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baseball tryouts for travel next year was today, despite the winds and off and on clouds, it definitely felt warmer than expected for November 1st. Even last night with trick or treat, the air just didn't have that 'bite' to it. I hope it isn't another one of those seasons that it never gets cold enough for it to snow and stay snow....55° currently

NYC did great 2000 through 2018.

Wasn't 89/90 record warmth in January and February? That year was the opposite of 2014/2015 w/r/t the complete patter flip. There was another winter after that in the early 90s i remember wearing short sleeves in February to school. Last year was a great example of a ton of bad luck. The Delmarva area and my old vacation spot of ocean city maryland are loving the past few years! Got to head south for snow. 96/97 through 99/00 were bad patterns. All in all after personally living through both periods what we have experienced is similar, which is why I am not worried yet. Lol if this period surpasses 30 years I will worry.

Stunning how NYC has missed out on moderate snowfall last few years after blockbuster storms in 2010s. Down here in DC area we have fared better last few seasons. Still hoping for that January 2016 redux up and down East Coast. What do you think Don?

Upper 20s here as well, forecast low was 36 from MRX.

96/97 was terrible here in SW connecticut. 92/93 ended up average for snowfall. Only 93/94 and 95/96 were above average here for the decade. 96/97 through 99/00 were abysmal.

There was just a ton of bad luck. It wasn’t so much the winter patterns were bad outside of 82-83 84-85 and 88-89. Even 89-90 December was decent it was just that everything got suppressed

32.5°. Hopefully that frost will cut back on my mowing schedule.

The period from 1979-1993 sucked for snow in the I-95 corridor. The biggest storm of that entire 14 year period was the February, 1983 Megalopolis blizzard

Thanks. I fixed the typo. I am currently thinking NYC will see 15”-25” snowfall during 2025-2026. Of the 53 seasons with such snowfall, 16 (30.2%) had at least one 2-day figure of 10” or more. The most recent was 11.4”, February 8-9, 2013). The figure for all other seasons is 40.0%, meaning that it might be somewhat but not much more challenging to see such a snowfall this winter. Of course, that assumes my current thinking is accurate.

I guess the snow total was skewed by the 4/1 event. Overall it was a strange winter because indice wise it was good in December and January. There was just no snow or it was all inland

Would she like to be my new best friend??

55/32 Canadian airmass.

Should be February 22, 1929. Also, if NYC doesn't get a 10-inch snowstorm, it will be the 9th out of 10 seasons without a 10-inch snowstorm (only 2020-21 had a snowstorm >10 inches). I think it will be the first time that NYC hasn't had a 10-inch snowstorm 5 years in a row, breaking a tie with 2016-17 to 2019-20.

This is what the extended Euro ens is spitting out for December starting at the end of this month. There are several signs that this may come to fruition with the mjo plots moving into favorable forcing and the PV weakening towards the second half of November. When I analyze the broader, reoccurring pattern, the signals are clear — a –EPO / +PNA/-NAO/-AO setup tries to re-establish by mid to late month. This combination supports a stronger ridge in the West and a deepening trough across the East, allowing colder air to funnel south from Canada. I am a bit skeptical because the Euro monthly and weeklies kind of burnt me last year. They did well for January but crapped out elsewhere along the season. Ill have more right ups a bit later on a modern day record IOD that will affect this winter as well. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Well…. technically 96-97 was a bad winter even in Boston

My wife gets viscerally angry about this.

BWI: 22.5” DCA: 18.0” IAD: 23.0” RIC: 19.5” SBY: 13.5”

The 90s were odd depending where you were. 92-93 and 96-97 sucked in NYC and the metro but basically everywhere else in the northeast they were good winters. 93-94 95-96 were the only two that were really universally good winters for snow most areas. At least most agree that 90-91 91-92 94-95 97-98 sucked everywhere though

Another average high behind the “cold”front

1st world problems right there

BWI: 24.0" DCA: 21.0” IAD: 26.5" RIC: 20.5” SBY: 13.0”

LOL Happens to Faalele at least 4-5 times per game. Embarrassing this is the 'best' guard they have(he isnt). Ask Harbaugh why.

I’d say our odds of being on the good luck side as opposed to the bad luck side are in our favor just because we’re due. 9 consecutive below average winters and nearly 10 years since the last 6+ inch snowfall in Baltimore(at least IMBY). Even being in an area where we need a lot of things to go right, this has been an absolutely brutal stretch of years. Things have to swing in our favor at some point.