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Yep. It doesn’t make me bullish. I’d rather maintain this slightly below average pattern we’ve got rn and hope for an anchored high to deliver the goods. I don’t think anyone outside of the mountains should be rooting for the PV split and historic cold dump.

Welp, we got snow on Dec. 5 in 2002 and 2009 and those winters turned out pretty good And look at some of the winters ending in a 6: 1966, 1996, 2016...

Clipper time incoming? Not mad about that. They usually overperform around here.

It's not good but dry is far worse too me Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Exactly!! Give me the cold....snow can follow

Steve folks need to get their clicks!! LOL! That said - the many folks who stare at models and post 240 hour snow maps and believe it....or look at 240 hour maps with no snow are both going to be surprised when the opposite ends up the actual weather! We don't shovel model snow and we very well may shovel models that show no snow!!

Tiniest of flakes falling. I didn't know if I was hallucinating or if it was real? Held out my black glove and a flake the size of half an ant fell onto it. A special moment indeed... 25F

been chatting about that one in the mid range thread, could be a thread worthy event for some of you

New pup enjoying her first snow in north Rockville!

PG Schools did a switcheroo. I got the 2 hr delay but missed the subsequent school closure message because I was working. lol. Pulled up into the school with my daughter and the parking lot was empty. Ooops.

I just discovered an NWS website for real-time snow reports nationwide: https://www.weather.gov/source/crh/snowmap.html According to that website, DCA and IAD are currently reporting 1.1 inches each, and RIC is reporting 2.0 inches.

Law of averages for sure. I was thinking about that this morning.

am offline til 330. will consider NOW thread for NYC first measurable at 5, if other models join the HRRR and EC. Uncertain ptype an T.

Like you have said, it could be too much of a good thing. Reminds me of a couple winters ago when it got almost record cold around Christmas then the rest of the winter was a torch.

Indeed. Reliable posters on the southern end of our sub form such as @griteater are still enthused which is good for our area.

We will get our chances. This is the kind of pattern that doesn’t have any obvious long range threats. Instead stuff will appear 4-5 days out.

It might be the start of a trend. DC and Baltimore have been doing better than PHL/NYC/BOS since 2023-24. Then again, there was nowhere to go but up after the snow dearth in DC/Baltimore from 2016-17 to 2022-23.

Tuesday's clipper looks pretty strong, and should provide a good 3-6+" in MN/WI. ?? is for me...Lake Superior? What will it provide? Fickle beast

Garbage month. Had one decent snow event and a pretty decent ice storm near the end of the month.

Rain is bad too when so many others in the thread are enjoying snow...

have to say that overall this was fairly well predicted by the models, Euro gets props for having been the earliest and fairly consistent to predict that places even north of DC up to around I70 would get measurable stuff... and the timing of when it would begin and (soon) end was accurate as well. Some of the other models were late to the northern shift but did catch on as we got closer to the event.

Its funny to read Paul's post from some well-respected met about best December winter pattern in 10 years then actually look at guidance. Social media click bait 100%

Probably closer to 2" now but at the office so can't measure.

We might be able to slant stick to 1.0.

Well. That sucked. Nice coating of sleet/ZR. Now freezing fog at the store in Blowing Rock. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk