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  2. I'm waiting for the first "That's a big ass dry slot" comment
  3. Some show a 2nd blizzard next weekend. As do some ensembles
  4. True, but I wonder if having the SW come east quicker just raises the ability for it to phase while if it stays west long enough the NS will interfere destructively. Honestly I have no idea anymore.
  5. That heavy band heading northeast looks good
  6. I was just contemplating the same and yes, farther east. May make for a shorter duration system but will limit the heights rising and mix threat
  7. And today's runs are still not as extreme of a difference as the Euro went from yesterday morning to this morning.
  8. Another bust on guidance here, been snowing decently for 3 hours.. almost an inch.. nothing really had measurable here
  9. The northern stream feature on that Euro run was likely much different from what most guidance is showing now. It has really trended west in the last 2 days.
  10. Wonder if we actually want the phase further west or further east. I think further east is better as it gives it less time to pump the ridge in front? Conversely, a further west phase may leave more energy behind so who knows.
  11. Yes and pivotal to my knowledge
  12. Right, right ... the GFS has done such a great job. Let me remind you of yesterday's 12Z run:
  13. Mentally preparing for H5 maps that look good for us but end up flipping us to sleet on Sunday morning, followed by day-long snizzle.
  14. What’s best free site for models? Still tropical tidbits? .
  15. Good background info from Jeremy on winter recon.... https://x.com/i/status/2014061179061092580
  16. Looks to be begining to phase/interact more at 45 but it's still noticeably further west and less so than 18z
  17. Looks like TWC ingested the data as they are honking about 1-2 ft in our area. They gotta keep viewers
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