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I feel like I was robbed.

Drizzle here at work in PG. Funny watching the system fizzle as it worked its way in. Still happy with the last few days tho if well needed rain.

It’s an interesting period though, because lots of people have their boats out in the water. I haven’t looked at tides… But that could be a quick 4 to 5 hour gust 40+ impact on the waters. If I was a mariner, I would certainly pay attention to that and I’m sure that won’t get any attention until last minute too.

NBM? Nogueira Blend of Models?

Just pick me up, turn me upside down, stick my head in the toilet, and repeatedly flush...don't stop flushing

Tells you all you need to know about how we landscape our properties when you’re getting over an inch of rain every week and stressing about drought.

Yeah let’s follow the weekend mess up with this midweek to start June

That was the perfect way to end sprinkle fest. With sprinkles lol. Welp.. that sucked. Back to drought. What happened to the "pattern change"? Looks like back to no rain in sight.

The webbed hands of Stein slowly kill you like a boa constrictor… it’s so slow, you don’t know it’s happening until it’s too late. Can see the appeal of staying ahead of it.

Good for now as stated yesterday. But with high sun angle , evaporation, and low dews with 70’s and 80’s later next week. It dries out incredibly fast. Also need to drop next round of Lesco

Gully washers this morning with 0.5”+ amounts at nearby stations. Saw a quick lightning bolt looking southwest earlier as well from the first line. We needed the rain, but we’re now at a week of mostly cloudy conditions lol. Successful precip producer…now let’s reel in some sunshine.

All that looking forward to a dry 10-14 day stretch lasted about 24-48 hours without rainfall before you want more of it?

plenty of thunder and lightning with this cell that moved thru. woo storms!

Yea, what could go wrong, went wrong that season.

Started a June thread if anyone is interested - should start getting a handle on how the summer will turn out with the developing strong Nino - should be interesting.

Nino climo maps there. But agree it's likely to be a torch

Wed next week is a modeled soaking

Never too early to look ahead to next winter 26 -27

Impressive because the NBM tends to underdo wind gusts, though that may have been corrected some with v5

Nbm concurs Ginxweather.com

Faker than an SGA foul call but the season is upon us…

Almost time for me to end my tropical hibernation lol. At the very least the SE should get come much needed rain in the coming weeks. The operational GFS is doing its usual nonsense but the ensemble signal on the GEFS/EPS should raise an eyebrow. This is a good early season test for AI models like the GDM on whether it can accurately sniff out these marginal early season signals/false alarms.

Be happy you’re getting rain out of this thing Friday night in ENE. Most of us Steining thru day 10 with no rains

Is there a product out there that can sort of calculate what the ambient pressure, outside of cyclone, is ? Like not every low pressure is as impressively deep as it may look in scalar, because the surrounding medium isn't appreciably high. And vice versa. Case in point, the Feb 1978 blizzard "only" bottomed out at 992 or something - pedestrian by nor'easter cyclone depth climatology. But the 75mph sustained Boston Light winds pushing the surf into 30' seismic rollers would tend to argue that pressure well was somehow systemically deeper than 992, because the surrounding was elevated perhaps. Devil's in the deltas I'm wondering for the 1003 mb low and the 50 mph winds in a short duration ( like 4 hour window) nor'easter ...

Pac jet came in stronger than expected in Feb 2024, which pushed the jet exit region well onshore over the western US. One of the few times we got true Nino forcing, we got too much of it.