1145 AM 08/21 DEOS2 Georgetown 40 MPH 1105 AM 08/21 ASOS ...New Jersey... ...Atlantic County... Atlantic City 46 MPH 0230 PM 08/21 NJWXNET BRIGANTINE 41 MPH 0444 PM 08/21 CWOP 1 NE Brigantine 41 MPH 0449 PM 08/21 Public ...Cape May County... Cape May 44 MPH 1235 PM 08/21 DAVIS 1 NW Wildwood 42 MPH 1239 PM 08/21 Public Ocean City 41 MPH 1115 AM 08/21 CWOP Ocean City 41 MPH 1157 AM 08/21 WXFLOW ...Monmouth County... Keyport 48 MPH 0524 AM 08/21 CWOP ...Ocean County... Surf City 49 MPH 0245 PM 08/21 Public 2 S Island Beach State Park 48 MPH 1014 AM 08/21 Public Rutgers 45 MPH 0323 PM 08/21 WXFLOW Tuckerton 44 MPH 0149 PM 08/21 WXFLOW Seaside Heights 43 MPH 0817 AM 08/21 WXFLOW Harvey Cedars 43 MPH 0235 PM 08/21 NJWXNET South Seaside Park 40 MPH 0817 AM 08/21 CWOP Holgate 40 MPH 1019 AM 08/21 Public Beach Haven 40 MPH 1021 AM 08/21 CWOP Trixies 40 MPH 1137 AM 08/21 WXFLOW ...Delaware... ...Maritime Stations... 19 E Fenwick Island 45 MPH 0229 PM 08/21 Buoy 1 ENE Lewes 42 MPH 1136 AM 08/21 Buoy ...New Jersey... 9 WNW Cape May Point 45 MPH 1048 AM 08/21 Buoy 1 NNE Brigantine 44 MPH 0259 PM 08/21 Public Sea Bright 43 MPH 0409 AM 08/21 Public &&

if i lived here i would be deranged too

So much for your endless summer

Forky angry, another BN August, of course we had the BN June 23 shortly after he said we would never see another BN summer month. That really set him off on a barrage of angry posts

I posted this in the obs thread but DCA has a good chance at having the driest August on record.

On top of this could this mean we get a better chance of tropical remnants this fall? Last year all the ones that were heading our way or had the possibility to in September and October missed us.

It's a beaut!!!

@WxWatcher007 I’m kind of fascinated at your thoughts about a major hurricane landfall this season, but potentially on the East coast instead of in the gulf. As you pointed out in different words, all the 2005-2024 major landfalls were in the gulf. Are you thinking a higher chance for the Florida east coast like Jeanne (2004) or north of there like Fran (1996)? Or is that too specific? I think few/none of us knew back in 1996 how rare a north of Florida major landfall would be….especially because Fran came in the midst of the extraordinary cluster of NC landfalls from 1996-1999 (Bertha, Fran, Bonnie, Floyd), when it seemed like any year could result in a Fran. The 50’s were so anomalous with Carol (‘54), Hazel (‘54), and Gracie (‘59). But since then, it’s only been Hugo (‘89) and Fran (‘96) as major landfalls north of Florida. (Gloria still being on one of the lists is puzzling, but I think we all assume that will end with reanalysis.) It would be quite an extraordinary hurricane to add to that list.

You can’t be that specific on snowfall this far out….or even close in lol There are a few things that look like good bets going into winter. @Bluewave usually uses MJO wave intensity come October, which I think seems to be a rather decent indicator. So far, the MJO has been following the tendency of the last several years of favoring phases 5-6-7

So on the snow front, what could be an example of us “finding a new way to fail” this year?

Factor this

I prefer mid 70’s and a severe hurricane but you don’t always get what you wish for

Beautiful sunny day on the shore with a steady NE breeze. Ocean is rough but warm. Hopefully, waves will calm down by Sunday.

Agreed, although this is a different pattern than we've seen most the summer. The lack of a strong four corners high this summer is the primary reason the monsoon has been lackluster around here, imo.

Sun trying to break thru the clouds finally, after 0.15 (eyeballing from window) of unforecasted light rain/drizzle fell all morning into early afternoon. Kept temps nice, currently 70.8/67.8 at 2:30 pm after being 67/68 all day in the rain.

A few wackos enjoy 50F and drizzle

Still a lot of SAL out in the central, and eastern Atlantic.

let's hold on to summer as long as we can before it's 50 and cloudy for 4 months

Could be a nice heat plume moving in after the 5-6 of September. Lets go. Just give me a warm first 3 weeks of September and then ACATT can violate me.