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Its sort of a SWFE behaving event, I guess its an overrunning storm, but yeah very few historical matches to this

Yep its not a strong storm either.

They are saying fluffy snow, not wet snow.

but this isn't a SWFE storm it's a NWFE (North west flow event)

MERRY CHRISTMAS !!!!!

I'm in Western CT. Usually I hang out in the New England forum, but unless Boston or SE Mass is getting snow, 95% of them couldn't care less, and they stop posting. Hope you don't mind I jumped in here.

No. It does not. I've seen South Jersey have sleet while our area gets snow. That being said, this is going to be a wet snow which cuts back on ratio. A lot of people are saying we could get 4-6 inches. I think that's reasonable. 4-6 inches of wet, sloppy snow.

Sorry but you and I both know that once the words "sleet" and "warm nose" start getting thrown around, our metro area always underperforms significantly.

Merry Christmas!

Bump for wiggle room - pray we have enough room left!

Radar looks really lit now to our west and northwest, but I can't find any evidence of anything reaching the ground in NY or PA.

Then stop posting. You are insufferable.

Our most recent clipper system dropped about 10 inches of new snow in the local mountains as of this morning’s reports, and on top of the new snow that was already in place yesterday, it meant that today was definitely a good one to get out for turns. There was quite a temperature gradient with respect to elevation this morning – it was in the mid-20s F in the valleys, but it was in the mid-teens F up in the Bolton Valley Village at ~2,000’. It was probably in the low teens up above 3,000’, and with brisk winds it was downright cold in exposed areas. It turns out those winds would have quite an effect on how my morning session played out at the hill. I arrived around opening time for the Wilderness Chair, and was surprised to see that it was running, but there was a queue of probably 50 people or so still waiting to get on. I paired up with a guy who filled me in on that latest – the Vista Quad had been running earlier, but it had gone on wind hold not too long ago, and naturally everyone headed over to ride the Wilderness Chair. From the Wilderness Summit, I worked my way over toward Fanny Hill since the Vista Quad was down, and I found great conditions with plenty of untouched snow all the way back to the base. I was thinking of taking a couple of runs off the Snowflake Chair, but much to my surprise, I pulled up to the Vista Quad, and it was loading skiers. Since it hadn’t run that long before it went on wind hold, conditions off Vista Peak were fantastic. Alta Vista yielded an excellent groomed surface, and Vermont 200 offered up some steep, soft turns with untouched powder along the sides and especially down near the bottom where the trail fans out. On yesterday’s outing it was clear that many lower-angle slopes were offering good conditions, and the extra snowfall overnight bumped that right up to include just about any terrain. You could still find slick areas on steep terrain where skier traffic had pushed away the new snow, but snow that hadn’t been touched by other skiers was dealing out beautiful turns. In general on the upper mountain I was finding 12”+ of powder available in untouched areas, with some places hitting 24” where snow had collected well. Down in the valley we picked up another half inch of liquid equivalent from this latest clipper, and I’d say between these last few systems, the mountains should have picked up an inch or two of liquid in the snow. It’s represented a decent resurfacing, and it’s definitely having an effect on conditions - this latest system was the one that pushed them over the top.

This is my typical old fart storm. Yes I agree toss the NAM. This is why 35 years + of experience is also telling me like what I posted on your facebook site today---This is a strictly a soundings location event. Biggest take away- watch for those fatty pancake flakes to accumulate quickly right before the changeover to sleet. The snow winner will be wherever the zero line does not get penetrated and those pancake flakes do not changeover to sleet. LV will be in the thick of it. Elevation means squat in this event for the LV, its where the warm nose tongue aloft sticks out. Hope it shows its tongue as far west as Reading only, then the LV will see 8-12 in. Seen it before.

Okay bye

my current thinking is 1-3" of snow for the city proper, followed by several hours of sleet, mainly sleet south of the city, and perhaps someone in upstate and or connecticut/mass gets 6".

Absolutely. Sleet always makes its way further north than expected. There are a few exceptions but with another north trend, NYC’s totals will be cut back quite a bit I’d think

not doubtful. writings on the wall with this one. congrats albany and western new england.

yup. feb 8 2025. among many others. swfes arent good for our metro area, they're better for new england. underestimate the warm tongue at your own peril

Yikes

Gfs says get ready for true ice storm Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

yea. ill do a map for it eventually but i didnt include it in the archive since 3"+ amounts were confined to the cape and islands. They were supposed to get much more there too but still did ok

The Canadian keeps the subzero cold. The GFS lays down some anafrontal snow on Monday now with that cold front passage.

Last minute north bump on a SWFE type system- color me shocked. I think from the city east has enough wiggle room here to hold on but I’d be sweating if I was south of say New Brunswick to Trenton.

Idk maybe during that one frame the mid levels just really juice TF up.