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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Do I laugh at this, like it, or thank you? I chose none of the above. I couldn't decide. -
Figured this is appropriate given today's date.
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DLH for April avg temp 37.8 (-1.7),and precip 3.66" (+1.13). TH ended with 6.83" (+4.18) at CoCoRAHS site Two Harbors 2.0 ENE. 6.16" (+3.51") at the TH Co-op (3rd wettest). 2001 pcpn 8.83 1 1 1 0 1894 pcpn 6.71 2 2 2 0 *2026 pcpn 6.16 3 3 3 0 1948 pcpn 5.72 4 4 4 0 1968 pcpn 4.73 5 5 5 0
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Builders take topsoil??? That should be considered a legitimate crime.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Ended up at 56.4, tied for 10th. Two tenths off, I'll strive to be better. -
High of 95 on 4/17, low of 35 on 4/8. 1.74"
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Never a doomer myself and always laughed at them. Especially the bunker-type (although I still laugh at them - first was on the premise of end-times being near, but now for thinking their efforts will matter (they won't)). Thought it was just mankind being mankind, thinking the end is near. My tune has changed since the Epstein files were released. I always sort of knew capitalism ruled, and 99.9% of people are just a means to the elites end, but never realized the span and depth of their control. People can shout conspiracy, but it's pretty much validated now - democracy isn't real, you are merely a dollar sign, nothing you do or say matters (beyond hyper-locally), and it's top vs. bottom, not left vs. right. But the SS change has sailed. Unless it's a full-scale revolution of the 99% stomping out the 1% - but we're too fat/happy/distracted to pull that off now. The total control/surveillance state is actually here (hi!) after 2+ decades of slowly normalizing it. --- One of the silent issues nobody is talking about is the exponential proliferation of data centers and the economic and environmental impact they'll continue to have. We're rapidly being pushed towards a economic and natural resource crisis that'll result in the total takeover of the 99% - and it'll be done without a single bullet, quite easily. And by the time it happens there will still be people shouting about climate change, and gender identity, and human life being a bad use of tax dollars (while not mentioning the tax dollars that are used to line pockets), and whether or not their favorite public figure is a pedophile.
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It might zygote as cat paws or even some mangled bow-tie pastas if the cold infant CCB head gets this far NW Sunday morning, too. Kind of an interesting day. 12z could have some cold rain mixing in if the CCB head gets as far W as Worcester to SE NH, then is sharply clears by 10 or 11am as the back edge rolls out with that fast moving developing coastal. It's not a big system. Compact actually... those tend to have a sharper back edge on rad and sat. So you're sitting there in misery, and then least expecting a brilliant sun bursts forth through the S windows. That backside environment appears to only be weakly CAA mixing as there's not a steep vertical delta-T...while also being down slope. That might allow the temperature to get near 50. I was looking at the 700 and 500 mb level RH and the %ages are < 50. Some DVM may offset the pancake destruction. Point being, going from Labradorian nut sack to at least a C+ afternoon is an interesting sensible flip.
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Anything coming through a NW flow is going to underperform in QPF department regardless what models show. That has become more than evident over the last year
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Today's a sneaky mild naper. In fact, with May sun potency now lasing the land and man, might even subjectively argue it gets warm out there mid afternoon for an hour or two. (altho hold on. One caveat: not sure if we pancake destruct this, which would cap temp rise....) Sunday morning? there may be wet snow falling around the top and tuck towns of the Worcester Hills. That sure is fuck won't be normal - it would objectively be well below normal actually... However, (today's sneak warm) + ( Sunday morning cold butt pump)/2 = typical bullshit godless NE spring climate by average so yeah...I guess that argues near normal in the aggregate It's a matter of magnitude. Does the cold anomaly on Sunday out weigh today's warmth? It might be a fun 4 min comparison on Tuesday morning for nerds that like to crunch those numbers. Tuesday and Wednesday are going to be close to bigger warmth. It's going to depend on whether the warm boundary that is more and less defined among the models, ...actually gets through here. Climo says it doesn't and gets shunted some how, some way. Even when there is no physics to shunt, Earth seemingly comes up with physics ( like interdimensional weather) in order to get what it wants: pumping NE spring enthusiast bum. Seriously though, if we can get S of the perceived boundary, we surge from Sunday local era nadir to AN for those two days. That'll prooobably seal the first 7-day's worth of the month as +
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Nova Scotia wet snow bomb incoming
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Nature gonna do its thing but that hummingbird bit would have ruined my next three hours. Cost of eggs doesn’t sound so bad anymore…
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Ya. AI ≠ "good."
