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  2. yoda
    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0650.html URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 650 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 435 PM EDT Thu Sep 3 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Western Maryland Western and Central Pennsylvania Eastern West Virginia * Effective this Thursday afternoon from 435 PM until Midnight EDT. * Primary threats include... Widespread damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Multiple rounds of severe storm clusters are expected to move into the region from the northwest and impact the region this evening, with wind damage as the most common hazard.
  3. GaWx
    Oops, I forgot to break down by months. I think Dec/Feb will have the best chance to have the warmest/coldest anomalies amomg DJF, which is consistent with analogs and model consensus for the E US. In the SE when we’ve had 1-2 big winter storms, they’ve tended to be mainly between late Jan and March. @Newman
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Time to chase the Allegheny Front
  5. TSSN+
    Well let’s see what happens
  6. outflow
    Cc drop as that kink moved out over the river into Canada
  7. Chinook
    I got thunder
  8. BlueRidgeFolklore
    If this verified: https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1BjwN6X17z/
  9. winterwx21
    89 here now.
  10. yoda
    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md2218.html Mesoscale Discussion 2218 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 PM CDT Thu Sep 03 2026 Areas affected...Eastern Ohio into central Pennsylvania...western Maryland...and far northern West Virginia Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 649... Valid 032016Z - 032215Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 649 continues. SUMMARY...Supercells across eastern Ohio and northwestern Pennsylvania will likely grow upscale and pose a more substantial wind threat downstream into central Pennsylvania through the evening. Downstream watch issuance is expected soon. DISCUSSION...Discrete to semi-discrete supercells are evident in regional radar imagery across northeast OH and northwest PA with a few instances of severe hail noted over the past hour. Regional VWPs continue to sample elongated hodographs favorable for splitting supercells with an attendant threat for large hail for the next hour or so. Given the propensity for splitting cells and tight clustering of convection, upscale growth into one or more organized lines appears probable over the coming hours. As this occurs, the potential for severe wind should increase as convection moves into central PA where air mass recovery has been ongoing through the afternoon (MLCAPE has increased to 1000-1500 J/kg per recent mesoanalysis estimates). ..Moore.. 09/03/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...PBZ...CLE... LAT...LON 41068148 41388079 41698017 41397732 41157698 40807689 39967720 39607747 39487796 39527869 40278123 40498158 40728172 40888169 41068148 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
  11. dendrite
    Give me wet PWAT over COC. Thanks.
  12. dendrite
    The models suck. Just retire them all and wing it. Go back to the LFM and start over.
  13. Chinook
    Possible tornado in Windsor, Canada
  14. yoda
    Watch needed soon for PA into parts of W and N MD per MCD
  15. EastCoast NPZ
    I listened to 106.9 in Frederick on the ride home. 79F there at 4PM. 92F here.
  16. CoastalWx
    It’s a COC weekend for ACATT. For 99.5% of everyone else it’s kind of meh, but at least Sunday looks ok. Saturday might be decent inside 495.
  17. Stormchaserchuck1
    Check out this cool water in the west - pretty large area with BN
  18. Chinook
    there is currently a small rotation that's not that far from Wyandotte Michigan (Michsnowfreak) -- 11miles southwest
  19. mappy
    It’s quite muggy. And gross out. So probably that haha
  20. Interstate
    .005 for the line that dried up coming out of PA. Been sunny for the last couple of hours, high of 76.3 for the day so far.
  21. mappy
    Thanks for this. I sent radar image of that line and sent to friends saying this was the storms to watch for later
  22. mappy
    Local news did a good job mentioning the risk for later tonight in the brief weather hit. Hopefully people pay attention.
  23. Yardstickgozinya
    The sun sucks, cumulus clouds are way cooler to look at.
  24. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
    http://mapplemed.shop/# legit canadian pharmacy online
  25. Yardstickgozinya
    I absolutely hate canadian air and blue bird skies. Reminds of fall and another boring weather periods. If it's gonna be cooler, the sky needs to least be filled with cumulus congestis to keep hopes alive and promote the top water bite.
  26. GaWx
    I agree he’s a major blowhard and not a nice person, and he’s been dead wrong on several things (including claiming “Heat Dome” is a recent term used primarily by alarmists and first claiming this disaster was caused by an earthquake). However, I don’t think it’s a waste of time to post his stuff as especially Don and I have done the last few months. Because he’s been widely read/quoted in recent months, he often shows data to support his posts (whether misleading or not), and is smart/well spoken/pretty clear communicator, I think his posts should be addressed here whether in disagreement or not. A person like him who many here including myself have strongly disagreed with at least some of the time is the perfect person to bring into the forum to make for robust discussion and the debating of differing viewpoints. To avoid people with very different views tends to make forums like this and others closer to an echo chamber. The most interesting forums aren’t afraid to consider major differences of opinion and debate them. Also, it’s good to be open-minded as I feel I am on most topics. On this topic, I’m very open-minded.
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