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Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
weatherwiz replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
and happy opening night for the Bruins hockey is back!!!! -
It's gonna take a lot more than 0.06" to break the FWA drought.
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Thought of you yesterday...my daughter has her own wedding planning business, and she has a rehearsal today and wedding tomorrow in Marysville. -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Just .24" of rain in Maytown. Disappointing, but per MU's thoughts yesterday, not a surprise. -
Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
dendrite replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
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There hasn’t been any correlation with the NAO from one month to the other with how wild the swings have become in recent years between highs and lows.
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
pasnownut replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
.4 for me, but I'll take it. Hoping this weekends sunday soaker keeps trending twds us. -
There is no warm warm forecast that guy won't embrace and no cold forecast he won't find reasons to poo-poo. Of course, that doesn't mean he won't hype cold/snow if it's in the forecast because business is business after all.
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There’s been no correlation of -NAO in October and DJF at least since 2009: Since then 2009, 2012-4, 2019, 2021, and 2023 all had a strong (<-1) NAO in Oct. Of these, only 2009 had a -NAO for the subsequent winter. Octs have had a -NAO leaning since 2009 while winters have leaned +NAO. Actually, since 1980, there have been only 6 sub -0.25 DJF NAOs, all within ~2 years of a solar minimum. And despite the -NAO leaning of Oct, check out the sharp change overall to a +NAO leaning in Nov since 2009! Something seems to change pretty drastically between Oct and Nov related to the NAO (at least since 2009). And then the winters have been mainly +NAO as I already said. Do you or does anyone else know what has driven this? https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/norm.nao.monthly.b5001.current.ascii.table
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Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
kdxken replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Just about everybody in that line picked up an inch. -
Seems like it happens every year for the last several….this shows up in October/November, never to be heard from again until late March/April
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, the trick has been pulling this off during the actual cold season....the shoulder seasons of fall and spring have been more prone to traditional blocking patterns, likely owed to the shorter wave lengths rdering Rosby waves less vulnerable to Pac jet intrusions. -
one is much more likely than the other
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i hope we never get a snowy winter again
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.10 of an inch of rain here so far and it does not look like much more. Was hoping for more but once again Long Island missed out
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Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
metagraphica replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
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Hello, Jerry. Hello, Newman.
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Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
Ginx snewx replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
If he did he missed an exceptional comeback -
Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
WxWatcher007 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
.30” so far at WXW1 -
Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
ineedsnow replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Pouring and gusty we take! -
Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
LSC97wxnut replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Some wind, nothing out of the ordinary though. -
Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
LSC97wxnut replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
It's really dark under this line of rain. -
Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
Modfan2 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Nice line from Central Mass down into eastern CT, not sure how much rain or wind are with it -
Nice hit on the 6z Euro for the weekend but I trust nothing.