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  2. It looks like we get some good storms later on.. maybe a brief weak tornado somewhere.. gusty winds look like the main threat.. this is one day I would like to see dews a bit higher
  3. It does look like we warm up but I also think there's some cool shots mixed in.. trust me I was tempted to install today but I also like having all the windows open on cooler days and nights. I think we wait until later in May for anything sustainable in terms of heat.
  4. Yeah that's what I've been reading. Big-time wind threat, moderate hail and low tornado threat. MU says the winds won't veer enough for more than a weak, isolated spinup.
  5. Avg ~-0.20 for 03-07 (yep, pretty neutral overall). @bluewavesource appears to be using Mantua (though I can no longer find Mantua) and definitely just May-Sep
  6. This morning is the best I've felt in 2 weeks. My physician sent my records out to infectious disease and they didn't offer much insight. This is likely going to end without a diagnosis. Both family members are better. One was better in 48 hours, the other was in and out of care for several days. Thank you for asking.
  7. This is looking good for chasing in the plains these weeks
  8. https://psl.noaa.gov/map/clim/sst.anom.anim.week.html Yea we are starting to see some impressive warming on the eastern portion of the warm tongue that has been ever present (due north of Hawaii and SW of the Aleutians). What is interesting to note is the shift of these warmer waters around Japan to areas further east. Many areas around mainland China, Koreas, and near Japan have actually held near average to just slightly above average, nothing like what we saw this time last year where many areas were about 2-4 above average widespread. Another region to also look at of recent is the cooling down of waters near the maritime continent, again not quite near average but not raging warmth like we have seen occur. The Baja has been interesting to watch hold through most of the late fall/winter time frame this area finally linked up with the -ENSO state so I would not expect it to be crushed so quickly. I do still think there is a chance at a warm neutral winter next year as we start to try and erode the equatorial subsurface over the next 6 months+, prospects of El Nino development should go up for 2026/27. I will be curious to see how the western Pacific Typhoon season goes. So far we have not seen a single storm form and we may start to run toward the record again. The idea I have been discussing has been a potential booming late season for the West Pac but probably still end up below normal.
  9. Another warm day today with temperatures reaching the lower 80's. Showers should for the most part hold off till later today across mainly more western parts of our area. More widespread rain is likely tomorrow into Tuesday morning along with cooler temps. High temperatures are likely not escaping the 60's for higher spots in the counties through Tuesday. Most models are showing between 1" to 2" of beneficial rain across the area by Tuesday morning.
  10. Another warm day today with temperatures reaching the lower 80's. Showers should for the most part hold off till later today across mainly more western parts of our area. More widespread rain is likely tomorrow into Tuesday morning along with cooler temps. High temperatures are likely not escaping the 60's for higher spots in the counties through Tuesday. Most models are showing between 1" to 2" of beneficial rain across the area by Tuesday morning.
  11. Parameters are there for major straight line wind embedded tstorm this evening.
  12. You must love handing over money to the electric company...
  13. GFS with a rare win
  14. Location, location, location. Just got to hope you're in a right spot every time. But I think we will all cash in sometime in the next couple days. if anything, my car is a wreck with pollen and a good thunderstorm is needed, heavy downpours. It went from black to a yellowish green finish...
  15. Spartaman is not going to like the Old Farmer’s Almanac outlook for the summer. Hot and dry pretty much everywhere, except in Ohio and surrounding areas. At least it’ll still be hot - although with all that rain, you have to assume it would be more from warmer minimum temperatures.
  16. 6z euro consistent with 1-2” area wide. Not a drought buster but much needed.
  17. People wondered why folks installed last weekend. We knew
  18. No changes in my posted amounts yesterday which favors 3-6 I95 Inland iso 8 which is modeling Catskills right now ends Wed eve.
  19. 74F/DP 61F Feels hotter, hoping for some roof ripping thunderstorms...
  20. Have things improved health wise for you and your extended family? Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk
  21. I drove down in the evening-shorts and T-shirt at home, definitely needed a hoodie on the shore.
  22. And CMC.. Euro if you could get that storm a bit closer and heavier rates at night.. and no not thinking anything here
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