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  2. Baroclinic Zone
    Conquistadors win. What a day. Beautiful all around. Was emotional seeing Messi take in the praise for him after the match. End of an era for him at the helm of the Argentinians.
  3. Jns2183
    haha, tipping bucket. if you want I can get you the exact error measurements of heptic vs tipping vs manual gauge. heptic has about a 17% error vs tipping bucket 3-4% Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  4. WxUSAF
    Just don’t get swept in Boston and 4-2 to start the second half is great. But they have a tough schedule the rest of the way. They’ll have to earn it, even with the soft AL.
  5. TriPol
    Yeah but Texas does NOT need more rain
  6. Stormchaserchuck1
    I think they are arguing for +EPO correlation, scarred from recent Nino's I think. The map above has a negative 500mb right in the NPH region.. that's El Nino! I don't think the EPO is always positive in El Nino, it's further north so more variance. The 1895-1950 anti-La Nina is very -EPO in El Nino. -PDO does favor +epo/+wpo
  7. Damage In Tolland
    Already moving in that direction . Hot with a Stein look. Enjoy the next couple days cockers
  8. CAPE
    I would feel a little bit better if the Red Sox hadn't suddenly awoken and won 12 in a row. That said the AL is so pathetic the Os can stay in the hunt as long as they keep pushing towards and then past 500. I honestly don't think they can though. Too many holes. Ofc Elias will try to fill them in an attempt to save his skin, and will likely set this team back even further. He is a gaslighting turd.
  9. NorthHillsWx
    Outflow probably killed our chances rest of day but 0.17” brings the MTD to 6.57”
  10. dendrite
    MAV mins for tomorrow morning
  11. jaxjagman
    Most of the rain upcoming seems like a boundary slipping down,who know who gets the rain but even so the MJO into the WH/EP isnt a rather dry solution,more unsettled in days ahead
  12. LakePaste25
    Important to note though, those mid atlantic blizzards happened because you were able to get PV lobes dropping south from the Hudson’s and phasing. Even if this did not show up in the post season mean. One of the issues during super Ninos you tend to get too much warm air/ridge bridging in Canada for these PV lobes to really set up to begin with.
  13. Brian D
    Nice warm day. Temps peaking now at 85/68. Stms overnight into the early morn possible.
  14. CAPE
    I would say that is pretty pathetic and lazy if we were in normal times, but knowing what we know, I suppose it is understandable.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    This isn't going to be cold in the mean like 2002.....too much warmth too far east for that. I think we can get some brutal cold, but it will be fleeting, like 2016 and 1983.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, I was about to mention that....1997-1998 had that on display during -NAO, too. -NAO buys the coast a shot with marginal airmass and favorable storm track. Pacific def. won't be as favorable as 2009, albeit better than 2023.
  17. Stormchaserchuck1
    09-10 was the warmest Winter on record for Canada. It was also the most -NAO Winter since the 1800s. We had plenty of cold air down here, although the Pacific was favorable. NPH area
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    BTW, -AO/-NAO doesn't have to mean cold, either...and this is just the type of season where I could see that happening. If Canada is wiped out, all an NAO block will do is trap stale, maritime air underneath it. We will need time to build the source region during any jet retractions.
  19. MGorse
    It won’t be long then until the stores start rolling out the Christmas decorations.
  20. Damage In Tolland
    Tuesday /Tuesday night looks like another S coast / SE Mass special . Might even be a bit south of that axis
  21. MGorse
    Ended up with 0.29 inches late yesterday and last night. Refreshing today!
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is the one that I used but your's is probably better. Walker Cycle Serves to Budget Solar Energy Focused Near the Equator by upwelling Cooler Subsurface Water and Distributing it Westward via Easterly trade Winds
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, can only work with what we have. I don't care to get into pre 1950 analogs.
  24. snowfan
    Fairly certain there is still a human element involved that can adjust the output from their use of AI/ML
  25. Stormchaserchuck1
    ^Yeah just keep in mind that double digit number of anlogs, and if you break it down to 3 types of ENSO events maybe a handful or two of examples... is just not very many statistically speaking. especially since I think there are larger scale global cycles that happen too (this current time period is not the same as a lot of 50-00 years imo).
  26. 40/70 Benchmark
    Oh, yea...no doubt.....it's very clear in my break down of Hadley Cell placement per Modiki Index.
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