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  2. mikeysed
    How far N & W? Like Sparta or Poconos?
  3. CoastalWx
    I see someone already hinted at CC for that.
  4. GaWx
    But not so crazy for a very strong Nino.
  5. Jns2183
    Sometimes the hardest part of reading about past disasters is having enough imagination to truly grasp the power of nature. if you ever were curious about the Johnstown flood than go watch the video coming out today about Glacial damn flood in Nepal and China. Especially the one at the border with giant building that gets engulfed. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk
  6. Stormchaserchuck1
    Probably not, since the El Nino developed we have seen 7 anomalous-sustained PNA ridges vs 0 troughs. It's usually the other way around. 6 straight months of -PNA, and PNA for Aug looks to be around 0.0.
  7. Sey-Mour Snow
    There’s a bunch of wild survival videos on X, people screaming from the hills to people down below to run and they realize just in time and sprint to safety .
  8. frd
    Trending drier and temps in the medium range reflect the increasing warmth, a Sept like last year, ugh.
  9. frd
    You think we flip to positive PDO by Jan 15 th ?
  10. RedSky
    Heat wave first week of September lol ECM likes a really long heat wave
  11. Stormchaserchuck1
    STJ is strong in El Nino analogs. This is all El Nino's minus all La Nina's in the Fall -PDO goes dry in the Fall, which is probably what he's pointing to.
  12. MillvilleWx
    That was @katabatic and I!! That was one of the most surreal weather experiences of my life. That squall and the drive home are engrained in my memory bank. A phenomenal day of snow and fun. I would do it again in a heart beat! @katabatic is an amazing host!
  13. psv88
    Been a perfect week at fire island so far. Dry, sun and upper 70s
  14. Stormchaserchuck1
    What was your Winter forecast for the Pacific in 2023?
  15. Keith Central PA
    Strong Ninos are known for little hurricane activity and mild winters..it is what it is
  16. frd
  17. powderfreak
    That stuff is hard to fathom like a 5-story wall of water and mud moving through. No chance at survival.
  18. GaWx
    Here’s the last map of the 12Z UKMET showing the strengthening 96L moving WNW. Aside: I also see a very weak sfc low on those late maps moving W toward NE FL. It’s doing so due to W steering from an H5 594 dm high centered over the well inland SE. I wonder if that weak low is real:
  19. Cobalt
  20. SouthCoastMA
    That was the most violent, fastest flash flood/avalanche I've ever seen on video
  21. Today
  22. forkyfork
    how can anyone live south of philadelphia and still be into snow? like trying to use grindr in saudi arabia
  23. TheDreamTraveler
    Kind of crazy it's almost September and this is how the season has looked so far lol
  24. weatherwiz
    Sounds like the Earthquake caused an avalanche and the snow/ice dumped into a river and caused a major blockage, allowing the water to build up and unfortunately cause the flooding. Heartbreaking. I can't imagine being in a situation like that, trying to run with essentially nowhere to go and not a chance to outrun it.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't consider 2020 El Nino, but the other two I have as analogs....I am expecting a neutral PDO. I don't see what is outlandish about that in the most powerful El Nino in history.
  26. Chrisrotary12
    Earthquake caused an avalanche that transitioned into a flash flood?
  27. 40/70 Benchmark
    My view is it's definitely something to be mindful of and keep a very close vigil on, but it's too early to read too much into it.
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