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That one is retired lmao

Toggling the ICON EPS that’s like 8 runs in a row westward shift, maybe more, any reason it stops now?

Noooooooooooo

I don't think this will be as bad as 2010, but I just hate I-95 getting the fillet mignon while we get sirloin.

But the output for 0z was good

So great to see you back!! We were worried about you. Anyway the RGEM still makes me wonder if we're going to get the truly huge totals, but I would think at least something in between the RGEM and the NAM/GFS is likely. Very excited.

Can the title of this thread officially be changed to “It’s Coming….02/22-02/23”?

I think it’s eerie that both the ICON and NAM have a 1996 look to them . Where a slow moving tucked in storm comes up to the DE coast then heads due east. Show me this tomorrow at 12z.

This is surreal....but it seems like there is a non zero chance of a top ten event over here

Anyway, good to see even the somewhat worthless ICON bump precip totals at 0z over 18z.

I seem to recall this threat being on life support roughly 30 hours ago… never throw in the towel until 72 hrs out. My wishlist from two days ago came mostly true

The bambino will sleep through the night because you'll be up anyway. Murphy's law.

ICON ensembles. Get. Over. Here!

The band will probably be a bit wider than that, but the premise stands. Idk where, but my wag is somewhere between Winchester to just east of the Potomac. That seems to be where consensus is lying. It’ll orient north-northwest to south-southeast too. I’m looking forward to seeing how that materializes.

PhiWarmWeatherBro in shambles

It’s not done until it stops trending too As far as I can tell all the early models are coming out on average and in blend still ticking northwest

Warning was for 6-12 inches. All day it was just a fine pixie dust falling all day and barely a dusting when all was said and done. It was brutal. One of the worst busts in a forecast I can remember.

Then go change a diaper for crying out loud.

Repeat after me… this is nothing like Boxing Day whatsoever! Back then, NYC was out of it until 24 hours before the storm…

I will say though that those either within the Norlun trough band west of the Bay or over on the Eastern Shore closer to the low will likely see less disparity in projected Kutchera snowfall and positive snow depth change. That's all because of the rates. It really is gonna come down to that (...for the nth time mentioned, right?) Those areas likely closer to 8/9 or even 10-1 SLRs after 21Z Sun.

Don't tell me what to do

Icon EPS is 0.9" QPF for DC. Substantial shift west from 18z. Some pretty tucked members in the mix.

It’s the last four runs of the NAM showing the max zones shifting north each run. this is where we need to LP to be.

RGEM ticked east if we are being honest. Noise?