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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Oh, I always want to see it at 50mb...sometimes 10mb is too high up to really do much. -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
moneypitmike replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I'm on the water---but it's the Kennebec, not the ocean. About 15 miles up river from Popham. -
Not snow per precip map. It’s a ton of sleet
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Jns2183 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Thank goodness that wind is not hitting until Monday. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
TheMainer replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Radar looks thin but still nice steady large flakes, groomer barn measuring 7 inches. Fire ripping, home made cinnamon rolls from the wife for breakfast, life is good! -
Absolutely. The models were too cold by at least a few degrees for the storm yesterday. That made much of the coastal plane and immediate New York City Metro area with no accumulation at all. For the last storm two weeks ago, we know the models once again we’re too cold by at least a few degrees in New York City, so even though this surrounding areas had a significant snowfall, New York City was limited to only 3 to 6 inches. I would not be surprised if the cold air is once again being over estimated with this storm, and we know that the north trend probably hasn’t stopped either. I’d expect a significant amount of sleet and mixing up past New York City.
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White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
tunafish replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Short while. Maybe a half hour? And even then it was light - only 0.02". I know the peninsula proper and adjacent areas right (and I mean right, like your place) on the water rained for 2 hours, give or take. I'm centered 3mi from the water on all sides and that was enough to make a difference. Driving around during that time, the difference between 35/36° was the line and it was an immediate line. -
26th-27th event, coming at us like a wounded duck.
WinterWolf replied to Go Kart Mozart's topic in New England
I love how some say we need a big move TODAY. No, you don’t need it today, because the storm isn’t until Friday night/Saturday. And all you need is incremental movements today…being your 2-3 days out. And the modeling has been so dam horrendous of late…I wouldn’t sleep on this out east. Wouldn’t take a whole lot to get everyone in the game. So no, you don’t need a big move today at all. You just need some incremental movement in the positive direction. We watch. -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
tamarack replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
5.5" and 0.52" LE at 7 AM, currently light SN, might reach 6". That death band extended to within about 5 miles of here, but the 8" at the stake will be plenty for the grandkids. Rooting for 20"+ in south LEW! -
We made this mistake on the storm on Tuesday…swap the snowfall amounts for NYC and Yonkers
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Interesting to see once again the models lose the warm up in the extended...Should continue to offer chances into January with that look
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White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
CoastalWx replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Hopefully @SouthCoastMAcan grab 1-2 this aftn. -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Even I had a pine branch come down right in front of me just as I was finishing shoveling last night....very heavy stuff. -
26th-27th event, coming at us like a wounded duck.
Ginx snewx replied to Go Kart Mozart's topic in New England
SE Ct not WOR -
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Definitely the best model output for here in SW CT. However I believe its still the most northern solution of the major models.
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White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
tamarack replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
5.5" and 0.52" LE at 7 AM, currently light SN, might reach 6". That death band extended to within about 5 miles of here, but the 8" at the stake will be plenty for the grandkids. Rooting for 20"+ in south LEW! -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Jns2183 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That's 2-3" of white goodness with the density of cement! Think of awesome the trees will be Saturday morning Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
So any snow we get torched away -
Is there a site we can see the NBM?
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White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
Spanks45 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
So thats what real snow looks like, congrats to all those that got it.....finished with 1.6" here. We were right around freezing most of the night and already up to 38 so just a coating left over outside of the north facing/protected areas. I doubt we have much left by tomorrow morning. -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
moneypitmike replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
wind is cranking here. -
Great NWS graphic on their thinking on that; 6Z models, overall, seem like they'd push that transition zone to the NE...
