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44 degrees this morning for the low. 1.40 precipitation for the month. Down about 2.5” of rainfall

I knew it was dry, but I hadn't really looked at the monthly total. I'm under an inch as well at just 0.91"

DCA _ NYC _ BOS ___ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA -0.2 -0.4 -0.3 -0.8 +0.2 +0.5 +1.0 +1.5 +2.5

Willing to bet there will be a notable warm spell in the northeast US in late September lasting into early October. It will take a while for the western ridge to deflate but it won't be there longer than 2-3 weeks.

The summer pretty much ended on August 17 in NYC this year. The pattern started to turn cooler around August 1. If not for the August 12-17 heatwave, summer would have pretty much ended on July 31.But knowing that the heat has been absent the last 2 years at this time of year (during the US Open), I'm willing to bet we are due for record heat at this time next year. After all, NYC hasn't reached 100 degrees during this time of year since 1953. NYC is way overdue for one.

High yesterday was 74 at O'Hare. I got to enjoy The Lumineers concert at Soldier Field. Today will be my last day in Chicago.

Big CME on the way. Hearing a G3 solar storm is likely and G4 is possible. Any possible aurora would be Monday night.

Keep an eye on the Carla Cradle and along any stalled boundaries along the Gulf. I believe East Coast threats are limited for the time being and possibly for the rest of the Season.

Nope this is the Beginning of one of the best Winters in Mid Atlantic history. It's starting. I am SO HAPPY for you guys! This winter is going to be unbelievably snowy cold and unendingly FUN!

I saw bluewave posted in the climate change forum, The Arctic circle trough that I had been tracking ended up maxing out at 4980dm yesterday, which is the lowest 500mb height on record in the Northern Hemisphere for August. It's akin to the 10" of snow that fell in Florida last Winter happening again.

PIT has only recorded 6 consecutive lows of 51 or below in August once, in 1968. We’re currently at 5.

I had some rain this morning. The low that gave me that is now offshore. My initial estimate is 0.5”. That puts me at ~17.2” for the month!

I was just looking at my stats for August and somehow I hadn't noticed that I've only had 0.82" of precip for the entire month! Yet another month with under 1.00" for the total. This marks the 2nd month this year under 1". January was the other month with just 0.85". And yet, just 3 months ago I was closing out May with almost 9" of precip. These wild swings are insane.

We'll be back in a few weeks suffering through another season of despair.

It did. It was an unusually dramatic change.

I finally tallied up my snow logs from last winter...67.8", with the highlight being 34" in January. Core summer felt short this year, with chilly weather to start June and a decent stretch of sub-70 highs with lows in the 40s/50s to end August.

That is what the HH GFS shows but what I think is a bigger statement is that in the midst of peak season a very bullish poster can only find threats in a 384 hour map in the HH GFS

I actually prefer his posts to nonces like wx57 who think they live in ibiza

Hopefully we get some, but we'll see. Love those nice warm Septembers and Octobers.

Nice pfp change to welcome the season!

^I don't think it's going to be as much of a blowout +NAO Winter as we previously thought, but there is still strong tendency for us to pattern change 10 days to a few weeks after a cold period, that has been in effect for a while now. I don't see 13-14 style cold happening this Winter. -NAO/-AO/+PNA hasn't been staying in a strong state for more than a short time. Last Feb it went from -31F in Valentine, Nebraska to 60s a few days later. Some places had a 3-day change of 100 degrees. It's not sustaining.

THAT DOES IT! I am gonna write one up that glorifies the snow and cold!

EURO/EPS hasn’t been what it used to be for awhile now @Stormchaserchuck1 In regards to your last post: “Actually the cold waters off of New Foundland have turned my N. Atlantic SST indicator for Winter NAO negative on the daily. Of course, it's an average of May-Sept, but Erin really did cool that -NAO area a bit.. if you want to make a correlation between ACE and following Winter NAO, like a lot of people do... It's been pretty rare lately to have that whole area from the Davis strait to N. Atlantic below average, but there has been persistent -H5 over the region this Summer. I've found that since 2012 it correlates with a following Winter ridge at 90N.” The last time I remember the North Atlantic being this cold was 2013-14

Cat5 is the bull’s bull in his posts but he’s right about the 18Z GFS. He’s very consistent to his credit. If his handle were instead TDKaiju, then he’d probably be a bear’s bear. Lazzo, like me, is more neutral and prefers to post without the content being heavily influenced by a bias, bullish or bearish. It’s not easy.

Wow it literally did a 180 almost everywhere on the map.