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Looks like 10 days ( to start ...) of persistent nondescript neutral ... maybe along there are 'tendencies' for BN. It's just that typical model regression in mid spring, then combined with some kinda coefficient CC forcing from the background state helping to suspend closer to neutral. The -NAO is looking pretty weak in the operational runs... tending to limit the physical manifestation of that index state by being both inconsistent with the magnitude of actual ridging up there, but also ranging placement between the western and eastern limb of the domain. Which matters... east would allow a warmer eastern mid latitude continent, here. West variance during a flaccid slackening gradient would probably cut off lows near Cape Cod and really ratchet up the Count Rugen torture. That said, there still something of it there because the behavior of transits; having trouble getting N of our latitude. Some amount of suppression is there, nonetheless.

Got the charts for CON?

DGW

Sping! (Sp)some understand

Warnings for an upcoming freeze all across the region. Only SE Virginia is spared, and of course the mountains don't get freeze warnings yet. ((Sorry for those who might have thought Tax Day signalled "safe to plant" starting time for tender stuff.))

Low of 37 and .26” of rain brings the two-day total to .49”. Could see 20s tonight.

55° and sun keeps feeling better right into June

Let’s get this to verify

Light snow and 36 at Pen Mar

Weren’t we told frosts are done at DAW?

30.0⁰ low this am

Late to this conversation but A+ in Charlotte with two storms and a foot of snow from one of them. B- in Ashe County - lots of dusting as and 1” events but the only really good storm was the snowstorm and we were on the wrong side of that.

Fairly stout snow shower moving through this morning. No accums in mby but traffic cams up at 68/219 show some non-road accumulations. LWX notes in their disco that the growing season hasn't started out here yet but there sure is a lot of greenery from the warm spring. Tonight will be interesting to see how cold it gets given the green up.

Def would need a -WPO to help bring down arctic air in concert with the strong STJ but who knows at this point

We were just hanging out in the neighborhood commenting on how nice it was when I realized we were actually -5 on the high.

Only 2 months away. In the meantime we rationalize 50s and sun as being nice spring days.

My local site showed 29 for the low and there’s definitely ice all over the place. The pine barrens near FOK radiate like crazy on a cold night and there are differences in small areas here where there are state parks, near a bay/ocean or where it’s more urbanized. I thought tonight was supposed to be the cold night since the freeze warning here’s for tonight.

low of 36

Why can’t we get that?

28 degrees and calm at 7 am.

Sorry Drought Guy, I don't swing that way. Only the ladies get to melt butter on my popcorn. Heavy frost out there this morning. For a moment, I thought we got a surprise overnight car topper. 33F

WWLT

At RSW tomorrow. Thank God.

Low 35. Woodstove back in operation with some Swamp Cottonwood which I've never burned before. Similar to Poplar so far. ETA: Got a sprinkle of rain driving in to Annapolis. Overcast now.