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Also, Sixers and Flyer are playing at the same time tomorrow night. Damn. Well, the Sixers start 30 minutes before the Flyers, but still... -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I told my wife after game 4 it would be a totally Sixer thing to then win the next 2 games and then break our hearts in game 7. Gulp. Admittedly, after game 4 I thought we'd lose immediately and be out. I'm honestly and happily surprised. -
Don't hold your breath. In fact, probably more likely to have a 1997-esque (or worse, 2009-esque) Summer than anything with the looming "Super Nino."
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They'll even eat each other. Morbidly - if one dies and isn't removed, they'll eat it. Less morbidly - leftover cooked egg whites are a favorite treat. You can also feed them crushed eggshells (I bake mine quickly first) as a calcium source.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Absolutely loving this weather. Looks like after a warmup early next week it turns cooler again thereafter. I'm sure the pattern will flip on a dime and we'll go from the 60s to 90s in 2 days. I didn't realize we hit 90 (officially at MU at least) while I was away a couple of weeks ago. -
54.2” here in Nanuet, NY.
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10th-14th is a transition period suggested by the numerical trajectories ...albeit recently emergent. However, it was at least vaguely hinted starting 5 or so days back. As of a last night's computation from all three major source, GEFs, EPS, GEPs, there's movement toward a neutral EPO, -PNA state. That's basically shutting down BN. Adding to that presumption, the AO and NAO are flat-lined, perhaps seasonally too. That tells me that the op. Euro's extended warm surge into the latitudes of the lower Lakes ( huge swarm outbreak in the Euro 300 hours btw -), with 80s to southern Ontario may not be dependable per se, but at least the principle of a bigger flip is well founded. We'll see where it goes. Personally lean to this having legs tho. That's the broad orbital perspective. At a bit more of a discrete level, ...Tuesday and Wednesday next week are precariously close to going excessively above normal. A typical result in this latter leg of CC; when the environment "allows" a warm departure, the result is disproportionately warmer than normal compared to when the environment is pushing cool departures. Scott and I have an ongoing interesting observation about this... if you look at just about any month's climate records since last autumn when this cold hemispheric look became dominate, despite that being the case those months will host something like 3 or 4 days stretches with +15 to +20, separated by 10 or so days of -3. So that month ends up either near normal or even decimals above normal, while having successfully cheated everyone that enjoys warmth from being able to subjectively feel like that was ever the case. HAHA. It's been a total liar journey for months now.
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At least by that time the Mets attempted replay of their 1962 inaugural season will be over. Stay hopeful, as always ……
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
NepaJames8602 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Low of 34 this am. With another frost/freeze possible Saturday night up here. I had .60" of rain with the Wed rainfall. Looks like another .25 possible tonight. There is no drought conditions in my location, but just to my east is in moderate conditions. So we absolutely need more rain. Especially as we head into summer. I know a lot of folks are hating this pattern. I for one, am loving it! This time of year, these temps aren't brutal where you can't handle it. 5 to 15 degrees below average; is manageable when the average high is near 70 for most locations. Im all for holding off those extreme summer temps as long as possible. The inevitable death ridges will be upon us soon enough, for months on end. Then we will be begging for relief. :).
