All Activity
- Past hour
-
Chester County PA - Analytical Battle of Actual vs. Altered Climate Data
chubbs replied to ChescoWx's topic in Climate Change
-
Today from JB: any comments? Is he making sense saying that in the cold season it’s harder to get record cold further N?? That doesn’t sound right. What am I missing? Aren’t SDs/variances larger at higher latitudes? See what I bolded below. OTOH, due to GW, if he had said it’s harder to get record cold than record heat, I’d agree. So, in that regard, much of AK/Canada having its coldest March on record in this 2-3F warmer world certainly is quite remarkable. From JB: Comment on the March Hype Wave “Yes it was a heat wave and for the US in March it was unprecedented in times of reliable records But countering it was Canada and especially Alaska which was brutally cold This winter (2025-26) was the coldest on record in Fairbanks, surpassing the previous record set in 1965-66. Now think about this as far as the greater deviation The colder it gets, the harder it is to get colder in the cold season. If you have an extremely cold place, and Fairbanks is a longstanding site. So this is remarkable. The deviation from normal both high and low in NAMER was about the same. But at lower temperatures its easier to get it that much warmer than it is at colder temps. So the cold in Canada was more impressive than the warmth in the US as far as competing against the averages, if one is considering the fact that in cold areas in their cold season, its harder to get it that cold over a 30 day period” However, later he says this, which I agree with since variances in summer are not as large as March: “Now lets look at the March map again off the PSL site. you have got areas 12 above normal in the time of the year when its much easier to get that warm, then when you are at the hottest time of the year, pulling this off like 1934,1936 is much harder to do.” ——————— PHX was 6.5 warmer than any other Mar on record whereas Fairbanks was only 2.4 colder than any other Mar on record. But, 2.4 colder in a warmer world might be about as impressive. Opinions?
-
Beautiful day
-
if i was a bear i would hibernate this upcoming week.
- 305 replies
-
- april showers bring may..
- rain
-
(and 2 more)
Tagged with:
-
2026-2027 El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
@bluewave Holy ++PMM -
Hopefully we get some beast this year
-
Nope. Blocking is coming back. Have fun with 50s.
- Today
-
Laughable. Ya, Instead of being 57 it might be 58 now .
-
2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yeah, the linear correlation composites use plus and minus analogs. If -NAO is now -0.3 and +NAO is now +0.7 that's still +0.5. Patterns don't change with something like Strong ENSO, you just have to take the total warming into accout. El Nino hasn't developed yet. This April pattern is actually pretty -PNA -
Let's have some development restrictions too.
-
Agreed. Looks great on the hodo’s too. Strong cap until about 21-22z then development could be explosive. Warm day too. Dews in 60’s. Going to feel like summer.
-
E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
No mud season here. Just got the first mow done and was kicking up dust like it’s mid August. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Jns2183 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
To the wisdom filled folks here who have any remembrance of the famous northeast 5+ year drought what do you remember. Reading up on it in context of the 1960's was a wild ride. It appears states were preparing to come to blows with other states, like drawing up national guard plans, to secure their water due to some ridiculous poor planning. The Delaware river was site to a full on war against the salinity encroachment not threatened to make all drinking water in se pa undrinkable. Throwing the crazy politics and daily bombings and it seems like a wild ride. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
2026-2027 El Nino
donsutherland1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The Newark list is can be found using Newark Airport. I am not sure why it wasn’t added to the Newark area option. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Jns2183 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
.03" to go with my .48" sunday Lancaster county is doing a whole better than Franklin and especially Adams this week. Adams has fallen off a cliff Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
Would be a shame if the Capitals lost today in regulation to the Penguins and the Flyers beat the Jets
-
Yep we don't really do nicer than this. 10/10. Cut down a dead dogwood tree without breaking a sweat
-
Wednesday looks like a moderate Ambrose jet day so highs will be early in the day on the island. Like you said if winds stay light we could make a run at 80 prior to the usual start around 1.
- 305 replies
-
- 1
-
-
- april showers bring may..
- rain
-
(and 2 more)
Tagged with:
-
won't stay 70's and 80's very long until May
-
This weather is slowly making up for that 3-week stretch of below freezing temps. Absolutely gorgeous outside rn.
-
Those mean nothing. Not usable. Assume opposite
-
Those mean nothing. Not usable. Assume opposite
-
E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
BBasile replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
There's no weather, but we've got returns. Large brush fire in West Deptford at an elementary school. -
Embrace the cooler weather after the warmup. Its all we have.
