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Euro AI offers hope. Haven’t seen EPS.

Christ euro is a disaster.

we could definitely get something around Christmas eve and on! Not so sure I like that look though!

Hopefully the PNA doesn’t tank negative, that’s what seems to drive it like what happened in 2023.

These overnight lows would be nearing records for warmth

Very acceptable.

STFU…take your crap out of here.

As Jimmy V, never give up. You’re proof!

12z GFS has us in the 40s for Christmas.

MGJ : -7.1 HPN: -7.6 DXR: -7.0 You can look them up here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=okx

Thanks Canderson

It'd be nice to take advantage of the warmth and get some thunderstorm action but looks like the systems will be very wimpy the next 10-15 days.

What about some of us up here like HPN, DXR and SWF?

I’m in wake county and have had temps in the teens and seen snow fall twice and it’s only the 16th of December. I’m content. .

wut.

Yard measurements were all 4.5-5", shaded driveway was spot-on 4", and elevated surfaces were 4-4.5. Due to my completely unorthodox procedures I'd call it 4".

The 12z AIFS pushes back pretty heavily on the chinook - even more so than the 6z GFS. Take one look at the 500 map, and it doesn't look great. But take a look at what is creeping into Greenland. That is a game changer if it stands(and doesn't connect to a WAR). But take a look at the surface. Not what you would expect. That isn't warm. Cold air is seeping into the EC. A cold hp over the GL is not a bad thing for us. FWIW, the 12z GFS looked ready to break the chinook look by the end of its run. The NAO firing will force everything south.

Classic.

Thnk goodness its gonna be avg the rest of the year. Gotta have warmer temps to get the big snows.

Not if the anti-science, vaccine deniers have their way...

Define "most of NC has measurable snow already"

Until the pacific relaxes this looks like shut the blinds for winter weather for a long time. Models showing that extreme negative PNA look now with what they’re spitting out. Just a ripping flow too, drought areas likely to get much worse. Canada is still very cold and stays cold so there might be hope down the road. December likely to finish BN for most and most of NC has measurable snow already so no shutout. Might be time to throw your middle finger up at the pacific I’m sure it’ll pay attention and listen