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What’s driving the persistent high-latitude ridging in North America, and why hasn’t that pattern translated into stronger or more sustained ridging in the mid-latitudes (especially out east)? I know the CONUS has been warm for a while now too (with Feb-Apr in particular being VERY warm) and has seen its share of anomalous ridging (like what we saw out west in March this year). In general, however, the mid-latitude ridging has been weaker and less persistent than what we’ve seen farther north in Canada for the past decade plus. This seems especially true in New England, which has recently stood out as a relative cool spot to other regions. I have some ideas in relation to the general sense of the cause, but it’s a bit frustrating, and I don’t even live in New England lol. Feels like the Great Lakes region is kinda getting screwed out of the warmth too lately, particularly the northern GLs. For example, South Bend, IN was +7.4° in March, while Marquette was only +1.5°, though that was probably in part due to the -WPO which allowed for cold shots to sneak into the northern tier of the CONUS.

Cool and Dry First few days of June

It’s not easy to wet the bushes where you live.

Mainly dry days to start June

Mainly Dry Days to start June

I've seen more hype for a super Nino this coming winter than I ever remember before.

If I recall correctly, something similar happened in Feb 2024 when models were predicting a snowy and cold outcome most of the Midwest/East, but instead ended up being a legendary torch month with Fargo putting up an insane +17.5° departure. Though I can’t remember why exactly the cold/snowy forecasts busted so bad. Not sure if it was MJO related, but it was the warmest Feb on record for numerous cities, including my own. I do know the pac jet extension at the time was ridiculous, so that played a role surely.

Why do I get the feeling that this was yet another one off that tricked us into thinking it’s the start of a sustained wet pattern… Then again those dry maps stop mid next week and it’s just a relax before a reload.

Another day, another ~trace of rain since midnight. Only ~0.30” of rain here in 3.5 weeks! I kid you not. This area and nearby has been about the driest in the entire SE over that period (since May 3rd). Even KSAV has had only 0.25” May 3rd-26th! That’s the driest there for that period since 2011. But alas, I’m still looking forward to a much wetter pattern locally. In addition to chances Wed/Thu, Fri-Tue is looking to be quite wet. So, I remain optimistic. Edit: Downtown CHS has also been very dry for the same period with a mere 0.17”! Like for here, the sea breeze has been keeping most of the shower activity inland for this week so far.

Was going through this thread earlier and happened to stumble upon this, which of course aged like milk. April 2026 was the 7th warmest April on record for Detroit and a torch for many. Wouldn’t even be surprised to see a warmer April next year following what may end up being a non-winter.

Another win by the Nats…I don’t really follow the MLB too closely, it seems they’re over performing expectations so far. Go Nats!

Persistent 80s/90s will not be hard to come by with this look. I can agree with the pattern not being accommodating to severe weather though.

It was an extremely impressive March-April period in terms of warmth for a huge chunk of the Midwest (rivaling 2012), yet people refuse to acknowledge it and instead hype up cool periods that eventually get outweighed by the inevitable warm periods that follow. Almost like there’s some kind of mass hysteria going on as a result of the climate change in some of these folks. They simply can’t cope with what’s happening.

Looks meh.. good luck though

beer

Well I look at the bigger picture and I can clearly see it’s been a very warm spring for most of the Midwest, and that for most cities (including mine) cool shots this month have been transient and not severe. Couldn’t care less about extremely localized areas which happened to see more severe cold this month (mainly due to the daily minimums on nights that produced strong radiative cooling). I’m running about one degree below normal and should finish the month right around average, and it would appear the vast majority of cities will finish the month within a degree of normal. I care about the Philly warmth because these heat pulses we’ve been seeing are insane and growing, it’s not normal at all. As for the “cold” period this May, there have been far more impressive cold early-mid May periods, even in recent years like 2020, which I mentioned earlier. Could’ve sworn I even saw flakes flying in 2020 tbh.

We have the talent, but can we do this for a long period? I still have my doubts, but you never know. We can only hope!

This is how the first half of the month shaped up for your area. Just three days in the 50s with the vast majority of days in the mid 60s to low 80s. The low of 29 on the 7th is the only standout here in terms of cold (some good radiative cooling), but as a whole, wouldn’t call this first half of May sucking ass by any means.

The way the Os played tonight is how they could turn the season around- if they can find the consistency. Great pitching and defense, and timely hitting- including hitting for power. Basallo!

There were large sub-severe squall lines and a few supercells in Texas today. One supercell crossed the Rio Grande and produced a brief tornado at US-277 about 1 mile from the border

Another day, another glancing blow. Cell ran out of steam just as it reached me. 0.04" today. 0.98" for the wet(ish) period.

Who cares about Philadelphia or what happened in Chicago in March and April? You said the cool early this month was transient and here it is May 26 and I’m running about 4 degrees below normal on the month. That isn’t exactly transient cool.

Well this is going to suck. We are moving out of our house here Thursday. Talked to google fiber and they have to set up the new house since its not set with G fiber yet. Earliest they will be there will be next Tuesday. My poor phone is going to be overused the next 6 days.

Im surprised with the way the radar looked like around 1130am today we got nothing here today at RDU. Yesterday was good though here. 5/22: .54" 5/23: .07" 5/25: .48 Better than the goose egg.

Another day of drizzle that couldn't even wet the ground under the bushes.