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NAM at 51hrs taller ridge out west, apex is further back toward the Chimney area. I need an intervention.

I love how I saw some sensationalist Accuweather article about a "huge storm" about to hit, come here, and see that it's already deteriorated. Weather media is desperate for eyeballs.

AN snow and snow depth days BN temps. The way we like our winter

It's still just a rampaging blizzard at Mammoth today. Today was supposed to be a light snow day, with only 9 inches on the mountain. They are probably close to 70 inches at this point with 2 or so more feet coming tomorrow.

I think we can add 2 things to the Fraud Five: coastals that hit the whole region, and run of the mill SWFEs that hit the whole region. Those SWFEs that set up a front along 495/pike/84 with rain SE of that line and 10" of pork snow on the NW side. Used to be so common place 20 years ago.

First rain since mid January fantastic winter so far.

Nobody should ever have faith in any model. But Weathernext was pretty good for some storms this winter.

Yup, we’ve had a couple small events in the last month after the mega SWFE, but for the most part, we’ve squandered opportunities big time. And even before that event, same thing

The happy hour Nam will save us.

Does anyone really even have any faith in this model?

Thanks! Newport had about 8 inches in the January event and maybe 5 in the February event. The February event was a huge bust for anyone west and north of New Bedford with busted forecasts of a foot plus across the entire region. A bust but not as bad as the February 1989 bust.

High if 36, down to 34 right now, the not hitting 40°F stretch continues worn 4 or 5 inches of solid snow cover still evident... going on nearly 30 days of not hitting 40 since jan 22nd.. Central Park had snow depth of over an inch end yesterday at 23 days, tired at 21st longest with longest ever being 56 days back 2/17/48

The Euro is a fantastic model but it’s not infallible and has been on an island / wrong before.

This weekend isn't far from trending to something at least light for the upper SE

12Z AI Weathernext2 SV: DC 6” vs 8” on 6Z

Ji, ud never make it as a motivational speaker bro

I’ve witnessed some good events in March. March 1, 1978, March 1, 1980, March 24, 1983 (record setter), March 13, 1993, March 1, 2009.

Nothing better than pollen month! uggg..lol

7" snowcone depth

Saratoga Springs NY 35 and nothing happening. WWA yesterday for 2-6. I haven't seen any of those 2-6 flakes yet.

Recon flights might give a better answer in tomorrow runs NOUS42 KNHC 171825 REPRPD WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL. 0125 PM EST TUE 17 FEBRUARY 2026 SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD) VALID 18/1100Z TO 19/1100Z FEBRUARY 2026 WSPOD NUMBER.....25-079 AMENDMENT I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS 1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS. 2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE. II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS 1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 77 A. 18/1800Z, 19/0000Z B. AFXXX 33WSE IOP33 C. 18/1700Z D. 8 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY: 25.0N 150.0W, 40.0N 150.0W, 40.0N 125.0W, AND 25.0N 125.0W E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 18/1430Z TO 19/0230Z 2. FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 49 A. 19/0000Z B. NOAA9 34WSE IOP33 C. 18/2000Z D. 30 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY: 35.0N 125.0W, 35.0N 150.0W, 48.0N 150.0W, AND 48.0N 125.0W E. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT/ 18/2030Z TO 19/0230Z 3. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT AND THE NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MAY FLY TWO CONCURRENT ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSIONS OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL PACIFIC FOR THE 20/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME. 4. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: THE NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE 21/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME. 5. REMARK: THE NOAA 49 MISSION TASKED ON WSPOD 25-078 FOR THE 18/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME WILL NOT FLY. (AMENDMENT) $$ KAL

Dumping here. Airport and home are riding the northern edge but it looks like we’ll squeeze a few inches outta this. Bye bye grass tips and dog poo.

Does anyone have any stats on the January 1987/February 1987 blizzards?