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Hey Don I may be mistaken however did this storm occur during a slightly negative PNA? January 27/28 2004.

That thing has been on a TJ tequila bender for what seems like years

Thanks. There's opportunity with Canada remaining cold.

Absolutely. Give me the classics that my parents raised me on.

GFS, blind squirrel finds its nut?

Jan 2022 is an analog.

And Sparky lyle….first reliever to get the cy young award.

Happy the NAM is moving in the right direction with this. If it was steadfast in skimping SNE I’d be waving the Bruce Willis flares

I’m liking this! Thanks Chris

It reminds me a little of January 2022

This is one of the biggest and most widespread changes toward colder on the EPS mean when going from 2 weeks out to one week out. In reality, most of the colder change has been just since the Friday runs! It’s all because the -NAO got much stronger and pushed back from the NE despite the strong Aleutian ridge remaining!

As we talked about earlier the forecasts have changed significantly for Friday - per the latest AFD The updated forecast now has highs on Friday in the mid to upper 30s for the I- 95 corridor and west with mid to upper 20s in the Poconos. Areas south and east of the I-95 corridor have highs in the low to mid 40s. Wintry precipitation is now the result for much of the area for at least part of the timeframe from daybreak Friday into Saturday. Mixed precipitation may make it as far south as parts of Delmarva. Warm air looks to gradually filter in through this event which would cause a changeover to rain. Right now, the best potential for this to be a mainly rain event looks to be in parts of Delmarva and southern New Jersey. There is a large amount of uncertainty with the forecast for Friday into Saturday and trends will need to be monitored. Uncertainty remains through the weekend but there are indications that the forecast stays unsettled.

Looks like the area could see some brief snow moving in if it doesn't dry up as it gets here.

Been a while since the coldest air in the hemisphere has been on our side of the pole. We’ll see how things play out as we move through early January.

Heavy heavy snow

Totally bogus. We will have up and down temps until the second week or January then looking colder after that.

10.4” ytd would be nice to finish the month 20”+

Being a Sox fan long ago I used to be nervous when Goose Gossage entered the game. Best before Rivera imho

its not updated yet im sure, if the CWA south of them is going 100% snow and cat pops.

Tomorrow could be a legitimate 2-4” event here. That, coupled with the potential this weekend, could push me close to 30” for the season and it isn’t even January yet.

Last I looked, BOX was going for mixed precipitation here.

One thing is obvious that warm pattern keeps getting pushed back time and time again. The latest Euro Weeklies the most reliable period being the first two weeks show colder than normal temperatures for all the east coast.

we get it - you have plenty to eat just like I said, well off westerners aren’t going hungry any time soon doesn’t mean others won’t - or aren’t

It would certainly be unusual. The New York City area hasn't seen many 4" or greater snowstorms when the PNA has been negative. Lighter amounts are far more common. Boston is usually favored with 4" or above amounts.

There's def an OES sig on the Cape for later on Christmas Eve. Euro has been showing it and 18z NAM has it too.