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The other positive even if it trends north we don't have to worry about temps probably

Zoomed version

We need a mountain wave event with the ice too, that'll help.

Yeah hopefully the euro improves and we have just the gfs in its usual suppression lala land

14.6" on the season just over the river in Somerset. 5" OTG this morning, with 5.7" in total over the past 2 days. I'll be working on compiling NJ snow totals for these two separate events that we'll post here: http://climate.rutgers.edu/stateclim/?section=menu&target=wint2526snowtotals Since the 1/18 event started before most morning ob times in 1/18, it will take some effort to split out the 1/17 and 1/18 snowfalls.

Surprised to see that. I would have thought it would be suppressed.

Ukie 2 feet +

Ukie...thunder ice anyone...valley is sitting right at 33

The 12z UKMET absolutely buries most of the forum.

Nice to see CMC come aboard. There's more support than just the AI models. And these things usually trend north unless there's a massive -NAO type block

GEFS has a huge signal for Bob Chill, technically a shift south but our snow mean improves a lot as well!

Normally we lose out in these CAD-type storms. This one looking different. Northern stream looks strong and suppressive and the subtropical jet is finally coming back from the dead.

Im sure you'll find a way to manage with only 2 feet of snow.

Yea, not that into next weekend.

12z UKMET much further south than 0z, still tries to run low into heart of the CAD, regardless of trying to do that, it's an absolute mess of a storm across much of NC and would be bad in many ways!

UKMET is FOLKS

Someone posted the Kuchera map in the Mid-Atlantic subforum. 16-28” for all of us. Would be up there with the all time greats.

It did. Good tick south

Totally makes sense. When we hit, we can hit big, but we also fail big and often. I find it interesting and awesome that the three hits on this run are an overrunning/SWFE event, what kind of looks to be a Miller B, and a storm riding up the coast. Three ways to win, three ways to fail.

see at least for Feb 20 2025 the GFS wasn't on an island, it had the euro ai. now the gfs is on a fucking other universe where different laws of physics occur

I believe I received closer to 4 inches in Melville, but I didn’t measure. Going by eyeball, I think your measurement is close to what I received from the entire event

Good luck getting a storm into New England with this cold west to east flow

Probably one of the times where it might prove more useful

Snow Squall warnings all over. Ive been stuck in-between two with the sun peaking out, hope the pivot or fill in.