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  2. Vis 10 miles here with deep blue skies. Best climo.
  3. 530 was the peak AQI in Minneapolis overnight. Eyes and throat burn working outside in this crap. Good times
  4. Clearly my early hunch was wrong, as is often the case.
  5. They are touting the pattern in the composite of Super El Nino events as being comparable to the precursor pattern in SSW events, which when combined with W QBO favors a warming in January or February. While I agree that any warming will be during the second half, I can't help but question why we haven't actually seen any SSW during super El Nino events, despite the similarity to the precursor pattern....then don't address that.
  6. IF we get enough smoke it may stop us from getting to 100F LOL.
  7. I have been thinking the same thing. 1983 and 2016 shows the potential that super ninos bring. 97/98 is the feared example, however, the west PAC water temps are different this year which can help offset the E PAC warmth in terms of MJO. I am actually looking forward to the potential.
  8. I'll be out of town on Saturday (still in the slight, but still) - so I expect a massive severe line to wipe out the DC area.
  9. I swear you could smell the smoke this morning. And my eyes were stinging coming into work. Going to be such a fun day
  10. Seeing aqi of 700 around Detroit. Insane to see whats going on back home in the lakes region.
  11. Thats where im from before coming out this way. It is really bad up there. Got family and friends messaging me on how breathing is making their throats scratchy even after 5 mins outside. Really insane and worse than 2023.
  12. Don't weenie tag me but, boy if we can get a phase between the the polar jet stream and what's sure to be an extremely active subtropical jet stream this winter, it could really get a historic snowstorm.
  13. Haze showing up at DCA. Current DC air quality listed as 62 (moderate). NWS forecasts air quality to worsen today... ...AIR QUALITY ALERT IS IN EFFECT FOR THURSDAY JULY 16 2026... The Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments and District Department of Environment has issued a Code ORANGE Air Quality Alert Thursday for the District of Columbia. A Code Orange Air Quality Alert means that air pollution concentrations within the region may become unhealthy for sensitive groups. (snip)
  14. Looks like the heat shifts to Western CONUS heading into late July with more comfortable temperatures here.
  15. The local mets here were saying that when the front passed by the Ontario fires it caused them to flare up a ton - and modeling hadn't considered that. About 4 minutes in https://youtu.be/K5Y3sW9b4Gs?is=6dEwOaDH-42u7ttl
  16. 93 yesterday. hazy sun this morning
  17. I wondered about a potential spin-up, especially after looking at CC. Admittedly I am not a pro, though Families location is the dot above Deering.
  18. Dulles still in the running for warm low for date. BWI just missed.
  19. At least the DC area air quality is not that of Detroit... Detroit registers worst air quality in the world among major cities as wildfire smoke blankets Michigan DETROIT, Mich. (News 10) - Heavy wildfire smoke from Canada and Minnesota continues to settle into Lower Michigan, causing Detroit to have the worst air quality in the world among major cities Thursday morning. Detroit’s air quality index (AQI) was rated at 684 as of 3:30 a.m. Thursday, according to IQ Air which tracks air quality ratings across the world. Air quality is ranked in these categories: 0-50 = Good, 51-100 = Moderate, 101-150 = Unhealthy for sensitive groups, 151-200 = Unhealthy, 201-300 Very unhealthy, 301+ = Hazardous (snip)
  20. Gulf of “America” on a NOAA site Sad https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/satellite.php
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